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DISCLAIMER: All contents of This Report have been prepared by Research Dept. and are provided solely for informational purpose.
We have taken reasonable measures to ensure the accuracy of the report, however, do not guarantee its accuracy and will not accept liability for any consequential loss or damage which may arise directly or indirectly from any use of the report.
Twitter: @researchvaf
MARKET UPDATE & OUTLOOK
Asia: Saham Asia turun sementara yen Jepang dan franc Swiss menguat pada hari Jumat setelah Korea Utara mengatakan bahwa mereka mungkin akan menguji bom hidrogen di Samudera Pasifik dan meningkatkan perang kata-kata dengan Presiden Amerika Serikat Donald Trump.
Menteri Luar Negeri Korea Utara Ri Yong Ho mengatakan pada hari Jumat bahwa dia yakin Korea Utara dapat mempertimbangkan sebuah uji coba nuklir dalam skala "belum pernah terjadi sebelumnya" di Samudra Pasifik, kantor berita Korea Selatan Yonhap melaporkan. Indeks saham Asia Pasifik terbesar MSCI di luar Jepang turun 0,7 persen, setelah sempat naik ke level tertinggi satu dekade pada hari Selasa sebelumnya, terangkat saat Wall Street yang menguat ke tingkat rekor, namun turun kembali setelah the Fed menaikkan ekspektasi untuk kenaikan suku bunga ketiga tahun ini. KOSPI Korea Selatan ditutup turun 0,7 seiring meningkatnya ketegangan geopolitik. Saham Australia berhasil naik 0,5 persen sementara Nikkei Jepang tergelincir 0,3 persen setelah catat kenaikan ke level tertinggi dua tahun pada hari Kamis. Hang Seng Hong Kong turun 0,8 persen dan Shanghai turun 0,2 persen setelah S & P Global Ratings menurunkan peringkat kreditur jangka panjang China pada hari Kamis, kurang dari satu bulan menjelang salah satu pertemuan politik paling sensitif di negara tersebut, dengan alasan meningkatnya risiko dari kenaikan hutangnya yang cepat.
Eropa: Saham Eropa menguat pada hari Jumat, karena ketegangan mengenai Korea Utara membuat sejumlah investor menahan diri jelang pemilihan nasional di Jerman dimana Kanselir konservatif Angela Merkel tampaknya akan menang. Sementara itu, raksasa kosmetik Prancis L'Oreal meningkat sebanyak 6,7 persen oleh spekulasi tentang perubahan kepemilikan setelah miliarder Liliane Bettencourt, yang keluarganya mendirikan firma tersebut dan masih memiliki saham terbesar di dalamnya, meninggal dunia. Indeks STOXX 600 Eropa ditutup naik 0,1 persen.
FTSE 100 Inggris naik 0,6 persen, mengungguli kenaikan saham Eropa, didukung oleh penurunan sterling menyusul pidato Perdana Menteri Theresa May soal Brexit. Saham pertambangan memberi tekanan terberat, mencatat turun 0,2 persen, karena konflik di semenanjung Korea dan penurunan peringkat pada Cina memukul harga logam. Korea Utara mengatakan pada hari Jumat bahwa pihaknya dapat menguji bom hidrogen di atas Samudera Pasifik setelah Presiden A.S. Donald Trump mengancam untuk menghancurkan negaranya. Indeks DAX Jerman cenderung stabil, bertahan mendekati level tertinggi dua bulan sebelum para pemilih pergi ke TPS.
AS & Global Markets: Treasury AS dan harga emas naik sementara yen Jepang menguat pada hari Jumat karena meningkatnya perselisihan antara Korea Utara dan Amerika Serikat memicu kekhawatiran geopolitik. Korea Utara mengatakan mungkin akan menguji bom hidrogen di Samudra Pasifik, sebagai tanggapan atas ancaman Presiden Donald Trump pada hari Selasa untuk menghancurkan negara tersebut. Keengganan untuk mengambil risiko membuat investor memburu aset yang dianggap lebih aman selama masa gejolak geopolitik, seperti yen, obligasi dan emas, meskipun indeks saham S&P 500 AS membalikkan kerugiannya dan berhasil ditutup menguat. Selain data stok minyak mingguan dari EIA, pasar akan menyoroti data manufaktur Cina dan inflasi Eropa pada hari Jumat.
