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Impact and Analysis of Leverage

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(1)

Impact and Analysis

Impact and Analysis

of Leverage

of Leverage

Impact and Analysis

Impact and Analysis

of Leverage

(2)

What is

What is

Leverage?

(3)

What is

What is

Leverage?

(4)

Two concepts that

Two concepts that

enhance our

enhance our

understanding of risk...

understanding of risk...

1)

Operating Leverage

- affects

a firm’s

business risk

.

(5)

Business Risk

Business Risk

The variability or uncertainty of a

(6)

Analytical Income Statement

Analytical Income Statement

sales

- variable costs - fixed costs

operating income (EBIT) - interest

EBT - taxes

(7)

Business Risk

Business Risk

Affected by:

Sales volume variability

Competition

Product diversification

Operating leverage

Growth prospects

(8)

Operating Leverage

Operating Leverage

The use of

fixed operating costs

as

opposed to

variable operating

costs.

A firm with relatively high fixed

operating costs will experience

(9)
(10)

EBIT

(11)

Operating Leverage

Operating Leverage

One potential “effect” caused by the

presence of operating leverage is

that a change in the volume of sales results in a “more than proportional” change in operating profit (or loss).

Operating Leverage

Operating Leverage

--

--

The use of

The use of

fixed operating costs by the firm

(12)

Impact of Operating

Impact of Operating

Leverage on Profits

Leverage on Profits

(13)

Impact of Operating

Impact of Operating

Leverage on Profits

Leverage on Profits

Now, subject each firm to a 50% 50%

increase in sales

increase in sales for next year.

Which firm do you think will be more

“sensitive”

“sensitive” to the change in sales (i.e., show the largest percentage change in operating profit, EBIT)?

(14)

Impact of Operating

Impact of Operating

Leverage on Profits

Leverage on Profits

Firm F Firm V Firm 2FFirm F Firm V Firm 2F

Change in EBIT

Change in EBIT* 400% 100% 330%400% 100% 330%

(in thousands) (in thousands)

(15)

Impact of Operating

Impact of Operating

Leverage on Profits

Leverage on Profits

Firm F Firm F is the most “sensitive” firm is the most “sensitive” firm -- for it, a 50%

increase in sales leads to a 400% increase in EBIT400% increase in EBIT.

Our example reveals that it is a mistake to assume

that the firm with the largest absolute or relative amount of fixed costs automatically shows the most dramatic effects of operating leverage.

Later, we will come up with an easy way to spot the

(16)

Break-Even Analysis

Break-Even Analysis

When studying operating leverage,

“profits” refers to operating profits before taxes (i.e., EBIT) and excludes debt

interest and dividend payments.

Break-Even Analysis

Break-Even Analysis -- A technique for studying the relationship among fixed costs, variable costs, sales volume, and

profits

(17)

Quantity

$

(18)

Quantity

{

$

Total Revenue

Total Cost

FC

TOTAL REVENUE

VC

(19)

Quantity

{

$

Total Revenue

Total Cost

FC

Q

1

+

-}

EBIT

(20)

Quantity

{

$

Total Revenue

Total Cost

FC

Break-even

point

Q

1

+

-}

EBIT

(21)

Operating Leverage

Operating Leverage

What happens if the firm

increases its fixed operating

costs and reduces (or

(22)

Quantity

{

$

Total Revenue

Total Cost

FC

Break-even point

Q

1

+

(23)

Quantity

{

$

Total Revenue

Total Cost

= Fixed

FC

Break-even

}

Q

1

+

(24)

Quantity

{

$

Total Revenue

Total Cost

the firm has

the firm has

a higher breakeven

a higher breakeven

point.

point.

If sales are not

If sales are not

high enough, the firm

high enough, the firm

will not meet its fixed

will not meet its fixed

(25)
(26)

Break-Even

Break-Even

(Quantity) Point

(Quantity) Point

How to find the quantity break-even point: EBIT = PP(QQ) - VV(QQ) - FCFC produced and sold

produced and sold

Break-Even Point

Break-Even Point -- The sales volume required -- The sales volume required

so that total revenues and total costs are

so that total revenues and total costs are

equal; may be in units or in sales dollars.

