Model Summaryb
Model R R
Square
Adjusted
R Square
Std. Error
of the
Estimate
Change Statistics Durbin-Watson
R Square
Change
F Change df1 D
f2
Sig. F
Change
1 .964a .929 .922 571.6334 1
.929 131.742 1 10 .000 .780
a. Predictors: (Constant), periode
b. Dependent Variable: permintaan
Coefficientsa
Model Unstandardized
Coefficients
Standardiz
ed
Coefficient
s
t Sig. 95.0% Confidence
Interval for B
Correlations Collinearity
Statistics
B Std. Error Beta Lower
Bound
Upper
Bound
Zero-order Parti
al
Part Toleranc
e
VIF
1
(Constant
)
13183.636 351.816 37.47
3
.000 12399.741 13967.531
periode 548.671 47.802 .964 11.47 8
.000 442.161 655.182 .964 .964 .964 1.000 1.000
Lampiran 3.Hasilperhitungandengan program dinamik
Tahap 1 (Oktober 2015)
I1 XI A B A.XI B.I1 Total Optimal
0 20523 700 300 14366100 0 14366100 14366100
1000 21523 700 300 15066100 300000 15366100
1500 22023 700 300 15416100 450000 15866100
2000 22523 700 300 15766100 600000 16366100
1 1 = � {( . 1 + . 1 )} , 1 + 1 − 0 1 1 + 1
Tahap 2 (November 2015)
I2 X2 A.X2 B.I2
Cost Tahap 2
− Total Cost Optimal
0 21078 14754600 0 14754600 14366100 29120700 29120700
1000 22078 15454600 300000 15754600 14366100 30120700
1500 22578 15804600 450000 16254600 14366100 30620700
2000 23078 16154600 600000 16754600 14366100 31120700
1 1 = � {( . 2 + . 2 )+ 1( 2 + 2 − 2) } 2 + 2 − 000 2 2 + 2
Tahap 3 (Desember 2015)
I3 X3 A.X3 B.I3
Cost Tahap 3
– 3 Total Cost Optimal
0 21632 15142400 0 15142400 29120700 44263100 44263100
1000 22632 15842400 300000 16142400 29120700 45263100
2000 23632 16542400 600000 17142400 29120700 46263100
3 3 = � {( . 3 + . 3 )+ 2( 3 + 3 – 3) } 3 + 3 − 000 3 3 + 3
Tahap 4 (Januari 2016)
I4 X4 A.X4 B.I4 Cost Tahap 4
– Total Optimum
0 22187 15530900 0 15530900 44263100 59794000 59794000
1000 23187 16230900 300000 16530900 44263100 60794000
1500 23687 16580900 450000 17030900 44263100 61294000
2000 24187 16930900 600000 17530900 44263100 61794000
4 4 = � {( . 4 + . 4 )+ 3( 4 + 4 – 4) } 4+ 4 − 000 4 4 + 4
Tahap 5 (Februari 2016)
I5 X5 A.X5 B.I5 Cost Tahap 5
– Total Optimum
0 22741 15918700 0 15918700 59794000 75712700 75712700
1000 23741 16618700 300000 16918700 59794000 76712700
1500 24241 16968700 450000 17418700 59794000 77212700
2000 24741 17318700 600000 17918700 59794000 77712700
5 5 = � {( . 5 + . 5) + 4( 5 + 5 – 5) } 5+ 5 − 000 5 5 + 5
Tahap 6 (Maret 2016)
X6 A.X6 B.I6 Cost Tahap 6 – Total Optimal
23296 16307200 0 16307200 75712700 92019900 92019900
24296 17007200 300000 17307200 75712700 93019900
24796 17357200 450000 17807200 75712700 93519900
25296 17707200 600000 18307200 75712700 94019900
6+ 6− 000 6 6+ 6
Tahap 7 (April 2016)
X7 A.X7 B.I7 Cost Tahap 7 – Total Optimal
23850 16695000 0 16695000 92019900 108714900 108714900
24850 17395000 300000 17695000 92019900 109714900
25350 17745000 450000 18195000 92019900 110214900
25850 18095000 600000 18695000 92019900 110714900
7 7= � {( . 7+ . 7) + 6( 7+ 7– 7) } 7+ 7− 000 7 7+ 7
Tahap 8(Mei 2016)
X8 A.X8 B.I8 Cost Tahap 8 – Total Optimal
24405 17083500 0 17083500 108714900 125798400 125798400
25405 17783500 300000 18083500 108714900 126798400
25905 18133500 450000 18583500 108714900 127298400
26405 18483500 600000 19083500 108714900 127798400
8 8= � {( . 8+ . 8) + 7( 8+ 8– 8) } 8+ 8− 000 8 8+ 8
Tahap 9(Juni 2016)
X9 A.X9 B.I9 Cost Tahap 9 – Total Optimal
24960 17472000 0 17472000 125798400 143270400 143270400
25960 18172000 300000 18472000 125798400 144270400
26460 18522000 450000 18972000 125798400 144770400
26960 18872000 600000 19472000 125798400 145270400
Tahap 10(Juli 2016)
X10 A.X10 B.I10 Cost Tahap
10
– 0 Total Optimal
25514 17859800 0 17859800 143270400 161130200 161130200
26514 18559800 300000 18859800 143270400 162130200
27014 18909800 450000 19359800 143270400 162630200
27514 19259800 600000 19859800 143270400 163130200
10 10= � {( . 10+ . 10) + 9( 10+ 10– 10) } 10+ 10− 000 10 10+ 10
Tahap 11 (Agustus 2016)
X11 A.X11 B.I11 Cost Tahap 11
– Total Optimal
26069 18248300 0 18248300 161130200 179378500 179378500
27069 18948300 300000 19248300 161130200 180378500
27569 19298300 450000 19748300 161130200 180878500
28069 19648300 600000 20248300 161130200 181378500
11 11 = � {( . 11 + . 11) + 10( 11 + 11 – 11) } 11+ 11 − 000 11 11 + 11
Tahap 12 (September 2016)
X12 A.X12 B.I12 Cost Tahap 12
– Total Optimal
26623 18636100 0 18636100 179378500 198014600 198014600
27623 19336100 300000 19636100 179378500 199014600
28123 19686100 450000 20136100 179378500 199514600
28623 20036100 600000 20636100 179378500 200014600