ProdukHukum BankIndonesia

(1)

(2)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

(3)

(4)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8)

(9)

98 99 99 100 100 101 101 102 102 103 103

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Composit Leading Indicator PDRB

pdrb CLI

fase kontraksi fase kontraksi

(10)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

10

DKI

Q1-2008 Q2-2008 Q3-2008 Q4-2008* 2008* Q1-2009* Q2-2009p Distribusi

Q2-2009

Konsumsi 7.7 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.7 6.2 6.2 - 6.6 58.4

Investasi 8.3 8.6 8.9 8.1 8.5 4.0 2.7 - 3.1 33.6

Ekspor 6.4 0.8 0.5 0.7 2.0 0.6 (0.8) - 0.5 63.6

Impor 17.3 12.5 8.5 12.9 12.6 5.9 1.2 - 1.6 (54.2)

Net Ekspor -24.3 -33.8 -29.3 -40.4 -30.7 -22.8 (11.4 ) - (11.0) 9.4

P D R B 6.3 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.2 5.2 4.8 - 5.2 100.0

(11)

-100 -50 0 50 100 150

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y g.Indeks Sk-Cad-Kend

g.Indeks Pakaian g.Makanan -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

% g.Pendaftaran Motor Baru (yoy)

g.Pendaftaran Motor Baru (mtm)

Sumber: Dispenda Jakarta (diolah)

-60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%

g.Pendaftaran Mobil Baru (yoy) g.Pendaftaran Mobil Baru (mtm)

Sumber: Dispenda Jakarta (diolah)

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4

2006 2007 2008 2009

% g.Konsumsi Listrik RT (y-o-y)

g.Konsumsi Listrik RT (m-t-m)

Sumber : PLN, diolah

Survei Konsumen-Kondisi Saat Ini

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

Indeks

Indeks Penghasilan saat ini Indeks Ketersediaan Lap. Kerja Indeks Kondisi Ekonomi Saat Ini

Survei Konsumen-Ekspektasi Konsumen

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

Indeks

(12)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

12

-10

-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4

2006 2007 2008 2009

% g.kredit konsumsi (yoy)

g.kredit konsumsi (mtm)

-10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

%

g.Total Pembiayaan (yoy)

g.Total Pembiayaan (mtm)

Sumber: Dispenda Jakarta (diolah) Sumber: CEIC (diolah)

Strata Pengeluaran (Rp ribu)

Penghasilan

(Rp ribu) Jakarta (%)

A1 > 3.000 > 9.000 13

A2 2.000 - 3.000 6.000 - 9.000 16

B 1.500 - 2.000 4.500 - 6.000 20

C1 1.000 - 1.500 3.000 - 4.500 25

C2 700 - 1.000 2.100 - 3.000 18

D 500 - 700 1.500 - 2.100 4

E < 500 < 1.500 3

Sumber : AC Nielsen, 2007

-600 -500 -400 -300 -200 -100 0 100 200

0 10 20 30 40

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1

2007 2008 2009

total sales Nett Income (rhs)

(13)

Survei Penjualan Eceran -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5

2004 2008 2009

%, y-o-y

g.Makanan g.Pakaian

pemilu legislatif dan pilpres 2004

pemilu legislatif dan pra pilpres 2009

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y -90 -40 10 60 110 160 %, y-o-y

g.PDRB Investasi Jkt g.Nilai Impor Brg Modal (rhs)

-150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 250

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y Volume Impor Barang Modal

g.Capital Goods (Except Transport Equipment) g.Transport Equipment, Passenger Motor Cars g.Transport Equipment, (Industrial)

Utilisasi Kapasitas Total (%)

60 65 70 75 80 85

1 2 3 4 1 2*

2008 2008 2009

Total Sektor

Total Industri Pengolahan * data sementara

-60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

% g.Kons Semen Jkt(y-o-y)

g.Kons Semen Jkt(m-t-m)

(14)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

14

-20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4

2006 2007 2008 2009

%

g.kredit investasi (yoy) g.kredit investasi (mtm)

-150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2

2007 2008 2009

%, yoy Rp miliar

Total IPO g.Total IPO (rhs)

Sumber: Bapepam (diolah)

-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2006 2007 2008 2009

Indeks SBT

Situasi Bisnis Situasi Kegiatan Dunia Usaha

Sumber : SKDU Jakarta

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2p

2006 2007 2008 2009

Indeks SBT

Eks pekta s i Si tua s i Bi s ni s Eks pekta s i Kegi a ta n Duni a Us a ha

(15)

