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Analisis Fundamental Terhadap Return Saham Pada Periode Bullish Dan Bearish (Studi Kasus Perusahaan Manufaktur Yang Terdaftar di BEI tahun 2000 dan 2006) - Unika Repository

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, Jakarta : Erlangga.

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Pasar Modal di

Indonesia,Pendekatan Tanya Jawab

, Jakarta : Salemba Empat.

Ghozali, Imam., 2006,

Aplikasi Analisis Multivariat Dengan Program SPSS

,

Semarang : UNDIP.

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Teori Akuntansi Laporan Keuangan

, Jakarta : PT. Bumi

Aksara.

Indriantoro, Nur, dan Supomo., B. 1999

,

Metodologi Penelitian Bisnis

Untuk Akuntansi & Manajemen

.

Edisi Pertama. Yogyakarta : BPFE.

Jauhari, Budi Rusman dan Basuki Wibowo., 2004, Analisis Fundamental Terhadap

Return Saham Pada Periode

Bullish

dan

Bearish

Indeks Harga Saham

Gabungan,

Jurnal Akuntansi dan Keuangan

, Vol.9, No. 2, Juli 2004.

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, Yogyakarta : BPFE.

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Jakarta : Pustaka Sinar

Harapan.

Sasongko, Noer dan Nila Wulandari, 2006, Pengaruh Eva dan Rasio-Rasio

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Jurnal

, 2006, Empirika.

Sugiyono, 2004,

Metodologi Penelitian Bisnis

, Cetakan ketujuh, Bandung :

Alfabeta.

Suhardi, Michell, 2005, Jurnal, Studi Empiris Terhadap Return Saham Pada

Industri Food and Beverages di BEJ,

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,

Vol.7, No. 2, Surabaya : Universitas Kristen Petra.

Tandelin, 2000, Beta Pasar

Bullish

dan

Bearish

,

Jurnal

,

www.digilib.petra.ac.id.

(2)

PERIODE

BEARISH (

2000)

Frequencies

Statistics

91 91 91 91 91

0 0 0 0 0

18.9437 2.0631 3.6476 -18.8142 -.04200120380 3.0000 1.1500 1.5200 6.2700 -.03293098900 118.57716 2.81026 4.90151 93.47328 .042243931854 -44.39 .17 .13 -639.44 -.143361048 1112.66 18.09 21.87 242.41 .036348563 Valid

Missing N

Mean Median Std. Deviation Minimum Maximum

PER PBV DTE ROE RETURN SAHAM

One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test

91 .0000000 .03953952 .109 .057 -.109 1.038 .232 N

Mean

Std. Deviation Normal Parametersa,b

Absolute Positive Negative Most Extreme

Differences

Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed)

Unstandardiz ed Residual

Test distribution is Normal. a.

(3)

Regression

Descriptive Statistics

-.04200120380 .042243931854 91

18.9437 118.57716 91

2.0631 2.81026 91

3.6476 4.90151 91

-18.8142 93.47328 91

RETURN SAHAM PER

PBV DTE ROE

Mean Std. Deviation N

Correlations

1.000 .054 .208 -.132 .246

.054 1.000 .193 -.104 .051

.208 .193 1.000 .220 -.153

-.132 -.104 .220 1.000 -.759

.246 .051 -.153 -.759 1.000

. .305 .024 .107 .009

.305 . .033 .164 .316

.024 .033 . .018 .074

.107 .164 .018 . .000

.009 .316 .074 .000 .

91 91 91 91 91

91 91 91 91 91

91 91 91 91 91

91 91 91 91 91

91 91 91 91 91

RETURN SAHAM PER PBV DTE ROE RETURN SAHAM PER PBV DTE ROE RETURN SAHAM PER PBV DTE ROE Pearson Correlation Sig. (1-tailed) N RETURN

SAHAM PER PBV DTE ROE

Model Summaryb

.352a .124 .083 .040448590743 .124 3.042 4 86 .021 1.621

Model 1

R R Square Adjusted R Square

Std. Error of the Estimate

R Square

Change F Change df1 df2 Sig. F Change Change Statistics

Durbin-Watson

Predictors: (Constant), ROE, PER, PBV, DTE a.