(27)

Break-Even

Break-Even

(Quantity) Point

(Quantity) Point

Breakeven occurs when EBIT = 0

Q

Q

(P

P

- V

V

) - FC

FC

= EBIT

Q

Q

BE BE

(P

P

- V

V

) - FC

FC

= 0

Q

Q

BE BE

(P

P

- V

V

)

= FC

FC

(28)

Break-Even (Sales) Point

Break-Even (Sales) Point

How to find the sales break-even point:

S

S

BEBE

=

FC

FC

+ (VC

VC

BEBE

)

S

S

BEBE

=

FC

FC

+ (Q

Q

BEBE

)(V

V

)

or

(29)

Break-Even

Break-Even

Point Example

Point Example

Basket Wonders (BW) wants to

determine both the quantity and sales quantity and sales

break-even points

break-even points when:

Fixed costs Fixed costs are $100,000$100,000

Baskets are sold for $43.75$43.75 eacheach

(30)

Break-Even Point (s)

Break-Even Point (s)

(31)
(32)

Degree of Operating

Degree of Operating

Leverage (DOL)

Degree of Operating Leverage

Degree of Operating Leverage -- The percentage change in a firm’s operating

profit (EBIT) resulting from a 1 percent change in output (sales).

=

Percentage change in operating profit (EBIT) Percentage change in

(33)

Computing the DOL

Computing the DOL

DOL

DOLQ unitsQ units

Calculating the DOL for a single product

Calculating the DOL for a single product

or a single-product firm.

or a single-product firm.

= QQ (PP - VV) Q

Q (PP - VV) - FCFC

(34)

Computing the DOL

Computing the DOL

DOL

DOLS dollars of salesS dollars of sales

Calculating the DOL for a

Calculating the DOL for a

multiproduct firm.

multiproduct firm.

= SS - VCVC

S

S - VCVC - FCFC

= EBIT + FCFC

(35)

Break-Even

Break-Even

Point Example

Point Example

Lisa Miller wants to determine the degree degree

of operating leverage

of operating leverage at sales levels of sales levels of

6,000 and 8,000 units

6,000 and 8,000 units. As we did earlier, we will assume that:

Fixed costs Fixed costs are $100,000$100,000

Baskets are sold for $43.75$43.75 eacheach

(36)

Computing BW’s DOL

Computing BW’s DOL

DOL

DOL6,000 units6,000 units

Computation based on the previously Computation based on the previously calculated break-even point of 4,000 units calculated break-even point of 4,000 units

= 6,0006,000

DOL8,000 units8,000 units 8,0008,000

8,000

(37)

Interpretation of the DOL

Interpretation of the DOL

A 1% increase in sales above the 8,000 A 1% increase in sales above the 8,000

unit level increases EBIT by 2% unit level increases EBIT by 2% because of the existing operating because of the existing operating

leverage of the firm. leverage of the firm.

= DOL

DOL8,000 units8,000 units 8,0008,000

8,000

(38)

Interpretation of the DOL

Interpretation of the DOL

2,000

QUANTITY PRODUCED AND SOLD

QUANTITY PRODUCED AND SOLD

(39)

Interpretation of the DOL

Interpretation of the DOL

DOL is a quantitative measure of the “sensitivity”

of a firm’s operating profit to a change in the firm’s sales.

The closer that a firm operates to its break-even

point, the higher is the absolute value of its DOL.

When comparing firms, the firm with the highest

Key Conclusions to be Drawn from the

Key Conclusions to be Drawn from the

previous slide and our Discussion of DOL

(40)

DOL and Business Risk

DOL and Business Risk

DOL is only one component one component of business risk

and becomes “active” only in the presence only in the presence

of sales and production cost variability

of sales and production cost variability.

DOL magnifiesmagnifies the variability of operating

profits and, hence, business risk.

Business Risk

Business Risk -- The inherent uncertainty -- The inherent uncertainty in the physical operations of the firm. Its in the physical operations of the firm. Its

impact is shown in the variability of the impact is shown in the variability of the

(41)

Application of DOL for

Application of DOL for

Our Three Firm Example

Our Three Firm Example

Use the data in Slide 16-12 and the Use the data in Slide 16-12 and the

following formula for

(42)

Application of DOL for

Application of DOL for

Our Three Firm Example

Our Three Firm Example

Use the data in Slide 16-12 and the Use the data in Slide 16-12 and the

following formula for

(43)

Application of DOL for

Application of DOL for

Our Three-Firm Example

Our Three-Firm Example

Use the data in Slide 16-12 and the Use the data in Slide 16-12 and the

following formula for

(44)

Application of DOL for

Application of DOL for

Our Three-Firm Example

Our Three-Firm Example

The ranked results indicate that the firm most

The ranked results indicate that the firm most

sensitive to the presence of operating leverage

sensitive to the presence of operating leverage

is increase in sales

(45)

What does this tell us?

What does this tell us?

If

DOL = 8,

then a

1%

increase in

sales will result in a

8%

increase in

operating income (EBIT).

Stock-EBIT

EPS

(46)

What does this tell us?

What does this tell us?

If

DOL = 8,

then a

1%

increase in

sales will result in a

8%

increase in

operating income (EBIT).

Stock-holders

EBIT

EPS

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