-60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5

2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y Perkembangan Volume Impor g.Barang Konsumsi g.Bahan Baku g.Barang Modal

-100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2007 2008 2009

(16)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

16

Komposisi Ekspor Jakarta

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Luar negeri (36,7%) Domestik (63,3%) Jasa (70,0%) Barang (30,0%)

Lama tinggal turis asing di Jakarta

1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5

2007 2008 2009

ribuan orang

Lama tinggal turis asing di Jakarta (rhs)

Sumber : BPS

-40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 -500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y ribu ton Perdagangan Internasional Ekspor Impor g.Ekspor(rhs) g.Impor(rhs)

Sumber : Pelindo II (diolah)

-60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 -1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y ribu ton Perdagangan Antar Pulau

Bongkar Muat g.Bongkar(rhs) g.Muat(rhs)

Sumber : Pelindo II (diolah)

Nilai Ekspor DKI Jakarta

0 200 400 600 800 1,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5

2007 2008 2009

jutaan USD -30 -10 10 30 50 %, y-o-y Total Ekspor g.Total Ekspor (rhs)

-80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100

123456789 10 11 12 123456789 10 11 12 12345

2007 2008 2009

%, yoy

(17)

DKI

Q1-2008

Q2-2008

Q3-2008

Q4-2008*

2008*

Q1-2009*

Q2-2009p

Distribusi

Q2-2009

Pertanian

1.4

-0.3

0.7

1.4

0.8

1.4

(0.6) - (0.2)

0.1

Pertambangan

1.5

0.1

-0.3

0.0

1.3

0.4

0.1 - 0.3

0.3

Industri

4.1

3.8

3.9

3.6

4.0

1.6

(0.2) - 0.5

15.7

Listrik

6.8

7.0

5.6

5.9

6.3

6.2

6.2 - 6.6

0.7

Bangunan

7.5

7.6

7.8

6.3

6.3 - 6.7

10.3

Perdagangan

6.9

6.3

6.1

5.7

6.3

3.9

4.1 -4.5

21.6

Pengangkutan

15.0

14.8

15.0

15.6

14.9 -15.3

10.8

Keuangan

4.1

4.2

4.8

4.0

4.3

4.3 - 4.7

29.0

Jasa-jasa

6.3

6.1

6.0

5.9

6.0

5.5

5.6 - 6.0

11.6

PDRB

6.3

6.1

6.2

5.2

4.8 - 5.2

100.0

* angka sementara BPS DKI Jakarta p proyeksi BI

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y

-40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 %, y-o-y

g.PDRB Industri Jkt g.Kons Listrik Industri (rhs) Sumbe r : PLN, di ol a h

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y

-100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 %, y-o-y

(18)

18

Sumber : CEIC, diolah

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 %, y-o-y

g.PDRB Industri Jkt g.Industrial Production Index(rhs)

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3

2006 2007 2008 2009

Indeks -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 %, y-o-y IPI Mesin g.IPI Mesin (rhs) Sumber : CEIC, diolah

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 %, y-o-y g.PDRB Industri Jkt

g.kredit Industri (rhs)

Tanggal

Jumlah

Selisih

11-Dec-08

14,268

06-Feb-09

15,550

1,282

13-Mar-09

16,650

1,100

24-Apr-09

17,150

500

22-May-09

17,150

-05-Jun-09

17,705

555

12-Jun-09

18,009

304

26-Jun-09

18,009

-Sumber : Depnakertrans

(19)

Rincian Utilisasi Kapasitas (%) 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Makanan, minuman dan tembakau

72.1 82.5 78.5 80.3 80.5 81.3

Kertas dan barang cetakan 75.0 87.5 62.6 85.8 60.0 87.5

Tekstil, barang kulit dan alas kaki

81.0 78.2 75.9 82.7 83.4 89.5

Total Industri Pengolahan 77.3 81.1 77.6 80.7 78.1 77.3

1 2 3 4 1 2*

2008 2008 2009

pemilu legislatif dan pra pilpres 2009

Sumber : CEIC dan Pers Release 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Jumlah pelanggan (juta orang)

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 %, y-o-y

Cellular (telkomsel + Indosat+ProXL) g.Cellular (rhs) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 %, y-o-y