Dependent Variable: RETURN SAHAM b.

ANOVAb

.020 4 .005 3.042 .021a

.141 86 .002

.161 90 Regression Residual Total Model 1 Sum of

Squares df Mean Square F Sig.

Predictors: (Constant), ROE, PER, PBV, DTE a.

(4)

Coefficientsa

-.049 .006 -7.725 .000 -.061 -.036

-1.2E-006 .000 -.003 -.031 .975 .000 .000 .054 -.003 -.003 .938 1.066 .004 .002 .245 2.304 .024 .001 .007 .208 .241 .233 .903 1.107 .001 .001 .068 .431 .668 -.002 .003 -.132 .046 .043 .405 2.472 .000 .000 .335 2.157 .034 .000 .000 .246 .227 .218 .422 2.368 (Constant) PER PBV DTE ROE Model 1

B Std. Error Unstandardized

Coefficients

Beta Standardized

Coefficients

t Sig. Lower Bound Upper Bound 95% Confidence Interval for B

Zero-order Partial Part Correlations

Tolerance VIF Collinearity Statistics

Dependent Variable: RETURN SAHAM a.

Collinearity Diagnosticsa

2.474 1.000 .04 .01 .06 .03 .03

1.173 1.452 .02 .40 .05 .02 .09

.783 1.777 .12 .52 .05 .00 .14

.413 2.448 .37 .06 .84 .02 .01

.156 3.978 .45 .02 .00 .93 .73

Dimension 1 2 3 4 5 Model 1 Eigenvalue Condition

Index (Constant) PER PBV DTE ROE Variance Proportions

Dependent Variable: RETURN SAHAM a.

Residuals Statisticsa

-.12283565104 .02233277820 -.04200120380 .014871998169 91

-5.435 4.326 .000 1.000 91

.004 .040 .008 .006 91

-.09843342006 .06153004244 -.04134766165 .016150033540 91 -.0991925299 .075127467513 .000000000000 .039539517561 91

-2.452 1.857 .000 .978 91

-2.474 1.871 -.006 1.003 91

-.1009752378 .076270185411 -.000653542157 .041975218268 91

-2.552 1.900 -.009 1.013 91

.095 85.301 3.956 11.418 91

.000 .448 .014 .049 91

.001 .948 .044 .127 91

Predicted Value Std. Predicted Value Standard Error of Predicted Value Adjusted Predicted Value Residual

Std. Residual Stud. Residual Deleted Residual Stud. Deleted Residual Mahal. Distance Cook's Distance Centered Leverage Value

Minimum Maximum Mean Std. Deviation N

(5)

Charts

2 1

0 -1

-2 -3

Regression Standardized Residual

20

15

10

5

0

Freque

nc

y

Mean = -2.58E-16 Std. Dev. = 0.978 N = 91 Dependent Variable: RETURN SAHAM

Histogram

1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0

Observed Cum Prob 1.0

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0.0

E

x

pect

ed Cum

Prob

(6)

6 4

2 0

-2 -4

-6

Regression Standardized Predicted Value 2

1

0

-1

-2

-3

R

e

gre

ssi

on Studenti

zed R

esi

dual

(7)

PERIODE

BEARISH

(ABSOLUT)

Variables Entered/Removedb

ROE, PER,

PBV, DTEa . Enter Model

1

Variables Entered

Variables

Removed Method

All requested variables entered. a.

Dependent Variable: AbsUt b.

Model Summary

.208a .043 -.001 .0219217810 Model

1

R R Square

Adjusted R Square

Std. Error of the Estimate

Predictors: (Constant), ROE, PER, PBV, DTE a.

ANOVAb

.002 4 .000 .968 .429a

.041 86 .000

.043 90

Regression Residual Total Model 1

Sum of

Squares df Mean Square F Sig.

Predictors: (Constant), ROE, PER, PBV, DTE a.

Dependent Variable: AbsUt b.