ASIA AND GLOBAL MARKET SPOT PRICE 2016
HIGH / LOW .N225 .KS200 .HSI .DJI /.SPX /.SSEC
RECORD HIGH 38915.87 (29/Dec/89)
309.32 (29/May/2017)
31958.41 (30/Oct/07)
21169.11 (01/Mar/2017)
2400.98 (01/Mar/2017)
6124.04400 (16/Oct./07) 2016 HIGH 19592.90
(21/Dec/16)
264.42 (21/Dec/16)
24364.00 (09/Sep/16)
19987.63 (20/Dec/16)
2277.53 (13/Dec/16)
3538.68940 (04/Jan/16) 2017 HIGH 20481.27
(21/Sep/2017)
322.16 (25/Jul/2017)
28248.12 (19/Sep/2017)
22413.26 (20/Sep/2017)
2508.85 (20/Sep/2017)
3391.64350 (14/Sep/2017) 2017 LOW 18224.68
(17/Apr/2017)
258.64 (02/Jan/2017)
21883.82 (03/Jan/2017)
19677.94 (19/Jan/2017)
2245.13 (03/Jan/2017)
3016.53050 (11/May/2017) 2016 LOW 14864.01
(24/Jun/16)
222.92 (20/Jan/16)
18278.80 (12/Feb/16)
15450.56 (20/Jan/16)
1810.10 (11/Feb/16)
2638.30160 (27/Jan/16) RECORD LOW 85.25 (06/Jul/50) 31.96
(16/Jun/98) 58.61 (31/Aug/67) 388.20 (17/Jan/55)
132.93 (23/Nov./82)
325.92200 (29/Jul/94)
Closing Prices – 22 September 2017
CLOSE CHANGE CLOSE CHANGE
.DJI 22349.59 9.64/ 0.04% .N225 20296.45 51.03/0.25%
/.SPX 2502.22 1.62/ 0.06% .KS200 316.71 1.54/0.48%
/.IXIC 6426.922 4.229/ 0.07% .HSI 27880.53 229.80/0.82%
JPY= 111.97 0.49/ 0.44% /.SSEC 3352.87170 4.94060/0.15%
KRW= 1132.13 0.37/ 0.03% /CLc1 (Oil) 50.66 0.11/ 0.22%
RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
WEEKLY ECONOMIC INDICATORS
DATE WIB CTY INDICATORS PER ACTUAL FORECAST PREV. REV.
13-Sep - 18-Sep N/A CN Foreign Direct Investment YoY CNY Aug -0.2% -- -1.2%
Mon/18-Sep-17 15:30 HK Unemployment Rate SA Aug 3.1% -- 3.1%
16:00 EZ CPI MoM Aug 0.3% 0.3% -0.5%
16:00 EZ CPI YoY Aug F 1.5% 1.5% 1.3%
16:00 EZ CPI Core YoY Aug F 1.2% 1.2% 1.2%
22:00 GB BOE Governor Carney Speaks at IMF in Washington, DC Tue/19-Sep-17 01:15 CA Speech by Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Tim Lane
04:00 KR PPI YoY Aug - -- 3.0%
05:00 NZ Westpac Consumer Confidence 3Q 112.4 -- 113.4
08:30 AU RBA Sept. Rate Meeting Minutes
N/A HK Composite Interest Rate Aug - -- 0.31%
16:00 EZ ZEW Survey Expectations Sep 31.7 -- 29.3
16:00 DE ZEW Survey Current Situation Sep 87.9 86.2 86.7
16:00 DE ZEW Survey Expectations Sep 17 12 10
19:30 US Housing Starts Aug 1180k 1174k 1155k 1190k
19:30 US Housing Starts MoM Aug -0.8% 1.7% -4.8%
19:30 US Building Permits Aug 1300k 1220k 1223k 1230k
19:30 US Building Permits MoM Aug 5.7% -0.8% -4.1% 3.5%
Wed/20-Sep-17 06:50 JP Trade Balance Aug ¥113.6b ¥104.4b ¥418.8b ¥421.7b
06:50 JP Trade Balance Adjusted Aug ¥367.3b ¥404.7b ¥337.4b ¥363.1b
06:50 JP Exports YoY Aug 18.1% 14.3% 13.4%
06:50 JP Imports YoY Aug 15.2% 11.6% 16.3%
10:05 AU RBA's Ellis Gives Speech in Sydney
13:00 DE PPI MoM Aug 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
13:00 DE PPI YoY Aug 2.6% 2.5% 2.3%
15:30 GB Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel MoM Aug 1.0% 0.1% 0.5% 0.7%
15:30 GB Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel YoY Aug 2.8% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7%