(20)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

20

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y

-20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 %, y-o-y

g.PDRB Transport Jkt g.Pnpg Soeka (rhs)

(21)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 %, y-o-y

g.PDRB Bangunan Jkt g.Semen Jkt(rhs)

Sumber : CEIC, diolah

Retail Sector 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000

IV I II III IV I II III IV I IIp

2006 2007 2008 2009

ribu m2 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 100 % Unit Tersedia

Occupation Rate (rhs)

Sumbe r : CII, di ol a h

4 5 6 7 8 9

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 %, y-o-y

(22)

22

4 5 6 7 8 9 10

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 %, y-o-y

g.PDRB Perdagangan Jkt

g.SPE (rhs) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y -10 0 10 20 30 %, y-o-y

g.PDRB Perdagangan Jkt g.Kons Listrik Bisnis (rhs)

0 2 4 6 8 10

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 %, y-o-y

g.PDRB Perdagangan Jkt g.Brg Tnjg. Priok (rhs)

Sumber : BPS, diolah

30 50 70 90 110 130 150 170

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

ribuan orang 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 ribuan orang

Kedatangan di Empat Pintu Utama Jakarta Kedatangan di Tanjung Priok(rhs)

Sumber : CEIC

40 45 50 55 60 65

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5

2007 2008 2009

% 0 1 2 3 4 Hari

Tingkat hunian hotel Jakarta

(23)

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Miliar RP

1 2 3 4 1 2*

Jakarta DPK Rp Miliar 717,000.7 765,022.5 785,919.1 868,802.7 880,839.2 879,948.0

Pertumbuhan (%, y-o-y) 15.7 15.8 15.2 15.6 21.7 20.0

Kredit Lokasi Bank Rp Miliar 524,871.4 577,897.6 633,266.8 674,870.4 665,407.9 658,474.7

Pertumbuhan (%, y-o-y) 32.5 34.8 40.5 33.0 26.8 18.9

Kredit Lokasi Proyek Rp Miliar 374,904.6 408,253.9 450,225.6 483,947.8 476,032.0 472,483.2

Pertumbuhan (%, y-o-y) 33.7 39.3 41.1 48.8 27.0 30.6

LDR (%) 73.20 75.54 80.58 77.68 75.54 74.83

NPL (%) 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.8 4.5 4.6

*) s.d. Mei 2009

(24)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

24

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4

2006 2007 2008 2009

Rp Triliun

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 %, y-o-y

Total Pembiayaan g.Total Pembiayaan (rhs)

-5 10 15 20 25 30 35

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1

2007 2008 2009

Rp Triliun

(100) (50) -50 100 150 200 %, yoy

(25)

0 2 4 6 8 10

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 %, y-o-y g.PDRB Listrik Jkt

g.Konsumsi Listrik Total(rhs)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 %, y-o-y

g.PDRB Listrik Jkt g.kredit Listrik (rhs)

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

Rp miliar -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 %

(26)

26

2 3 4 5 6 7 8

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 %, y-o-y

g.PDRB Jasa Jkt g.Kredit Jasa-jasa (rhs)

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

Rp miliar

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 % Nominal NPL Jasa Jakarta

(27)

Merasakan Dampak Krisis

8.9%

91.1% Tidak

Ya

Dampak Krisis thd Kinerja Usaha Berdasarkan Urutan Imbas yang Dialami

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

1 persentase jawaban responden

Penurunan Omset Penurunan Keuntungan

Penurunan Kapasitas Produksi Kesulitan Pelunasan Pinjaman Bank Penurunan Jumlah Tenaga Kerja

1 2

3 3

(28)

28

Terbesar Terkecil Terbesar Terkecil

Omset

a. Berdasarkan Sektor Industri Pengolahan (-36,42%)

Perdagangan/Hotel/Restoran

(-24,29%) (46,215,909) (146,695,100)

b. Berdasarkan Lama Usaha <1 Th

(-47,50%)

4-10 Tahun

(-19,20%) (47,500,000) (54,059,455)

c. Berdasarkan Badan Hukum CV

(-40,45%)

PT

(-25,78% (47,916,667) (234,947,000)

d. Berdasarkan Skala Usaha Mikro

(-36,45%)

Menengah

(25,67%) (27,138,889) (298,621,913) e. Berdasarkan Sasaran Penjualan Perusahaan Lain

(-27,67%)