Coefficientsa

.032 .003 9.284 .000

-2.9E-005 .000 -.159 -1.464 .147

.000 .001 .026 .232 .817

.000 .001 .041 .246 .807

-2.0E-005 .000 -.087 -.538 .592 (Constant)

PER PBV DTE ROE Model 1

B Std. Error Unstandardized

Coefficients

Beta Standardized

Coefficients

t Sig.

(8)

PERIODE

BULLISH

(2006)

Frequencies

Statistics

100 100 100 100 100

0 0 0 0 0

36.3867 1.3998 .7889 11.0249 .00487309627 10.0700 .8550 .9800 6.6800 .00000000000 151.64085 3.77685 10.38103 77.82935 .027478351307 -73.72 -22.28 -68.97 -494.35 -.070454545 1269.49 21.26 65.15 487.47 .107954545 Valid

Missing N

Mean Median Std. Deviation Minimum Maximum

PER PBV DTE ROE RETURN SAHAM

One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test

100 .0000000 .02624418 .183 .183 -.104 1.831 .002 N

Mean

Std. Deviation Normal Parametersa,b

Absolute Positive Negative Most Extreme

Differences

Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed)

Unstandardiz ed Residual

Test distribution is Normal. a.

(9)

Regression

Descriptive Statistics

.00487309627 .027478351307 100 36.3867 151.64085 100 1.3998 3.77685 100 .7889 10.38103 100 11.0249 77.82935 100 RETURN SAHAM

PER PBV DTE ROE

Mean Std. Deviation N

Correlations

1.000 -.017 .146 -.040 -.016 -.017 1.000 -.009 .028 -.023 .146 -.009 1.000 .724 -.418 -.040 .028 .724 1.000 -.755 -.016 -.023 -.418 -.755 1.000

. .433 .074 .345 .439

.433 . .463 .391 .411

.074 .463 . .000 .000

.345 .391 .000 . .000

.439 .411 .000 .000 .

100 100 100 100 100

100 100 100 100 100

100 100 100 100 100

100 100 100 100 100

100 100 100 100 100

RETURN SAHAM PER PBV DTE ROE RETURN SAHAM PER PBV DTE ROE RETURN SAHAM PER PBV DTE ROE Pearson Correlation Sig. (1-tailed) N RETURN

SAHAM PER PBV DTE ROE

Model Summaryb

.296a .088 .049 .026790991708 .088 2.286 4 95 .066 1.881

Model 1

R R Square Adjusted R Square

Std. Error of the Estimate

R Square

Change F Change df1 df2 Sig. F Change Change Statistics

Durbin-Watson

Predictors: (Constant), ROE, PER, PBV, DTE a.

Dependent Variable: RETURN SAHAM b.

ANOVAb

.007 4 .002 2.286 .066a

.068 95 .001

.075 99 Regression Residual Total Model 1 Sum of

Squares df Mean Square F Sig.

Predictors: (Constant), ROE, PER, PBV, DTE a.

(10)

Coefficientsa

.003 .003 .824 .412 -.004 .009

-6.3E-007 .000 -.003 -.036 .972 .000 .000 -.017 -.004 -.003 .997 1.003

.003 .001 .430 2.904 .005 .001 .005 .146 .286 .285 .438 2.285

-.001 .001 -.529 -2.579 .011 -.002 .000 -.040 -.256 -.253 .228 4.378

-8.3E-005 .000 -.235 -1.509 .135 .000 .000 -.016 -.153 -.148 .396 2.524

(Constant) PER PBV DTE ROE Model 1

B Std. Error

Unstandardized Coefficients

Beta Standardized

Coefficients

t Sig. Lower Bound Upper Bound

95% Confidence Interval for B

Zero-order Partial Part

Correlations

Tolerance VIF

Collinearity Statistics

Dependent Variable: RETURN SAHAM a.