15:30 GB Retail Sales Inc Auto Fuel MoM Aug 1.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6%
15:30 GB Retail Sales Inc Auto Fuel YoY Aug 2.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4%
21:00 US Existing Home Sales Aug 5.35m 5.45m 5.44m
21:00 US Existing Home Sales MoM Aug -1.7% 0.2% -1.3%
21:30 US DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories Sep-15 4591k 3900k 5888k
21:30 US DOE Cushing OK Crude Inventory Sep-15 703k -- 1023k
21:30 US DOE U.S. Gasoline Inventories Sep-15 -2125k -2125k -8428k
21:30 US DOE U.S. Distillate Inventory Sep-15 -5693k -1950k -3215k
Thu/21-Sep-17 01:00 US FOMC Rate Decision (Upper Bound) Sep-20 1.25% 1.25% 1.25%
01:00 US FOMC Rate Decision (Lower Bound) Sep-20 1.00% 1.00% 1.00%
05:45 NZ GDP SA QoQ 2Q 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6%
05:45 NZ GDP YoY 2Q 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
N/A JP BOJ Policy Balance Rate Sep-21 -0.1% -0.1% -0.1%
N/A JP BOJ 10-Yr Yield Target Sep-21 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N/A JP BOJ Monetary Policy Statement
N/A AU RBA Governor Lowe Gives Speech in Perth
11:30 JP All Industry Activity Index MoM Jul -0.1% -0.1% 0.4% 0.2%
12:45 CH SECO September 2017 Economic Forecasts
13:00 CH Trade Balance Aug 2.17b -- 3.51b 3.49b
13:00 CH Exports Real MoM Aug 2.8% -- -1.7% -1.4%
13:00 CH Imports Real MoM Aug 3.0% -- -1.0% -0.8%
13:30 JP BOJ Kuroda speaks at press conference after MPM 15:00 EZ ECB Publishes Economic Bulletin
15:30 HK CPI Composite YoY Aug 1.9% -- 2.0%
15:30 GB Public Finances (PSNCR) Aug 0.04b -- -3.9b -3.7b
15:30 GB Central Government NCR Aug 1.1b -- -6.9b -7.1b
15:30 GB Public Sector Net Borrowing Aug 5.1b 6.4b -0.8b -1.3b
15:30 GB PSNB ex Banking Groups Aug 5.7b 7.1b -0.2b -0.7b
19:30 US Initial Jobless Claims Sep-16 259k 302k 284k 282k
19:30 US Continuing Claims Sep-09 1980k 1975k 1944k 1936k
RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
19:30 US Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Sep 23.8 17.1 18.9
21:00 EZ Consumer Confidence Sep A -1.2 -1.5 -1.5
21:00 US Leading Index Aug 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%
Fri/22-Sep-17 14:30 DE Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing PMI Sep P 60.6 59 59.3
14:30 DE Markit Germany Services PMI Sep P 55.6 53.7 53.5
14:30 DE Markit/BME Germany Composite PMI Sep P 57.8 55.7 55.8
15:00 EZ Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Sep P 58.2 57.2 57.4
15:00 EZ Markit Eurozone Services PMI Sep P 55.6 54.8 54.7
15:00 EZ Markit Eurozone Composite PMI Sep P 56.7 55.5 55.7
N/A EZ
EU Foreign Ministers Hold Informal Meeting in Bratislava
N/A GB
United Kingdom Sovereign Debt to be rated by Moody's
17:00 US
Fed's Williams Speaks to Media at Swiss National Bank Event
19:30 CA CPI NSA MoM Aug 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
19:30 CA CPI YoY Aug 1.4% 1.5% 1.2%
19:30 CA Consumer Price Index Aug 130.5 -- 130.4
19:30 CA CPI Core- Common YoY% Aug 1.5% -- 1.4%
