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(1)

Principles of the Kyoto Protocol

1.2.: Clean Development Mechanism - Overview and Concepts

(2)

Outline

CDM Context within the Kyoto Protocol

Overview of CDM

Eligible Projects

Basic Rules & Processes

Baselines

Sustainable Development

CDM Concepts - Developing Projects

What does the CDM mean for Indonesia?

Opportunities

Reality and Issues with CDM

(3)

CDM Context (1)

The Kyoto Protocol commits industrialized

countries to legally binding GHG reduction

targets during the period 2008-2012

Most countries have to reduce GHG emissions

on ave 5% below their 1990 emission levels

results in a global target of ‘carbon’ reduction

These countries can choose to reduce

emissions

‘at home’ in their own country

in other countries

Reducing emissions in Developing Countries is

(4)

CDM Context (2)

Benefit of the CDM is

to help Annex 1 Parties to implement their

commitment to reduce GHG emission in

the most economical way

and

To help developing countries (non Annex I

(5)

Overview of CDM

CDM – Clean Development Mechanism

A mechanism by which Industrialised Nations

can achieve part of their reduction obligations

through projects that reduce or fix/sequester

carbon in Developing Countries.

The Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) are a

unit of carbon that is reduced or sequestered.

Industrialised Nations can submit their CERs to

meet their target in 2008-2012.

there is a worldwide demand for projects and

activities for ‘carbon’ reduction or fixation

Many of these projects will be in Developing

(6)

CDM Concept

Developed

Country

Govt and companies

want to reduce GHG

emissions

 Invest in their own

country

 Invest in a project in

Developing Country

Developing Country

Many opportunities

for projects that

reduce emissions eg

 Forestry planting

 Renewable electricity  Energy efficiency

 Clean transport  Biomass energy

Project Produces

CERs

Investment

CERs

(7)

Purpose of CDM

1.

to assist developing countries in

achieving sustainable

development

2.

to assist developed countries in

achieving compliance with part of

their quantified emission

(8)

Types of CDM Projects

Energy efficiency

End use improvements

Supply-side improvements

Renewable energy

Methane reduction eg landfill gas capture

Fuel switching

Agriculture (CH

4

and N

2

0)

Industrial processes

(9)

CDM Project Examples

End-use energy

efficiency

High efficient lighting;

efficient cook stoves;

vehicle efficiency

Supply-side

energy efficiency

High efficiency turbine

replacement; combine cycle

Renewable

energy

Biomass; Solar; Wind; Hydro

Fuel switching

Gas conversion

Biofuels replace fossil fuels

Forestry

Afforestration; Reforestation

Community forestry

Agriculture

Intermittent ricefield

(10)
(11)

Baseline Concepts

The baseline is a measure of emissions

that would have occurred in absence of

project

Used to estimate emission reductions for

project – basis for CERs

On a project by project basis

Standard baselines for small scale projects

20 MW renewable energy

(12)

Baseline (PDD) Contents (1)

A. General description of project activity

B. Description of baseline methodology

C. Timeline Project

D. Monitoring methodology and Plan

E. Calculation of GHG emission by

sources

(13)

Baseline (PDD) Contents (2)

Annex I: Information of the parties

participating in the project

Annex II: Information of public investment

Annex III: New methodology to calculate

baseline

(14)

Baseline Methodologies

Approximately 50 baseline methodologies were

approved on the basis

of:- Business as usual (“BAU”) - future emissions would

been the same as current/historic emissions and “Additionality”, meaning that the project would otherwise not have occurred

 Market Conditions - the technology used in the

market is the baseline and market barriers prevent new technology being adopted

 Best Available Technology - for markets where

(15)

Baseline Examples

Project Baseline Approach Type of CDM Baseline

3 Micro-hydro

Guatemala

The 3 communities did not have access to electricity, so emission reduction based on displacement of kerosene

Market Conditions (technology used is the baseline) Biomass

power plant El Salvador

Current electricity is fossil fuels and future additions would be similar. Current emissions used as baseline.