Konsumen Perorangan

(-22,44%) (218,554,500) (43,049,115) Keuntungan

(-30,06%) (15,746,591) (16,465,892)

b. Berdasarkan Lama Usaha 1-3 Tahun

(-53,80%)

>10 Tahun

(-36,67%) (8,492,308) (18,779,000)

c. Berdasarkan Badan Hukum CV

(-52,83%)

PT

(-34,48%) (17,388,889) (31,574,600)

d. Berdasarkan Skala Usaha Mikro

(-50,56%)

Menengah

(-34,96%) (6,352,857) (39,169,909) e. Berdasarkan Sasaran Penjualan Ekspor

(-58,33%)

Perusahaan Lain

(-34,11%) (35,000,000) (31,218,250) Tenaga Kerja

(-12,85%) -6 -3

b. Berdasarkan Lama Usaha 1-3 Tahun

(-38,07%)

4-10 Tahun

(-15,87%) -5 -4

c. Berdasarkan Badan Hukum Koperasi

(-45,69%)

PT

(-12,95%) -4 -5

d. Berdasarkan Skala Usaha < 300 juta (-42,40%)

2,5 - 50 miliar

(-7,51%) -5 -3

e. Berdasarkan Sasaran Penjualan Ekspor (-28,57%)

Perusahaan Lain

(-11,78%) -20 -4

Nominal Penurunan (Rp) Persentase Penurunan Orang Rp Rp

Optimisme

8.9% 76.7% 14.4% Sangat Optimis Optimis Kurang Optimis

Faktor yang Mempengaruhi

Pendapatan Masyarakat Masih Tinggi 9.7% Kurs Dollar yang Terkendali 23.6% Kebijakan Pemerintah yang Dilakukan 31.3% Akses Dana yang Semakin Luas

16.0% Suku Bunga

(29)

Inflasi Jakarta

0

.7

2 1.0

1 0 .2 1 0 .2 5 0 .1 9 0 .0 7 0 .6 6 0 .8 2 0 .3 6 0 .9 8 -0 .2 4 0 .8 6 1 .8 6 0 .2

9 0.8

2

0

.7

9 1

.5

1 1.9

4 1 .2 6 0 .2 4 1 .0 2 0 .4 2 0 .3 4 0 .1 1 -0 .2 4 -0 .2 2 0 .3 3 -0 .1 5 0 .1 7 0 .1 3 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

1 2 34 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 56 78 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 56

2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y -4 0 4 8 12 16 %, m-t-m m-t-m y-o-y(rhs) panen panen lebaran lebaran kenaikan harga internasional panen harga BBM bersubsidi rata2 meningkat 28,7%

dampak 2nd round kenaikan harga BBM

Des : 1st round effect Jan&Feb:1st+2nd round effect penurunan BBM 3,45 1.13 -0.16 0.22 0.29 1.92 1.26 1.45 3.45

-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

(30)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

30

-5

0 5 10 15 20

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1p Q2

2007 2008 2009

Jakarta (y-o-y,%)

Bhn Makanan Mknn jadi Perumahan Pakaian

Kesehatan Pendidikan Transportasi IHK

-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

2007 2008 2009

Jakarta %(q-t-q)

Bhn Makanan Mknn jadi

Perumahan Pakaian

Kesehatan Pendidikan

Transportasi IHK

Sumber : BPS, di ol a h

Tw I 09

Tw II 09

Tw IV 08 - I 09

Tw I - II 09

Minyak Solar

4,500

-6.3

0.0

Premium

4,500

-10.0

0.0

Minyak Tanah

5,681

-11.2

0.0

Pertamax Plus

6,300

6,600

-8.0

4.8

Pertamax

5,600

6,000

-13.8

7.1

Pertamax Dex

5,800

6,550

-28.4

12.9

Sumber : Pertamina

Perubahan (%)

Harga (Rp)

(31)

(32)

32

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6

2007 2008 2009

ton 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 ri bua n ton

Pa s oka n Ha ri a n Pengel ua ra n Ha ri a n Stok Ha ri a n (rhs ) Sumber : PIBC

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6

2007 2008 2009

Rp 4800 5000 5200 5400 5600 5800 6000 6200 6400 Ton Pasokan Harian

Harga Beras Rata-rata Eceran Psr. Jaya (rhs)

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6

2007 2008 2009

ribu ton 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 Rp/kg Pasokan Sayur Rata-rata Harga Sayur (rhs) Sumber : Biro Adms Perekonomian Jakarta