19:30 CA CPI Core- Trim YoY% Aug 1.4% -- 1.3%
19:30 CA CPI Core- Median YoY% Aug 1.7% -- 1.7%
19:30 CA Retail Sales MoM Jul 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
19:30 CA Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM Jul 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.4%
20:30 US Fed's George Speaks at Conference on Outlook for Oil
20:45 US Markit US Manufacturing PMI Sep P 53 53 52.8
20:45 US Markit US Services PMI Sep P 55.1 55.7 56
20:45 US Markit US Composite PMI Sep P 54.6 -- 55.3
Sat/23-Sep-17 00:30 US
Fed's Kaplan Speaks at Dallas/Kansas City Fed Oil Conference
00:00 US Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Sep-22 935 931 936
DATE WIB CTY INDICATORS PER ACTUAL FORECAST PREV. REV.
23-Sep - 28-Sep N/A CA Third Round of NAFTA Talks Begin in Ottawa
Mon/25-Sep-17 07:30 JP Nikkei Japan PMI Mfg Sep P 53.4 52.2
N/A JP
Cabinet Office Monthly Economic Report for September
12:00 JP Leading Index CI Jul F -- 105
12:00 JP Coincident Index Jul F 116.0 115.6
12:30 JP BOJ Kuroda make a speech in Osaka
14:00 EZ ECB Vice President Constancio speaks in Frankfurt
15:00 DE IFO Business Climate Sep 115.9 115.9
15:00 DE IFO Expectations Sep 107.7 107.9
15:00 DE IFO Current Assessment Sep 124.6 124.6
25-Sep - 28-Sep N/A DE Import Price Index MoM Aug -0.1% -0.4%
25-Sep - 28-Sep N/A DE Import Price Index YoY Aug 2.1% 1.9%
16:15 EZ ECB's Mersch Speaks at Lisbon on Risk Management 19:30 US Fed's Dudley Speaks on Workforce Development
19:30 US Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index Aug -- -0.01
20:00 CN
Conference Board China August Leading Economic Index
20:00 EZ ECB President Draghi speaks in Brussels
21:30 US Dallas Fed Manf. Activity Sep 13 17
21:45 EZ ECB's Coeure is chairing a panel is Frankfurt 23:40 US Fed's Evans Speaks on Economy and Monetary Policy
Tue/26-Sep-17 04:00 KR Consumer Confidence Sep -- 109.9
04:15 AU RBA's Bullock Participates in Panel in Sydney
04:45 NZ Trade Balance NZD Aug -825m 85m
04:45 NZ Exports NZD Aug 4.05b 4.63b
04:45 NZ Imports NZD Aug 4.80b 4.55b
04:45 NZ Trade Balance 12 Mth YTD NZD Aug -2910m -3213m
RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
05:30 US
Fed's Kashkari at Townhall in Grand Forks, North Dakota
06:50 JP BOJ Minutes of July 19-20 Meeting
06:50 JP PPI Services YoY Aug 0.7% 0.6%
06:50 JP BOJ Minutes of July 19-20 Meeting
07:00 NZ ANZ Activity Outlook Sep -- 38.2
07:00 NZ ANZ Business Confidence Sep -- 18.3
N/A EZ
EU Meeting on Fipronil Contamination in Eggs in Brussels
15:30 HK Exports YoY Aug 9.5% 7.3%
15:30 HK Imports YoY Aug 10.0% 5.5%
15:30 HK Trade Balance HKD Aug -29.5b -29.6b
15:30 GB UK Finance Loans for Housing Aug 41700 41587
19:00 EZ ECB's Praet chairs speech in Frankfurt
20:00 US S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM SA Jul 0.29% 0.11%
20:00 US S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City YoY NSA Jul -- 5.65%
20:00 US S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City NSA Index Jul -- 200.54