BAU

Wind Power,

Honduras This project is displacing the need for a new thermal plant. Emission reductions based on average emissions of typical thermal plants in previous 5 years +

performance in top 20%

(16)

Basic Rules for CDM

 Emission reductions from CDM project must be

additional in developing country

 Use of CERs can only supplement emission reduction at

home in developed countries

 CDM projects

must:- be approved by the host country

 lead to sustainable development in host country

 result in real, measurable and long-term benefits in terms of climate change

 Money for CDM projects not divert Official Development

Assistance (ODA)

 Nuclear power projects are not eligible

(17)

Small Scale CDM Projects

Simplified rules for small scale projects

Simplified baseline methodology, reduced

validation and registration requirements;

exemption from adaptation and admin

fees

Examples include

Home Bigoas (cooking and lighting).

Replace Kerosene

Efficient woodstoves

(18)

CDM Checklist

Project approved by

National Authority?

- consistent with

Sustainable Development

- consistent with national

+ local development

priorities;

- no negative environment

impact;

- has local support

Project results in

real, measurable +

long-term

emission

reductions?

Project leads to transfer

of new, environmentally

efficient technologies or

management practices?

Are the emission

reductions

additional?

The project does

(19)

Sustainable Development Criteria

 Social Criteria

 Improves quality of life

 Alleviates poverty

 Improves Equity

 Economic Criteria

 Provides financial returns to local entities

 Results in new investments

 Transfers new technology

 Environmental Criteria

 Reduces GHG and use of fossil fuels

 Conserves local resources

 Reduces pressure on local environments

(20)
(21)

CDM Concept

Developed

Country

Govt and companies

must reduce GHG

emissions

 Invest in their own

country

 Invest in a project in

Developing Country

Developing Country

Many opportunities

for projects that

reduce emissions eg

 Forestry planting

 Renewable electricity  Energy efficiency

 Clean transport  Biomass energy

Project Produces

CERs

Investment

CERs

(22)

CDM Project Investment

PROJECT

$9 million

has emission

reductions and

eligible to

produce CERs

CERs

$500,00 0 Project

Investors/Financiers:- International or Local

Developers/Financiers

 Cambodian

Government

 International

Governments

 Multilateral Agencies

eg World Bank; ADB

CDM

Investors/Buyers:- Multilateral CDM Funds

eg PCF; CERUPT

 Annex 1 Governments  Private Companies

 Non-Annex 1

Governments

 Brokers/Traders

(23)

CDM Investment Structures

 Full or partial equity in project

 CER ownership becomes annex to the normal financing agreement

 Usually investing for more than just CERs

 Financial contribution

 Usually upfront payment and takes ‘rights’ to CERs as they are

produced

 Normally not more than 10% project cost

 Loan

 Company provides loan at concessional rates in return for CERs eg

payment of interest in CERs

 CER Purchase Agreement

 Company buys CERs as they are produced

(24)

CDM examples

Project Project

Cost CER Partner Basis of contribution Structure Wind Farm

Honduras $58m $4.05m CER sale @ $3.50/ton Annual CER Purchase for 10 years

3 Micro-hydro

Guatemala $320,000 $15,000 Value of 4,755

tonnes over 10 yrs Upfront payment Biomass power plant Nicaragua

$2.3m $0.4m Financing of climate

friendly component

10% pre; 40% finance;

balance = $ for 5 years Run-of river

Hydro plant Chile

$34m $3.4m 10% total

(25)

Case Study

3.65 MW micro hydro project Indonesia

Project offsetting diesel generation – 18,500t

$9.89m capital cost; $0.4m operating costs

Project executed by a local institute

16.5% IRR without CDM; 18.2% w CER @$5

Investment

plan:- Up to 70% of project capital through long term loan from

financial institution; rest through equity

 CDM investor

options:-- Long term CER purchase agreement

(26)

CDM Case Study

Any Country

looking for CDM

Project

 CDM Project Partner

 Long term CER

purchase agreement

 Equity in project

 Soft loan upfront in

return for CERs later

Indonesia

CDM Project

 3.65MW hydro

 $9.89m capital cost  $0.4m operating costs  Project offsetting diesel

emissions

 Likely 18,500 CERs

 basic CER value $92,500

looking for CDM

Partner

Investment

CERs

(27)

Choosing a Host Country

what do investors want?