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6

2007 2008 2009

ri bu ton

5000 5500 6000 6500 7000 7500 Rp/kg

Pa s oka n Bua h Ra ta -ra ta Ha rga Bua h (rhs ) Sumber : Bi ro Adms Perekonomi a n Ja ka rta

2000 7000 12000 17000 22000 27000 32000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6

2007 2008 2009

Rp

Gula pasir Tepung terigu Minyak goreng curah Telur ayam ras Ayam Boiler/Potong

Sumber : Bi ro Adms Perekonomi a n Ja ka rta

Perkembangan Nilai Tukar Rupiah terhadap USD

8000 8500 9000 9500 10000 10500 11000 11500 12000 12500

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6

2007 2008 2009

Rp

(33)

1 2 3 4 1 2*

Jakarta DPK Rp Miliar 717.000,7 765.022,5 785.919,1 868.802,7 880.839,2 879.948,0

Pertumbuhan (%, y-o-y) 15,7 15,8 15,2 15,6 21,7 20,0

Kredit Lokasi Bank Rp Miliar 524.871,4 577.897,6 633.266,8 674.870,4 665.407,9 658.474,7

Pertumbuhan (%, y-o-y) 32,5 34,8 40,5 33,0 26,8 18,9

Kredit Lokasi Proyek Rp Miliar 374.904,6 408.253,9 450.225,6 483.947,8 476.032,0 472.483,2

Pertumbuhan (%, y-o-y) 30,4 31,7 38,5 33,8 27,0 21,0

LDR (%) 73,2 75,5 80,6 77,7 75,5 74,8

NPL (%) 3,9 3,8 3,6 3,8 4,5 4,6

*) s.d. Mei 2009

(34)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

34

-10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

%

Rp triliun DPK Jakarta

Total (lhs) g(q-t-q)

g(y-o-y)

-20 -10 0 10 20 30 40

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y Jakarta

(35)

Rp Triliun -100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

Deposito Tabungan Giro Jakarta 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000

5 6 7 8 910 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910 11 121 2 3 4 5

2007 2008 2009

Rp triliun Sektor Swasta Lainnya Pemerintah Daerah BU Bukan-Keuangan Milik Swasta BU Bukan Keuangan Milik Negara Lembaga Keuangan Lainnya

Suku Bunga Ra ta -ra ta Ba nk Umum

Gi ro Depos i to 1 bl n Depos i to 3 bl n Depos i to 6 bl n

Ta bunga n 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5

2008 2009

%

Ja ka rta

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5

2007 2008 2009

tri l i un rupi a h

-10 0 10 20 30 40 50 %

Tota l kredi t (s i s i ki ri ) y-o-y y-t-d 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

% -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 triliun rupiah

(36)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

36

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

% -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 triliun rupiah

Investasi (sisi kiri) g.Investasi (y-o-y) g.Investasi (y-to-d) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

% -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 triliun rupiah

Konsumsi (sisi kiri) gKonsumsi (y-o-y) gKonsumsi (y-to-d) Jakarta -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y Industri Perdagangan Jasa DU Jakarta -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y

Konstruksi

(37)

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

Rp triliun 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 % Nominal Non Performing Loan Jakarta Non Performing Loan (%) (rhs)

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

% Konsumsi Modal Kerja Investasi batas NPL 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

%

Jasa Dunia Usaha Lain-Lain Industri Pengolahan Perdg, Rest, dan Hotel

batas NPL 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

%

Konstruksi Peng., Pergd., dan Kom. Pert., Perb., & Alat Pert. Pertambangan batas NPL 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

triliun rupiah

Kredit lokasi bank Kredit Lokasi Proyek

40 50 60 70 80 90

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

(38)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

38

(Miliar Rp/Billions of IDR)

Tw I/Qrt I Tw II/Qrt II Tw III/Qrt III Tw IV/Qrt IV Feb/Feb Tw I/Qrt I Pertumbuhan/ April/April Mei/May Pertumbuhan/

