LAMPIRAN 1
Indeks Harga Saham Asia Tenggara dan
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan
Tanggal
KLCI
STI
SET
PSE
VNE
JKSE
Malaysia Singapura Thailand
Filipina
Vietnam Indonesia
Jan-05
916.27
2,096.32
701.91
2,019.56
233.32
1,045.44
Apr-05
878.96
2,125.25
658.88
1,854.63
246.25
1,029.61
Jul-05
937.39
2,352.56
675.67
2,000.30
245.53
1,182.30
Okt-05
910.76
2,216.77
682.62
1,960.20
307.40
1,066.22
Jan-06
914.01
2,412.08
762.63
2,145.39
312.32
1,232.32
Apr-06
949.23
2,610.71
768.29
2,270.53
595.48
1,464.41
Jul-06
935.85
2,445.43
691.49
2,390.84
422.41
1,351.65
Okt-06
988.30
2,701.75
722.46
2,708.50
511.54
1,582.63
Jan-07
1,189.35
3,125.56
654.04
3,239.27
1041.33
1,757.26
Apr-07
1,322.25
3,361.29
699.16
3,270.73
923.89
1,999.17
Jul-07
1,373.71
3,547.66
859.76
3,501.20
907.95
2,348.67
Okt-07
1,413.65
3,805.70
907.28
3,758.97
1065.09
2,643.49
Jan-08
1,393.25
2,981.75
784.23
3,266.00
844.11
2,627.25
Apr-08
1,279.86
3,147.79
832.45
2,749.77
522.36
2,304.52
Jul-08
1,163.09
2,929.65
676.32
2,577.10
451.36
2,304.51
Okt-08
863.61
1,794.20
416.53
1,951.09
347.05
1,256.70
Jan-09
884.45
1,746.47
437.69
1,825.09
303.21
1,332.67
Jul-09
1,174.90
2,659.20
624.00
2,798.33
466.76
2,323.24
Okt-09
1,243.23
2,651.13
685.24
2.908.50
587.12
2,367.70
Jan-10
1,259.16
2,745.35
696.55
2,953.19
481.96
2,610.80
Apr-10
1,346.38
2,974.61
763.51
3,290.09
542.37
2,971.25
Jul-10
1,360.92
2,987.70
855.83
3,426.95
493.91
3,069.28
Okt-10
1,505.66
3,142.62
984.46
4,268.74
452.63
3,635.32
Jan-11
1,519.94
3,179.72
964.10
3,881.47
510.60
3,409.17
Apr-11
1,534.95
3,172.73
1,093.56
4,319.51
480.08
3,819.62
Jul-11
1,548.81
3,189.26
1,133.53
4,503.63
405.70
4,130.80
Okt-11
1,491.89
2,855.77
974.75
4,333.72
420.81
3,790.85
Jan-12
1,521.29
2,906.69
1,083.97
4,682.44
387.97
3,941.69
Apr-12
1,570.61
2,978.57
1,228.49
5,202.70
473.77
4,180.73
Jul-12
1,631.60
3,036.40
1,199.30
5,307.66
414.48
4,142.34
Okt-12
1,673.07
3,038.37
1,298.87
5,424.51
388.42
4,350.29
Jan-13
1,627.55
3,282.66
1,474.20
6,242.74
479.79
4,453.70
Apr-13
1,717.65
3,368.18
1,597.86
7,070.99
474.51
5,034.07
Jul-13
1,772.62
3,221.93
1,423.14
6639.12
491.85
4,610.38
LAMPIRAN 2
Uji Akar Unit Variabel Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan
(^JKSE)
Null Hypothesis: D(JKSE) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend
Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=9)
t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -5.703751 0.0002 Test critical values: 1% level -4.252879
5% level -3.548490 10% level -3.207094 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation Dependent Variable: D(JKSE,2) Method: Least Squares
Date: 07/25/14 Time: 23:30 Sample (adjusted): 2005Q3 2013Q4 Included observations: 34 after adjustments
LAMPIRAN 3
Uji Akar Unit Variabel Indeks Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
(^KLCI)
Null Hypothesis: D(KLCI) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend
Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=9)
t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -3.664007 0.0390 Test critical values: 1% level -4.252879
5% level -3.548490 10% level -3.207094 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation Dependent Variable: D(KLCI,2)
Method: Least Squares Date: 07/25/14 Time: 23:33 Sample (adjusted): 2005Q3 2013Q4 Included observations: 34 after adjustments
LAMPIRAN 4
Uji Akar Unit Variabel Indeks Straits Times
(^STI)
Null Hypothesis: D(STI) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend
Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=9)
t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -5.218326 0.0009 Test critical values: 1% level -4.252879
5% level -3.548490 10% level -3.207094 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation Dependent Variable: D(STI,2)
Method: Least Squares Date: 07/25/14 Time: 23:34 Sample (adjusted): 2005Q3 2013Q4 Included observations: 34 after adjustments
