Chp 8. Concept Testing
Planning DevelopmentConcept System-LevelDesign DesignDetail Testing andRefinement ProductionRamp-Up
Qualitative Concept Testing Quantitative Concept Testing Testing Testing
Test Konsep dilakukan untuk
Beberapa Alasan
Beberapa Alasan
• Go/no-go decisionsg • What market to be in?
• Selecting among alternative concepts • Confirming concept selection decision • Benchmarking
• Soliciting improvement ideas • Forecasting demand
Concept Testing Process
Definisikan alasan dari test konsep
• Konsep mana yang akan dilanjutkan
Konsep mana yang akan dilanjutkan
pengembangannya
• Bagaimana konsep diperaiki
• Bagaimana konsep diperaiki
• Berapa perkiraan produk yang akan
t j
l
terjual
• Dapatkah proses pengembangan
dilanjutkan pada masa y.a.d
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsepp 2. Pilih populasi survey
Populasi survey
• Sesuai dengan target
Sesuai dengan target
• Bila target lebih dari 1 segmen, maka
sebaiknya memilih dari setiap segmen untuk
y
p
g
mengetahui tanggapan tiap segmen
• Penentu ukuran sampel :
p
– Pengujian di awal vs di akhir proses
– Pengujian untuk data kualitatif vs kuantitatif – Survei mahal, lama vs survei cepat, murah – Investasi produk kecil vs besar
P i t t b k il
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsepp 2. Pilih populasi survey
3. Pilih format survey
Face-to-face, surat, telephone, e-mail, Internet.
4. Komunikasikan konsep
V b l d i ti k t h h t d d i
Verbal description, sketch, photos and renderings, storyboard, video, simulation, interactive multimedia, physical appearance model, working prototypes.
Mengukur respon pelanggan
• Dimulai dengan komunikasi produkg p • Skala ukuran keinginan konsumen :
– Pasti akan membeli – Mungkin akan membeli
– Mungkin, atau tidak akan membeli – Tidak akan membeliTidak akan membeli
– Pasti tidak akan membeli
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsep 2. Pilih populasi survey
3. Pilih format survey
F t f t t l h il I t t
Face-to-face, surat, telephone, e-mail, Internet.
4. Komunikasikan konsep
Verbal description, sketch, photos and renderings, p p g storyboard, video, simulation, interactive multimedia, physical appearance model, working prototypes.
5. Ukur respon konsumenp
6. Interpretasikan hasilnya (lihat slide berikut) 7. Refleksikan pada hasil dan prosesnya
Concept Testing Example:
emPower Electric Scooter
emPower Electric Scooter
• Purpose of concept test:p p – What market to be in? • Sample population:
– College students who live 1-3 miles from campus – Factory transportation • Survey format:
Concept Testing Process
Concept Testing Example:
emPower Electric Scooter
emPower Electric Scooter
• Purpose of concept test:p p – What market to be in?
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsepp 2. Pilih populasi survey
Concept Testing Example:
emPower Electric Scooter
emPower Electric Scooter
• Purpose of concept test:p p – What market to be in? • Sample population:
– College students who live 1-3 miles from campus – Factory transportation
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsepp 2. Pilih populasi survey
3. Pilih format survey
Concept Testing Example:
emPower Electric Scooter
emPower Electric Scooter
• Purpose of concept test:p p – What market to be in? • Sample population:
– College students who live 1-3 miles from campus – Factory transportation • Survey format:
Survey Format
• PART 1, Qualification
– How far do you live from campus?How far do you live from campus?
• <If not 1-3 miles, thank the customer and end interview.>
– How do you currently get to campus from home? How do you currently get around campus?
– How do you currently get around campus?
• PART 2, Product Description
Survey Format
• PART 3, Purchase Intent
If the product were priced according to your expectations – If the product were priced according to your expectations,
how likely would you be to purchase the scooter within the next year?