Baki Debet/Outstanding 2008 2008 r 2008 2008 2009 2009 Growth 2009 2009 Growth

Tw I 08 - Tw I 09 Mei 08 - Mei 09

1. DKI Jakarta/DKI Jakarta 114,323.4 123,843.4 135,739.1 137,231.6 133,721.1 133,817.4 17.1% 134,201.2 140,555.1 17.3%

2. Jawa Barat/West Java 84,794.2 93,535.9 99,950.3 102,128.9 102,268.3 103,425.1 22.0% 105,222.3 105,269.1 16.9%

3. Jawa Timur/East Java 65,159.2 71,790.3 75,956.2 77,308.7 77,316.0 78,499.4 20.5% 79,024.7 79,554.1 15.3%

4. Jawa Tengah/Central Java 53,631.9 58,945.8 62,292.6 63,384.6 63,006.6 63,833.5 19.0% 64,498.9 65,098.6 14.9%

5. Sumatera Utara/North Sumatra 28,054.9 31,748.1 34,279.0 34,495.9 34,040.8 34,552.2 23.2% 35,015.4 35,356.6 16.3%

6. Banten/Banten 22,865.5 25,534.9 28,456.5 29,884.5 29,692.6 29,148.9 27.5% 29,359.4 29,579.1 20.5%

7. Sulawesi Selatan/South Sulawesi b _18,343.9 _20,379.5 _21,835.0 _22,410.4 _22,407.4 _22,834.2 _24.5% _23,204.5 _23,546.7 _19.8%

8. Riau/Riaua _13,356.0 _15,601.3 _16,927.1 _17,020.4 _17,044.4 _17,380.7 _30.1% _17,630.3 _17,816.1 _21.9%

9. Bali/Bali 13,293.3 14,714.5 15,779.5 16,311.4 16,524.8 16,765.7 26.1% 17,059.5 17,051.9 20.3%

10. Sumatera Selatan/South Sumatera 11,191.6 12,787.5 14,117.6 14,289.2 14,398.7 14,745.1 31.8% 15,194.0 15,490.5 29.7%

Total 10 Propinsi/Total of 10 Provinces 425,013.8 468,881.2 505,332.8 514,465.6 510,420.9 515,002.2 21.2% 520,410.2 529,317.8 17.4% Propinsi Lainnya/Other Provinces 115,763.8 131,654.4 142,348.3 145,979.7 145,848.7 148,794.8 28.5% 151,554.0 153,520.7 22.0% Total Kredit MKM Nasional/Total of National's

MSM Credits 540,777.6 600,535.6 647,681.1 660,445.3 656,269.6 663,797.0 22.7% 671,964.2 682,838.5 18.4%

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

Rp triliun

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Rp ribu triliun UMKM Jakarta

UMKM Nasional(rhs)

-5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

%, y-o-y

(39)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

RTGS (Rp Miliar) 77,568 93,101 95,038 97,597 106,742 83,953 82,046 65,490 59,093 72,102

Dari Jakarta 42,669 51,755 53,560 54,358 59,795 47,093 47,594 39,080 35,302 42,783

ke Jakarta(f-t) 17,399 20,803 21,123 21,472 23,358 18,120 17,434 13,637 11,985 15,320

ke Luar Jakarta(f) 25,270 30,952 32,437 32,886 36,437 28,973 30,160 25,443 23,316 27,463

Ke Jakarta 34,899 41,346 41,478 43,239 46,947 36,860 34,452 26,409 23,791 29,320

dari Luar Jakarta(t) 34,899 41,346 41,478 43,239 46,947 36,860 34,452 26,409 23,791 29,320

RTGS (Volume) 18,251 20,412 21,278 23,696 25,170 22,797 20,761 20,854 18,947 20,396

Dari Jakarta 9,180 10,259 10,635 11,963 12,180 11,071 11,678 11,914 10,606 11,502 2009

(40)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

40

Volume

Nominal

(miliar rupiah)

1

149.564

2.235

2

177.479

1.954

3

176.950

2.586

4

188.975

2.780

1

158.162

2.105

2

189.459

2.759

3

196.663

2.998

4

198.518

3.095

1

198.919

3.174

2

217.356

3.499

3

225.148

3.648

4

213.995

3.510

1

190.947

2.994

187.848

2.538

2008

2009

Triwulan

2006

(41)

Nominal

(juta Rupiah)

Volume

(lembar)

Nominal

(juta Rupiah)

Volume

(lembar)

Nominal

(%)

Volume

(%)