20:00 US S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI YoY NSA Jul -- 5.77%
20:00 US S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI NSA Index Jul -- 192.6
20:30 US Fed's Mester Moderates Session NABE
21:00 US New Home Sales Aug 590k 571k
21:00 US New Home Sales MoM Aug 3.3% -9.4%
21:00 US Conf. Board Consumer Confidence Sep 119.5 122.9
21:00 US Conf. Board Present Situation Sep -- 151.2
21:00 US Conf. Board Expectations Sep -- 104
21:00 US Richmond Fed Manufact. Index Sep 13 14
21:30 US Fed's Brainard Speaks on Labor Market Disparities 23:30 US Fed's Bostic Speaks to the Atlanta Press Club 23:45 US
Yellen Speaks on Inflation, Uncertainty, and Monetary Policy
Wed/27-Sep-17 08:30 CN Industrial Profits YoY Aug -- 16.5%
12:00 JP Small Business Confidence Sep 49.4 49
13:00 JP Machine Tool Orders YoY Aug F -- 36.3%
13:00 CH UBS Consumption Indicator Aug -- 1.38
27-Sep - 03-Oct N/A DE Retail Sales MoM Aug 0.5% -1.2%
27-Sep - 03-Oct N/A DE Retail Sales YoY Aug 3.3% 2.7%
15:00 EZ M3 Money Supply YoY Aug 4.6% 4.5%
15:00 CH Credit Suisse Survey Expectations Sep -- 25
17:00 GB CBI Retailing Reported Sales Sep -- -10
17:00 GB CBI Total Dist. Reported Sales Sep -- 2
19:30 US Durable Goods Orders Aug P 0.9% -6.8%
19:30 US Durables Ex Transportation Aug P 0.2% 0.6%
19:30 US Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air Aug P 0.3% 1.0%
19:30 US Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air Aug P -- 1.2%
21:00 US Pending Home Sales MoM Aug -0.3% -0.8%
21:00 US Pending Home Sales NSA YoY Aug -- -0.5%
21:30 US DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories Sep-22 -- 4591k
21:30 US DOE Cushing OK Crude Inventory Sep-22 -- 703k
21:30 US DOE U.S. Gasoline Inventories Sep-22 -- -2125k
21:30 US DOE U.S. Distillate Inventory Sep-22 -- -5693k
21:30 US DOE U.S. Refinery Utilization Sep-22 -- 5.5%
22:45 CA Speech - Stephen S. Poloz, Governor 23:55 CA
Press Conference -- Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz
Thu/28-Sep-17 00:30 US Fed's Bullard Speaks on Economy and Monetary Policy 01:00 US Fed's Brainard Speaks at Minority Banker Forum
03:00 NZ RBNZ Official Cash Rate Sep-28 1.75% 1.75%
06:00 KR CPI YoY Sep 2.2% 2.6%
06:00 KR CPI Core YoY Sep 1.7% 1.8%
06:00 KR CPI MoM Sep 0.2% 0.6%
06:00 US
Fed's Rosengren to Speak to Money Marketeers in New York
RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
N/A CN BoP Current Account Balance 2Q F -- $52.9b
13:00 DE GfK Consumer Confidence Oct 11 10.9
28-Sep - 03-Oct N/A GB Nationwide House PX MoM Sep -- -0.1%
28-Sep - 03-Oct N/A GB Nationwide House Px NSA YoY Sep -- 2.1%
15:00 EZ ECB's Praet speaks in Berlin 15:15 GB
Carney Speaks at BOE Independence Conference, London
16:00 AU RBA's Debelle Speaks at BOE Conference, London
16:00 EZ Economic Confidence Sep 111.9 111.9
16:00 EZ Business Climate Indicator Sep 1.11 1.09
16:00 EZ Industrial Confidence Sep 5 5.1
16:00 EZ Services Confidence Sep 14.9 14.9
16:00 EZ Consumer Confidence Sep F -1.2 -1.2