I would I would I might I would I would
definitely not purchase the scooter. g or might not purchase the scooter. definitely purchase the scooter. probably not purchase the scooter. probably purchase the scooter. “top box” “second box”
Survey Format
• PART 4, Comments
– What would you expect the price of the scooter to be?What would you expect the price of the scooter to be? – What concerns do you have about the product concept? – Can you make any suggestions for improving the product
concept? concept?
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsepp 2. Pilih populasi survey
3. Pilih format survey
Face-to-face, surat, telephone, e-mail, Internet.
4. Komunikasikan konsep
V b l d i ti k t h h t d d i
Verbal description, sketch, photos and renderings, storyboard, video, simulation, interactive multimedia, physical appearance model, working prototypes.
Verbal Description
• The product is a lightweight electric scooter that p g g can be easily folded and taken with you inside a building or on public transportation.
Th t i h b t 25 d It t l t
• The scooter weighs about 25 pounds. It travels at speeds of up to 15 miles per hour and can go
about 12 miles on a single charge. abou es o a s g e c a ge
• The scooter can be recharged in about two hours from a standard electric outlet.
• The scooter is easy to ride and has simple controls — just an accelerator button and a brake.
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsep 2. Pilih populasi survey
3. Pilih format survey
F t f t t l h il I t t
Face-to-face, surat, telephone, e-mail, Internet.
4. Komunikasikan konsep
Verbal description, sketch, photos and renderings, p p g storyboard, video, simulation, interactive multimedia, physical appearance model, working prototypes.
5. Ukur respon konsumenp
6. Interpretasikan hasilnya (lihat slide berikut) 7. Refleksikan pada hasil dan prosesnya
Interpretasikan Hasilnya
• Jika memilih satu di antara beberapa konsep, p p, interpretasi dari hasil respon konsumen akan langsung terlihat. Tapi jika hasilnya tidak dapat disimpulkan mungkin konsep harus dipilih
disimpulkan, mungkin konsep harus dipilih
berdasarkan biaya atau pertimbangan lainnya. • Selain itu, test konsep ini dilakukan juga untuk Se a u, es o sep d a u a juga u u
meramalkan penjualan potensial di masa depan. Perhitungan dilakukan sbb:
Forecasting Sales
Q = N x A x P
• Q = kuantitas produk yang diharapkan terjual (thn) • N = jumlah konsumen potensial (thn)
A f k i d i k t i l t k b li jik
• A = fraksi dari konsumen potensial untuk membeli jika produk tersedia, dan berapa banyak yang menyadari keberadaan produk (awarenessxavailability)
• P = probabilitas bahwa produk akan dibeli jika tersedia dan konsumen menyadari keberadaannya (hasil survey).
P = Cdef x Fdef + Cprob x Fprob
“second box” “top box”
Forecasting Example
• College Student Market
– N = off-campus grad students (200,000) – A = 0.2 (realistic) to 0.8 (every bike shop) – P = 0.4 x top-box + 0.2 x second-box
– Q = 2,000,000 x 0.30 x 0.05 – Price point $795
• Factory Transport Market
– N = current bicycle and scooter sales to factories (150,000) – A = 0.25 (single distributor’s share)
– P = 0.4 x top-box + 0.2 x second-box
– Q = 150,000 x 0.25 x [0.4 x 0.3 + 0.2 x 0.2] – = 6000 units/yr
emPower’s Market Decision:
Factory Transportation
Sumber forecast error
• Word-of-Mouth
Effects
• Quality of Concept
Description
• Pricing
• Level of Promotion
• Level of Promotion
• Competition
Discussion
• Why do respondents typically overestimate y p yp y purchase intent?
– Might they ever underestimate intent?
H t i i ?
• How to use price in surveys?
• How much does the way the concept is communicated matter?
communicated matter?
– When shouldn’t a prototype model be shown?
• How do you increase sales, Q?y
• How does early (qualitative) concept testing differ from later (quantitative) testing?