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(1)

Descriptive & Inferential

Statistics

Adopted from ;Merryellen Towey Schulz, Ph.D. College of Saint Mary

(2)

The Meaning of Statistics

Several Meanings

• Collections of

numerical data

• Summary measures

calculated from a

collection of data

• Activity of using and

interpreting a

collection of numerical

data

• Last year’s enrollment

figures

• Average enrollment

per month last year

(3)

Descriptive

Statistics

• Use of numerical information to

summarize, simplify, and present data.

• Organized and summarized for clear

presentation

• For ease of communications

(4)

Descriptive Statistics Associated

with Methods and Designs

Design Descriptive Statistics

Survey Studies Percentages, measures of central tendency and variation

Meta-analysis Effect sizes

Causal comparative studies Measures of central tendency & variation, percentages, standard scores

(5)

Descriptive Stats Vocabulary

• Central tendency

• Mode

• Median

• Mean

• Variation

• Range

(6)

Descriptive Stats Vocabulary

cont’d

• Standard score

• Effect size

(7)

Inferential Statistics

• To generalize or predict how a large group

will behave based upon information taken

from a part of the group is called and

INFERENCE

• Techniques which tell us how much

confidence we can have when we

(8)

Inferential Stats Vocabulary

• Hypothesis

• Null hypothesis

• Alternative hypothesis

• ANOVA

• Level of significance

• Type I error

(9)

Examples of Descriptive and

Inferential Statistics

Descriptive Statistics

• Graphical

– Arrange data in tables – Bar graphs and pie charts

• Numerical

– Percentages – Averages – Range

• Relationships

– Correlation coefficient – Regression analysis

Inferential Statistics

• Confidence interval • Margin of error

• Compare means of two samples

– Pre/post scores – t Test

• Compare means from three samples

– Pre/post and follow-up – ANOVA = analysis of

(10)

Problems With Samples

• Sampling Error

– Inherent variation between sample and population – Source is “chance or luck”

– Results in bias

• Sample statistic -- a number or figure

– Single measure -- how sure accurate – Comparing measures --see differences

• How much due to chance?

(11)

What Is Meant By A Meaningful

Statistic

(Significant)

?

• Statistics, descriptive or inferential are NOT a

substitute for good judgment

– Decide what level or value of a statistic is meaningful – State judgment before gathering and analyzing data

• Examples:

– Score on performance test of 80% is passing

(12)

Interpretation of Meaning

• Population Measure (statistic)

– There is no sampling error

– The number you have is “real”

– Judge against pre-set standard

• Inferential Measure (statistic)

– Tells you how sure (confident) you can be the

number you have is real

(13)
(14)

Statistics has two major

chapters:

• Descriptive Statistics

(15)

Statistics

Descriptive Statistics

• Gives numerical and graphic procedures to summarize a

collection of data in a clear and

understandable way

Inferential Statistics • Provides

(16)

Descriptive Measures

Central Tendency measures

.

They are computed to give a “center” around which the measurements in the data are distributed.

Variation or Variability measures

.

They describe “data spread” or how far away the measurements are from the center.

Relative Standing measures

.

They describe the relative position of specific
(17)

Measures of Central

Tendency

Mean:

Sum of all measurements divided by the number of measurements.

Median:

A number such that at most half of the

measurements are below it and at most half of the measurements are above it.

Mode:

(18)

Example of Mean

Measurements Deviation x x - mean

3 -1 5 1 5 1 1 -3 7 3 2 -2 6 2 7 3 0 -4 4 0 40 0

MEAN = 40/10 = 4

• Notice that the sum of the “deviations” is 0.

(19)

Example of Median

Median: (4+5)/2 = 4.5

• Notice that only the two central values are used in the

computation.

(20)

Example of Mode

Measurements x 3 5 5 1 7 2 6 7 0 4

• In this case the data have tow modes:

• 5 and 7

(21)

Example of Mode

Measurements

x

3 5 1 1 4 7 3 8 3

• Mode: 3

(22)

Variance (for a sample)

Steps:

– Compute each deviation

– Square each deviation

– Sum all the squares

(23)

Example of Variance

Measurements Deviations Square of deviations x x - mean

3 -1 1

5 1 1

5 1 1

1 -3 9

7 3 9

2 -2 4

6 2 4

7 3 9

0 -4 16

4 0 0

40 0 54

• Variance = 54/9 = 6

• It is a measure of “spread”.

• Notice that the larger the deviations

(positive or negative) the larger the

(24)

The standard deviation

• It is defines as the square root of the

variance

• In the previous example

• Variance = 6

(25)

Percentiles

• The p-the percentile is a number such that at most p% of the measurements are below it and at most 100 – p percent of the data are above it. • Example, if in a certain data the 85th percentile

is 340 means that 15% of the measurements in the data are above 340. It also means that 85% of the measurements are below 340

(26)

For any data

• At least 75% of the measurements differ from the mean less than twice the standard deviation.

• At least 89% of the measurements differ from the mean less than three times the standard deviation.

Note: This is a general property and it is called Tchebichev’s Rule: At least 1-1/k2 of the observation falls within k standard deviations

(27)

Example of Tchebichev’s Rule

Suppose that for a certain data is : • Mean = 20

• Standard deviation =3

Then:

• A least 75% of the measurements are between 14 and 26

(28)

Further Notes

• When the Mean is greater than the Median the data distribution is skewed to the Right.

• When the Median is greater than the Mean the data distribution is skewed to the Left.

• When Mean and Median are very close to each other the data distribution is

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