18:10 EZ ECB's Lautenschlaeger speaks in Vienna
19:00 DE CPI MoM Sep P 0.1% 0.1%
19:00 DE CPI YoY Sep P 1.8% 1.8%
19:00 DE CPI EU Harmonized MoM Sep P 0.1% 0.2%
19:00 DE CPI EU Harmonized YoY Sep P 1.9% 1.8%
19:30 US GDP Annualized QoQ 2Q T 3.1% 3.0%
19:30 US Personal Consumption 2Q T 3.2% 3.3%
19:30 US GDP Price Index 2Q T 1.0% 1.0%
19:30 US Core PCE QoQ 2Q T -- 0.9%
19:30 US Initial Jobless Claims Sep-23 -- 259k
19:30 US Continuing Claims Sep-16 -- 1980k
19:30 US Advance Goods Trade Balance Aug -$65.1b -$65.1b
19:30 US Wholesale Inventories MoM Aug P -- 0.6%
19:30 US Retail Inventories MoM Aug -- -0.2%
20:45 US Fed's George Speaks on Economy and Monetary Policy 21:00 GB
Fed's Fischer at BOE Independence Conference, London
22:00 US Kansas City Fed Manf. Activity Sep -- 16
28-Sep - 29-Sep N/A CA CFIB Business Barometer Sep -- 59.8
Fri/29-Sep-17 00:30 US Fed's Bostic to Speak about Careers in Economics
04:00 KR Business Survey Manufacturing Oct -- 83
04:00 KR Business Survey Non-Manufacturing Oct -- 78
04:45 NZ Building Permits MoM Aug -- -0.7%
06:00 KR BoP Current Account Balance Aug --
$7261.3 m
06:00 KR BoP Goods Balance Aug -- $10707m
06:00 KR Industrial Production YoY Aug 1.6% 0.1%
06:00 KR Industrial Production SA MoM Aug -- 1.9%
06:00 KR Cyclical Leading Index Change Aug -- 0.2
06:01 GB GfK Consumer Confidence Sep -- -10
06:01 GB Lloyds Business Barometer Sep -- 17
06:30 JP Jobless Rate Aug 2.8% 2.8%
06:30 JP Overall Household Spending YoY Aug 0.9% -0.2%
06:30 JP Natl CPI YoY Aug 0.7% 0.4%
06:30 JP Natl CPI Ex Fresh Food YoY Aug 0.7% 0.5%
06:30 JP Natl CPI Ex Fresh Food, Energy YoY Aug 0.2% 0.1%
06:50 JP BOJ Summary of Opinions at Sept.20-21 Meeting
06:50 JP Retail Sales MoM Aug -0.8% 1.1%
06:50 JP Retail Trade YoY Aug 2.5% 1.9%
06:50 JP Industrial Production MoM Aug P 1.9% -0.8%
06:50 JP Industrial Production YoY Aug P 5.2% 4.7%
08:30 AU Private Sector Credit MoM Aug 0.5% 0.5%
08:30 AU Private Sector Credit YoY Aug 5.5% 5.3%
08:45 CN Caixin China PMI Mfg Sep 51.6 51.6
N/A HK Budget Balance HKD Aug -- -2.5b
N/A HK Money Supply M1 HKD YoY Aug -- 18.4%
N/A HK Money Supply M2 HKD YoY Aug -- 15.8%
N/A HK Money Supply M3 HKD YoY Aug -- 15.8%
11:00 JP Vehicle Production YoY Aug -- 1.4%
RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
(Source: Reuters-FXstreet-DailyFX- Tradingeconomics-forexfactory, Research: @LukmanLoeng,@her1en,@ErwinRiset)
12:00 JP Housing Starts YoY Aug 0.7% -2.3%
12:00 JP Annualized Housing Starts Aug 0.968m 0.974m
12:00 JP Construction Orders YoY Aug -- 14.9%
14:00 CH KOF Leading Indicator Sep -- 104.1
14:55 DE Unemployment Change (000's) Sep -5k -5k
14:55 DE Unemployment Claims Rate SA Sep 5.7% 5.7%
15:30 GB Current Account Balance 2Q -- -16.9b
15:30 GB Net Consumer Credit Aug -- 1.2b
15:30 GB Net Lending Sec. on Dwellings Aug -- 3.6b
15:30 GB Mortgage Approvals Aug -- 68.7k
15:30 GB Money Supply M4 MoM Aug -- 0.5%
15:30 GB M4 Money Supply YoY Aug -- 4.4%
