F. No. 3-1/ 2016-17-CFCC-E&S GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, COOPERATION AND FARMERS WELFARE (CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)
Room No. 344-A, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 09.08.2016
SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP HELD ON 05.08.2016.
Summary observations of the Group on Agenda Items
Details of the mean maximum and minimum temperature during the week 28th July, 2016 to 03rd August, 2016 were as under:-
Maximum Temperature
Above normal by 2 to 40C over some parts of Assam & Meghalaya and isolated pockets of Arunachal Pradesh, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura and Kerala.
Normal to near normal over rest of the country except many parts of Uttarakhand, Punjab, some parts of Haryana, West Uttar Pradesh, Konkan Madhya Maharashtra, North Interior Karnataka, Rayalaseema and isolated pockets of West Rajasthan, Gujarat Region, Marathwada, Telangana and South Interior Karnataka where it was below normal by 2 to 40C.
Minimum Temperature
Normal to near normal over rest of the country except some parts of Jammu & Kashmir and isolated pockets of East Uttar Pradesh, West Madhya Pradesh and Interior Karnataka where it was below normal by 2 to 40C.
In the monsoon season, weekly Rainfall for the country as a whole during the week 28th July, 2016 to 03rd August, 2016 has been 6% higher than Long Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (%
departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the country during the above period has been higher by 26% in North West India, 20% in Central India, 1% in South Peninsula and lower by 42% in East & North East India.
The cumulative rainfall in the country during the monsoon season i.e. 01st June, 2016 to 03rd August, 2016 has been 1% higher than Long Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (% departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the country during the above period has been higher than LPA by 11% in Central India, 5% in North West India, 2% in South Peninsula and lower by 14% in East & North East India.
Out of 36 met sub-divisions, 29 met sub-divisions constituting 85% of the total area of the country has received excess/normal rainfall, 7 met sub-divisions constituting 15% of the total area of the country has received deficient/scanty rainfall. Central Water Commission monitors 91 major reservoirs in the country which have total live capacity of 157.80 BCM at Full Reservoir Level (FRL). Current live storage in these reservoirs as on 04th August, 2016 was 71.56 BCM as against 74.29 BCM on 04.08.2015 (last year) and 74.92 BCM of Normal (average storage of the last 10 years) storage. Current year’s storage is lower than the last year’s storage and the normal storage each by 4%.
As per latest information available on sowing of Kharif crops, around 83% of the normal area under Kharif crops has been sown upto 05.08.2016. Total area sown under Kharif crops in the country as on 05.08.2016 has been reported to be 885.29 lakh hectares as compared to 841.65 lakh hectares last year. This year’s area coverage so far is higher by 43.6 lakh ha. than normal as on date.
Area coverage under rice is higher by 5.8 lakh ha. than the last year.
Area coverage under maize is higher by 9.1 lakh ha. than the last year.
Area coverage under pulses is higher by 31.4 lakh ha. than the last year and by 34.4 lakh ha. than normal as on date. This is due to higher coverage in Tur, Urad and Moong.
Area coverage under Kharif coarse cereals has been higher by 5.1 lakh ha as compared to last year.
Area coverage under total Kharif Oilseeds is higher by 9.9 lakh ha. than the last year and by 10.3 lakh ha. than normal as on date.
Area coverage under Cotton is lower by 9.2 lakh ha. than the last year.
Availability position of seeds and fertilizers has been found satisfactory.
1. Monsoon Season (June – September) during the week ending on 03rd August, 2016
Sub-division-wise weekly rainfall forecast & weather warning is shown in Table-1.1
Rainfall during the week (28th July, 2016 to 03rd August, 2016) Rainfall was excess/normal in 25, deficient/scanty in 11 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions.
Cumulative rainfall (01st June, 2016 to 03rd August, 2016) Rainfall was excess/normal in 29, deficient in 07 out of 36 meteorological sub-division.
Table-1.2: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country1
E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, S: Scanty, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
Table – 1.3: Category wise comparative distribution of Sub-division (cumulative rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for the last five years since: 1st June to
Source: IMD
Sub-division-wise 5 days rainfall forecast from 08th Aug., 16 to 12th Aug, 16 is shown in Table 1.4
1. North-west India - Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, Punjab, Uttaranchal, Himachal Pradesh, and Jammu and Kashmir.