1

11,818

585

2,235,169

149,564

0.53

0.39

2

14,772

658

1,953,718

177,479

0.76

0.37

3

13,232

657

2,586,290

176,950

0.51

0.37

4

15,126

722

2,780,473

188,975

0.54

0.38

1

14,193

642

2,105,110

158,162

0.67

0.41

2

12,368

605

2,759,094

189,459

0.45

0.32

3

14,479

480

2,998,294

196,663

0.48

0.24

4

12,926

537

3,094,510

198,518

0.42

0.27

1

14,943

514

3,173,572

198,919

0.47

0.26

2

15,424

513

3,498,543

217,356

0.44

0.24

3

20,185

587

3,647,637

225,148

0.55

0.26

4

20,233

677

3,510,452

213,995

0.58

0.32

1

19,249

625

2,993,592

190,947

0.64

0.33

20,226

606

2,538,039

187,848

0.80

0.32

2009

2008

2007

Kliring Total

Triwulan

2006

Persentase

Penarikan Cek/BG Kosong

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1

2006 2007 2008 2009

Rp Milliar/hari Inflow

Outflow (300) (250) (200) (150) (100) (50) -50 100 150

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1

2006 2007 2008 2009

(42)

(43)

-500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000

Feb 06 Feb 07 Feb 08 Feb 09

ribuan orang

400 420 440 460 480 500 520 540 560 580 600 ribuan orang

Angkatan Kerja Bekerja Pengangguran (rhs)

14.3

13.3

11.1

12.0

10.4

9.8

8.5

8.1

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Feb 06

Feb 07

Feb 08

Feb 09

%

Tingkat pengangguran Jakarta

(44)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

44

Pertumbuhan (%)

Feb 08

Feb 09

Feb 08

Feb 09

Primer

31.91

29.60

0.79

0.71

(7.24)

Sekunder

898.27

803.17

22.15

19.18

(10.59)

Tersier

3,124.80

3,354.19

77.06

80.11

7.34

Total

4,054.98

4,186.96

100.00

3.25

Share (%)

Jumlah Tenaga Kerja

(ribuan)

Lapangan

Angka Kemiskinan

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

%

DKI Jakarta 4.6 4.3 3.6

Jawa 15.9 13.6 12.5

Sumatera 15.7 14.4 13.2

Bali dan NT 19.7 18.5 17.1

Kalimantan 10.1 8.9 7.3

Sulawesi 19.3 17.6 16.7

Maluku/Papua 30.8 28.3 28.0

Nasional 16.6 15.4 14.2

2007 2008 2009

18.3 18.4 19.1 18.6

20.2 22.4

23.5 23.3

19.7

15.4 15.6

14.9 16.1 15.7

17.3 21.2

20.6 19.5

16.1

11.8

-5 10 15 20 25

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

2007 2008 2009

Indeks Kesengsaraan Jakarta

Nasional

(45)

Indeks Pembangunan manusia

76.1 76.2

76.4 76.5

75 75.5 76 76.5 77

2005 2006 2007 2008

(46)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

(47)

Proporsi Pendapatan

0 15 30 45 60 75 90

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

%

Pendapatan Asli Daerah Dana Perimbangan

Sumber : Badan Pengelola Keuangan Daerah

Propors i Be l a nja

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

%

Be l a nja Admi ni s tra s i da n Ops Be l a nja Moda l

(48)

48

Uraian (Rp Miliar)

Anggaran 2008

Realisasi Juni

2008

%

Anggaran 2009

Realisasi Juni

2009

%

P e n d a p a t a n

Pendapatan Asli Daerah

10,381.5

4,764.2

45.9

11,134.5

4,525.3

40.6

Pajak Daerah

8,484.3

4,160.0

49.0

9,397.0

3,947.2

42.0

Retribusi Daerah

363.6

145.0

39.9

384.6

212.6

55.3

Laba Perusahaan Milik Daerah

171.0

13.2

7.7

180.0

87.8

48.8

Lain-Lain Pendapatan

1,362.7

446.1

32.7

1,172.9

277.7

23.7

Dana Perimbangan

8,380.0

1,668.1

19.9

9,540.0

2,780.2

29.1

Total Pendapatan Daerah

18,761.5

6,432.3

34.3

20,674.5

7,305.5

35.3

B e l a n j a

Belanja Tidak Langsung

6,392.1

2,081.8

32.6

6,710.7

2,724.3

40.6

Belanja Pegawai

5,695.0

2,062.9

36.2

6,260.7

2,674.3

42.7

Belanja Bunga

15.3

8.0

52.2

9.9

5.0

50.5

Belanja Hibah

200.0

-

289.8

42.9

14.8

Belanja Bantuan Sosial

433.0

5.9

1.4

65.1

2.0

3.1

Belanja Tidak Terduga

48.8

5.0

10.2

85.2

-

-Belanja Langsung

14,131.2

2,448.3

17.3

15,428.8

2,911.1

18.9

Belanja Pegawai

2,339.8

774.3

33.1

1,872.0

677.1

36.2

Belanja Barang dan Jasa

6,684.0

1,394.9

20.9

7,611.9

1,607.9

21.1

Belanja Modal

5,107.4

279.0

5.5

5,944.9

626.1

10.5

(49)