15:30 GB M4 Ex IOFCs 3M Annualised Aug -- 3.3%
15:30 GB GDP QoQ 2Q F -- 0.3%
15:30 GB GDP YoY 2Q F -- 1.7%
15:30 GB Index of Services MoM Jul -- 0.4%
15:30 GB Index of Services 3M/3M Jul -- 0.5%
15:30 GB Total Business Investment QoQ 2Q F -- 0.0%
15:30 GB Total Business Investment YoY 2Q F -- 0.0%
15:45 GB Bank of Israel's Flug Speaks at BOE Conference, London 15:45 GB
South Africa's Kganyago Speaks at BOE Conference, London
16:00 EZ CPI Estimate YoY Sep 1.6% 1.5%
16:00 EZ CPI Core YoY Sep A 1.2% 1.2%
17:30 GB IMF's Lagarde Speaks at BOE Conference, London
19:30 CA GDP MoM Jul -- 0.3%
19:30 CA GDP YoY Jul -- 4.3%
19:30 GB BOE's Broadbent Speaks at Conference in London
19:30 US Personal Income Aug 0.3% 0.4%
19:30 US Personal Spending Aug 0.1% 0.3%
19:30 US Real Personal Spending Aug -0.2% 0.2%
19:30 US PCE Deflator MoM Aug 0.3% 0.1%
19:30 US PCE Deflator YoY Aug 1.5% 1.4%
19:30 US PCE Core MoM Aug 0.2% 0.1%
19:30 US PCE Core YoY Aug 1.4% 1.4%
20:45 US Chicago Purchasing Manager Sep 57.5 58.9
21:00 US U. of Mich. Sentiment Sep F 95.2 95.3
21:00 US U. of Mich. Current Conditions Sep F -- 113.9
21:00 US U. of Mich. Expectations Sep F -- 83.4
21:00 US U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation Sep F -- 2.7%
21:00 US U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation Sep F -- 2.6%
21:15 EZ ECB's Draghi, BOE's Carney in dialog in London 22:00 US
Fed's Harker Speaks at Fintech Event on Consumers &
Banking
Sat/30-Sep-17 08:00 CN Manufacturing PMI Sep -- 51.7
08:00 CN Non-manufacturing PMI Sep -- 53.4
00:00 US Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Sep-29 -- 935
RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
SSIamZ7 (Nikkei Dec Futures) – Last Trading Date: 07 Dec 2017
Waspadai reversal berkembang setelah catat level tertinggi tahun ini di 20370
RSI di zona overbought
Jika gagal bertahan di atas level krusial di 20200, koreksi berpotensi berkembang.
Adapun support krusial di 19820 – 19750
(Research – @ErwinRiset)
DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE % CHANGE VOLUME
22 Sep SSIpmZ7 20160 20210 20150 60 20185 --- 15 0.07 16732
22 Sep SSIamZ7 20260 20285 20120 165 20170 20170 55 0.27 71183
21 Sep SSIpmZ7 20250 20290 20185 105 20245 --- 20 0.10 18051
21 Sep SSIamZ7 20295 20370 20200 170 20225 20225 90 0.45 64180
20 Sep SSIpmZ7 20135 20285 20120 165 20275 --- 140 0.70 15870
20 Sep SSIamZ7 20125 20220 20125 95 20135 20135 25 0.12 47311
19 Sep SSIpmZ7 20120 20160 20075 85 20135 --- 25 0.12 20330
19 Sep SSIamZ7 19970 20180 19965 215 20110 20110 165 0.83 71523
18 Sep SSIpmZ7 19955 20000 19920 80 19995 --- 50 0.25 7915
18 Sep SSIamZ7 19875 19960 19865 95 19950 19945 170 0.86 6980
WEEKLY SEPTEMBER AUGUST 2017
HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
20370 19865 20370 19085 20100 19140 20370 18190
(21/Sep) (18/Sep) (21/Sep) (08/Sep) (02/Aug) (29/Aug) (21/Sep) (17/Apr)
ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION RESISTANCE
20935 High Aug 11, 2015 (Reaction high)