Collinearity Diagnosticsa

2.229 1.000 .01 .00 .05 .04 .05

1.340 1.290 .29 .20 .01 .00 .04

.864 1.607 .13 .75 .04 .00 .03

.429 2.278 .56 .04 .31 .00 .28

.137 4.028 .01 .00 .58 .95 .60

Dimension 1 2 3 4 5 Model 1 Eigenvalue Condition

Index (Constant) PER PBV DTE ROE Variance Proportions

Dependent Variable: RETURN SAHAM a.

Residuals Statisticsa

-.0100829704 .06169740483 .00487309627 .008142655968 100

-1.837 6.979 .000 1.000 100

.003 .022 .004 .004 100

-.0130998148 .11551654339 .00594028180 .013152443306 100 -.0785785541 .080782957375 .000000000000 .026244179246 100

-2.933 3.015 .000 .980 100

-2.958 3.289 -.015 1.020 100

-.0891276971 .096104659140 -.001067185533 .029215660764 100

-3.089 3.475 -.014 1.041 100

.024 66.835 3.960 12.785 100

.000 1.337 .030 .148 100

.000 .675 .040 .129 100

Predicted Value Std. Predicted Value Standard Error of Predicted Value Adjusted Predicted Value Residual

Std. Residual Stud. Residual Deleted Residual Stud. Deleted Residual Mahal. Distance Cook's Distance Centered Leverage Value

Minimum Maximum Mean Std. Deviation N

(11)

Charts

4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3

Regression Standardized Residual 50

40

30

20

10

0

Fr

equ

e

ncy

Mean = -3.64E-17 Std. Dev. = 0.98 N = 100

Dependent Variable: RETURN SAHAM Histogram

1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0

Observed Cum Prob

1.0

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0.0

Expected Cum Prob

(12)

8 6

4 2

0 -2

Regression Standardized Predicted Value 4

3

2

1

0

-1

-2

-3

Regress

ion S

tudent

iz

ed Re

sidua

l

(13)

Regression Absolut

Variables Entered/Removedb

ROE, PER,

PBV, DTEa . Enter Model

1

Variables Entered

Variables

Removed Method

All requested variables entered. a.

Dependent Variable: AbsUT b.

Model Summary

.292a .085 .047 .0190750565 Model

1

R R Square

Adjusted R Square

Std. Error of the Estimate

Predictors: (Constant), ROE, PER, PBV, DTE a.

ANOVAb

.003 4 .001 2.219 .073a

.035 95 .000

.038 99

Regression Residual Total Model 1

Sum of

Squares df Mean Square F Sig.

Predictors: (Constant), ROE, PER, PBV, DTE a.

Dependent Variable: AbsUT b.

Coefficientsa

.017 .002 7.607 .000

-1.5E-005 .000 -.119 -1.208 .230

.002 .001 .370 2.498 .014

-.001 .000 -.489 -2.384 .019 -5.6E-005 .000 -.222 -1.426 .157 (Constant)

PER PBV DTE ROE Model 1

B Std. Error Unstandardized

Coefficients

Beta Standardized

Coefficients

t Sig.

(14)

PERIODE

BULLISH

(ABSOLUT)

Variables Entered/Removedb

ROE, PER,

PBV, DTEa . Enter Model

1

Variables Entered

Variables

Removed Method

All requested variables entered. a.

Dependent Variable: AbsUT b.

Model Summary

.292a .085 .047 .0190750565

Model 1

R R Square

Adjusted R Square

Std. Error of the Estimate

Predictors: (Constant), ROE, PER, PBV, DTE a.

ANOVAb

.003 4 .001 2.219 .073a

.035 95 .000

.038 99

Regression Residual Total Model 1

Sum of

Squares df Mean Square F Sig.

Predictors: (Constant), ROE, PER, PBV, DTE a.

(15)

Coefficientsa

.017 .002 7.607 .000

-1.5E-005 .000 -.119 -1.208 .230

.002 .001 .370 2.498 .014

-.001 .000 -.489 -2.384 .019 -5.6E-005 .000 -.222 -1.426 .157 (Constant)

PER PBV DTE ROE Model 1

B Std. Error Unstandardized

Coefficients

Beta Standardized

Coefficients

t Sig.

Referensi

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