Central India - Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra and Gujarat
SouthPeninsula - Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu & Pondicherry, Kerala and Lakshadweep.
North-east India - Bihar, Jharkhand, Orissa, West Bengal, Sikkim, Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, and Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
Region Week Ending (03.08.2016) Cumulative (01.06.16 to 03.08.16) (in mm) Devi-
ation (%)
Cat. (in mm) Devi-
ation (%)
Cate- gory
Actual Normal Actual Normal
North-West India 68.6 54.3 26 D 327.9 312.0 5 N
Central India 92.7 77.4 20 E 578.3 522.5 11 N
South Peninsular India 48.0 47.3 1 N 407.1 398.2 2 N East & North-East India 50.3 87.0 -42 S 707.2 822.9 -14 N
Country as a whole 69.7 66.0 6 N 488.3 481.3 1 N
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
For the period from 1st June to 03 AUG
2011
01 AUG 2012
31 JUL 2013
06 AUG 2014
05 AUG 2015
03 AUG 2016 Excess
Normal Total
04 22 26
00 16 16
17 13 30
01 19 20
07 14 21
11 18 29 Deficient
Scanty No rain Total
10 00 00 10
16 04 00 20
06 00 00 06
16 00 00 16
15 00 00 15
07 00 00 07
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India % Rainfall Deviation
(-) 6% (-) 19% 17% (-) 18% (-) 6% 1%
Table: 1.1
Table: 1.4
2. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 04.08.2016)
The Central Water Commission monitors the live storage of 91 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 157.80 billion cubic meters (BCM), which is about 62% of total reservoir capacity in the country.
Water stock in 91 major reservoirs increased to 71.56 BCM from the previous week’s level of 59.35 BCM. Current storage is lower than the last year’s position of 74.29 BCM and average of last 10 year’s storage of 74.92 BCM.
Table – 2.1 : For 91 major reservoirs of the country Period Current Year’s
Storage as % of FRL*
Current Year’s storage as % of last year
Current year as a % of 10 years average level
Current Week Last Week
45 38
96 87
96 94
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 47% on 04/08/2015, 49% on 04/08/2014, 66% on 04/08/2013 and 35% on 04/08/2012.
* Live storage as % to Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 157.80 Billion Cub. Mts.(BCM) Source: CWC
There were 49 reservoirs having storage more than 80%, 25 reservoirs having storage between 50% to 80% of Normal Storage, 11 reservoir having storage between 30% to 50%, 06 reservoir having storage upto 30% of Normal Storage and 02 reservoir having no live storage.
Source: Central Water Commission
3. Fertilizer Position:
Table – 3.1: Requirement, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers Urea, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP during Kharif 2015-16 (As on 31.07.2016)
(in ‘000 Tonnes) Availability / Sale / Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP Complex SSP Opening Stock as on 01.04.2016 932 376 150 530 123 Requirement for Kharif, 2015-16 14739 5082 1742 5368 3060
Requirement upto July, 2016 3121 949 353 1062 568
Availability upto 31.07.2016 10455 3396 935 3327 1250
Sales upto 31.07.2016 8554 1973 593 2124 947
Closing Stock upto 31.07.2016 1901 1423 342 1203 303 Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC) / Deptt. of Fertilizer
4. Pest & Diseases:
Incidence of white fly on cotton crop has been reported in trace to moderate intensity in general, where as in Fazilka district at Danger Kheda and Killian Wali, intensity near the kinnow orchards where it was reported in severity in few isolated fields. Severe infection of sooty mould was also reported in few scattered fields in Punjab. Cotton leaf curl virus was also reported at many locations in Fazilka district. Population of green jassids has also been reported trace to low level in isolated field. Farmers have undertaken 2-3 sprays of chemical pesticides mainly Imida cloprid, Triazophos, Thiamethoxam, Flonicamid and Spiromesifen.
Incidence of Pink bollworm on early sowing irrigated cotton crop has been reported in trace to low intensity in Sourashtra Regionin Amreli, Rajkot, Junagarh and Bhavnagar districts of Gujarat covering area about 50000 to 60000 hectares.
Incidence of Black headed caterpillar on coconut has been reported in trace to moderate intensity in Brhmagiri block of Puri district of Odisha.
No shortage of Chemical / Bio-pesticides was reported from any State / UT.
5. All India Crop Situation – Kharif (2016-17) as on 05.08.2016
Table 5.1