1.

Clear CDM Policy

Willingness for investment in CDM

projects

Transparent and clear processes,

Quick and smooth government approval

Time, effort and resources to complete deal

2.

Secure investor climate

Political and economically stability

What could occur that could affect investment?

3.

Sound Techno-Economic potential

(28)
(29)

Opportunities of CDM

CDM encourages developed countries to undertake

GHG reduction projects in developing countries.

 Increased investment flows

 Attract capital for less carbon-intensive projects  Technology transfer

Assist in development priorities and sustainable

development goals

 Create new industries in environmentally sustainable

technologies

 Poverty alleviation through income and employment  Assist in improving current and future environment

(30)

CDM in Cambodia

Governments, Project Developers and Investors

are seeking out CERs and emission reduction

projects.

Emission reduction projects exist in Indonesia in

many

sectors:- Transport – establish intercity/intra-city transport  Forestry – community forestry, replanting

 Energy –

- renewable energy (particularly in rural areas) - Installation of cleaner technology (cogeneration)

- Energy usage – energy efficient technologies; building design

(31)

Reality + Issues w CDM

CDM may tend towards large CDM Projects

 High transaction costs with CDM projects

BGP experience = $100,000 – 150,000 per project

 transaction costs similar for small or large projects

Solution - bundle small projects together

eg association of community forestry; many small scale hydro projects

Larger developing countries more attractive

 infrastructure & institution to deal with large projects

 Larger market = ability to do many similar projects

 Spreads the upfront cost in learning local conditions;

(32)

CDM Transaction Costs

Preparation and review of the Project

Validation process

Project Appraisal and Negotiation

Periodic

verification & certification

Construction and start up Project completion

3 months

2 m on ths

2 m onth s 3 months 1-3 y ears Up

to 2 1 ye

ars

• Upstream Due Diligence, carbon risk assessment and documentation: $ 40K

• Baseline : $20 K

• Monitoring Plan: $10K

• Contract, Processing •and documentation: $30k

Total through Negotiations

• Initial verification at start-up: $15K • Verification: $10-25 K

• Supervision: $10-20K

All

(33)

Reality + Issues w CDM (2)

CDM will be a competitive market

Restricted without the US

Limit on amount of CERs developed

countries can use towards target (~20%)

larger projects with low risk and smooth

approval/transaction procedures will be

preferred

May limit opportunities in least

(34)

Reality + Issues w CDM (3)

Preparation of developing countries

poor co-ordination among Ministries

internal conflict over approvals

Only 12 National Authorities registered

Capacity of developing countries

Weak knowledge of CDM at all levels

(35)

Summary

CDM presents an opportunity for Indonesia

 developing energy infrastructure;

 forestry is significant activity

worldwide increased demand for projects that

reduce emissions

 win-win situation for both parties

Indonesia must be prepared

 Functioning approval body + smooth and transparent

approval process

 need a ‘pipeline’ of projects for investors when they

come investigating

(36)

Acronymns

CDM – Clean Development Mechanism

CER – Certified Emission Reductions

 A standard unit of greenhouse reduction or sink

PCF – Prototype Carbon Fund

 World Bank CER Fund

ODA – Official Development Assistance

 Part of 0.07% govt aid

IRR – Internal Rate of Return

DNA – Designated National Authority

 The national body who assess +/or approves CDM

(37)

Acronyms

Annex 1 countries

Approx. 40 industrialised countries and

economies in transitions listed in Annex 1 of

the convention who can invest in CDM

projects. These countries have emission

reduction obligations.

Non - Annex 1 countries

The countries who are not listed in Annex 1

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