(50)

(51)

(52)

52

(53)

DKI

Q1-2008 Q2-2008 Q3-2008 Q4-2008* 2008* Q1-2009* Q2-2009p Q3-2009p

Konsumsi 7.7 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.7 6.2 6.2 - 6.6 6.3 - 6.7

Investasi 8.3 8.6 8.9 8.1 8.5 4.0 2.7 - 3.1 2.9 - 3.3

Ekspor 6.4 0.8 0.5 0.7 2.0 0.6 (0.8) - 0.5 (0.5) - 0.7

Impor 17.3 12.5 8.5 12.9 12.6 5.9 1.2 - 1.6 1.5 - 2.0

Net Ekspor -24.3 -33.8 -29.3 -40.4 -30.7 -22.8 (11.4 ) - (11.0) (11.0 ) - (10.5)

P D R B 6.3 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.2 5.2 4.8 - 5.2 4.9 - 5.3

(54)

54

-30

-20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

1234 56789 10 11 12 1 23456789 10 11 12 1 2345

2007 2008 2009

%, yoy

Perkembangan Ekspor Komoditi Utama Alas Kaki Bubur kertas & kertas Serat/Benang Tekstil Kain tenun

DKI

Q1-2008 Q2-2008 Q3-2008 Q4-2008* 2008* Q1-2009* Q2-2009p Q3-2009p

Pertanian 1.4 -0.3 0.7 1.4 0.8 1.4 (0.6) - (0.2) 0.4 - 0.5

Pertambangan 1.5 0.1 -0.3 0.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 - 0.3 (0.3) - 0.1

Industri 4.1 3.8 3.9 3.6 4.0 1.6 (0.2) - 0.5 1.3 - 1.8

Listrik 6.8 7.0 5.6 5.9 6.3 6.2 6.2 - 6.6 6.0 - 6.4

Bangunan 7.5 7.6 7.8 7.8 7.8 6.3 6.3 - 6.7 6.4 - 6.8

Perdagangan 6.9 6.3 6.1 5.7 6.3 3.9 4.1 -4.5 4.1 -4.5

Pengangkutan 15.0 14.8 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.6 14.9 -15.3 14.9 -15.3

Keuangan 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.8 4.0 4.3 4.3 - 4.7 4.3 - 4.7

Jasa-jasa 6.3 6.1 6.0 5.9 6.0 5.5 5.6 - 6.0 5.4 - 5.8

PDRB 6.3 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.2 5.2 4.8 - 5.2 4.9 - 5.3

(55)

Retail Sector

1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000

IV I II III IV I II III IV I IIp

2006 2007 2008 2009

ribu m2

80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 100 %

Unit Tersedia Occupation Rate (rhs)

(56)

Kajian Ekonomi Regional Jakarta

56

Perkemba nga n Kredi t Perba nka n

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5

2006 2007 2008 2009

%

(57)

(58)

58

H-2

H

H+2

H+6

15 Juli 2009

17 Juli 2009

19 Juli 2009

23 Juli 2009

1

Pacific Place

Normal

-35%

-25%

-20%

2

Grand Indonesia

Normal

-45%

-30%

3

Plaza Senayan

Normal

-30%

-40%

-20%

4

PIM

Normal

2%

Normal

5

Blok M Plaza

Normal

10%

Normal

6

Citra Land

Normal

-2%

7

Plaza Semanggi

Normal

-42%

-6%

6%

Sumber : Asosiasi Pengusaha Pusat Belanja Indonesia (APPBI)

Nama Mall

No

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 18/7 19/7 20/7 21/7 22/7

2008 2009

Kedatangan Turis Harian Hotel Occupancy Rate (rhs)

orang/hari

Bom Jakarta tanggal 17 Juli 2009

Sumber: BPS , PHRI, dan kantor imigrasi Bandara Sukarno-Hatta (diolah)