20680 High 18/Aug/2015 (Reaction high)
20565 High 19/Aug/2015
20370 High 21/Sept/2017
SUPPORT
20075 Reaction low (hourly)
19915 Reaction low (hourly)
19750 Crucial level (hourly)
19635 Reaction low (hourly)
RECOMMENDATION
BUY ----
SELL 20280
STOP LOSS 20380
TARGET 20140
20065
RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
KSZ7 (Kospi Dec Futures) – Exp. Date: 14 Dec 2017
Reversal berkembang setelah gagal bertahan diatas resistance krusial di 319.45
Koreksi sedang uji area support 316.30
Support penting di 309.75 (Research – @ErwinRiset)
DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE %
CHANGE VOLUME
22 Sep 318.95 320.10 316.40 3.70 317.10 317.10 2.30 0.72 235346
21 Sep 318.70 319.85 318.35 1.50 319.40 319.40 0.25 0.08 155468
20 Sep 320.10 321.60 318.15 3.45 319.15 319.15 0.25 0.08 181751
19 Sep 319.65 320.20 319.10 1.10 319.40 319.40 0.65 0.20 125392
18 Sep 314.85 320.05 314.65 5.40 320.05 320.05 5.50 1.75 208085
15 Sep (KSZ6) 312.55 314.60 311.75 2.85 314.55 314.55 0.95 0.30 194080
WEEKLY SEPTEMBER AUGUST 2017
HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
321.60 314.65 321.60 302.70 319.45 302.30 322.75 259.25
(20/Sep) (18/Sep) (20/Sep) (06/Sep) (01/Aug) (11/Aug) (25/Jul) (02/Jan)
ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION
RESISTANCE
322.15 High 27/Jul/2017 (Reaction high)
321.60 High 20/Sep/2017
320.10 High 22/Sep/2017
318.15 Pivot line (hourly)
SUPPORT
316.30 Pivot line
314.65 Low 18/Sep/2017
311.75 Low 15/Sep/2017
309.75 Low 13/Sep/2017
RECOMMENDATION
BUY ----
SELL 317.80
STOP LOSS 318.50
TARGET 316.15
315.00
RESEARCH DEPARTMENT – PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta 12950 Indonesia, Phone : +6221-25533777 Twitter: @researchvaf
HSIU7 (Hang Seng September Futures) – Exp. Date: 28 Sep 2017
Koreksi berlanjut, hadapi area support di 27751
Resistance krusial di 27904.
Jika area tersebut utuh, koreksi berpeluang berlanjut
Strong support di 27457
(Research – @ErwinRiset)
DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE %
CHANGE VOLUME
22 Sep 28007 28010 27771 239 27783 27784 346 1.23 110899
21 Sep 28091 28175 28035 140 28129 28129 5 0.02 96763
20 Sep 28050 28129 27994 135 28124 28124 89 0.32 83322
19 Sep 28135 28225 28014 211 28035 28035 126 0.45 109293
18 Sep 27933 28168 27904 264 28161 28161 385 1.39 102184
15 Sep 27723 27913 27457 456 27776 27776 2 0.01 153184
14 Sep 27810 27870 27666 204 27778 27778 85 0.31 96590
WEEKLY SEPTEMBER AUGUST 2017
HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
28225 27771 28225 27350 28071 26834 28225 21863
(19/Sep) (22/Sep) (19/Sep) (06/Sep) (28/Aug) (11/Aug) (19/Sep) (03/Jan)
ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION
RESISTANCE
28458 High 27/May/2015
28225 High 19/Sep/2017
28175 Reaction high (hourly)
27904 Pivot line (hourly)
SUPPORT
27751 Reaction low (hourly)
27457 Low 15/Sep/2017
27350 Low 06/Sep/2017
27130 Low 22/Aug/2017
RECOMMENDATION
BUY ----
SELL 27865
STOP LOSS 27950
TARGET 27720
27625