LAMPIRAN 5
Uji Akar Unit Variabel Indeks Philippine Stock Exchange
(^PSE)
Null Hypothesis: D(PSE) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend
Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=9)
t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -4.967715 0.0016 Test critical values: 1% level -4.252879
5% level -3.548490 10% level -3.207094 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation Dependent Variable: D(PSE,2)
Method: Least Squares Date: 07/25/14 Time: 23:35 Sample (adjusted): 2005Q3 2013Q4 Included observations: 34 after adjustments
LAMPIRAN 6
Uji Akar Unit Variabel Indeks Stock Exchange of Thailand
(^SET)
Null Hypothesis: D(SET) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend
Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=9)
t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -9.641249 0.0000 Test critical values: 1% level -4.252879
5% level -3.548490 10% level -3.207094 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation Dependent Variable: D(SET,2)
Method: Least Squares Date: 07/25/14 Time: 23:37 Sample (adjusted): 2005Q3 2013Q4 Included observations: 34 after adjustments
LAMPIRAN 7
Uji Akar Unit Variabel Indeks Vietnamese Stock Exchange
(^VN)
Null Hypothesis: D(VN) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend
Lag Length: 5 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=9)
t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -3.758021 0.0341 Test critical values: 1% level -4.309824
5% level -3.574244 10% level -3.221728 *MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation Dependent Variable: D(VN,2)
Method: Least Squares Date: 07/25/14 Time: 23:38 Sample (adjusted): 2006Q4 2013Q4 Included observations: 29 after adjustments
Adjusted R-squared 0.681837 S.D. dependent var 201.9913 S.E. of regression 113.9352 Akaike info criterion 12.53809 Sum squared resid 272605.6 Schwarz criterion 12.91527 Log likelihood -173.8023 Hannan-Quinn criter. 12.65622 F-statistic 9.572155 Durbin-Watson stat 1.454960 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000025
LAMPIRAN 8
Lag Length
VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria
Endogenous variables: VN STI SET PSE KLCI JKSE Exogenous variables: C
Date: 06/03/14 Time: 18:12 Sample: 2005Q1 2013Q4 Included observations: 32
Lag LogL LR FPE AIC SC HQ
0 -1449.115 NA 1.26e+32 90.94471 91.21954 91.03581 1 -1331.595 183.6259 8.09e+29 85.84968 87.77346 86.48735 2 -1291.820 47.23294 8.25e+29 85.61373 89.18646 86.79799 3 -1205.652 70.01136 7.81e+28 82.47824 87.69993 84.20908 4 -1065.364 61.37607* 9.71e+26* 75.96023* 82.83087* 78.23766* * indicates lag order selected by the criterion
LR: sequential modified LR test statistic (each test at 5% level) FPE: Final prediction error
LAMPIRAN 9
Uji Granger Causality antara Variabel JKSE dengan Variabel KLCI
Pairwise Granger Causality Tests Date: 07/25/14 Time: 23:42 Sample: 2005Q1 2013Q4 Lags: 4
Null Hypothesis: Obs F-Statistic Prob. KLCI does not Granger Cause JKSE 32 3.52051 0.0221 JKSE does not Granger Cause KLCI 2.26950 0.0928
Uji Granger Causality antara Variabel JKSE dengan Variabel STI
Pairwise Granger Causality Tests Date: 07/25/14 Time: 23:43 Sample: 2005Q1 2013Q4 Lags: 4
Null Hypothesis: Obs F-Statistic Prob. JKSE does not Granger Cause STI 32 0.95669 0.4498 STI does not Granger Cause JKSE 2.72656 0.0542
LAMPIRAN 11
Uji Granger Causality antara Variabel JKSE dengan Variabel PSE
Null Hypothesis: Obs F-Statistic Prob. JKSE does not Granger Cause PSE 32 2.24225 0.0958 PSE does not Granger Cause JKSE 4.43500 0.0084
LAMPIRAN 12
Uji Granger Causality antara Variabel JKSE dengan Variabel SET
Pairwise Granger Causality Tests Date: 07/25/14 Time: 23:46 Sample: 2005Q1 2013Q4 Lags: 4
LAMPIRAN 13
Uji Granger Causality antara Variabel JKSE dengan Variabel VN
Pairwise Granger Causality Tests Date: 07/25/14 Time: 23:46 Sample: 2005Q1 2013Q4 Lags: 4