ABSTRAK
Atika Sari (130304171)dengan judul skripsi “Analisis Forecasting Produksi dan Konsumsi Daging Kambing dan Daging Domba di Provinsi Sumatera Utara.” Studi kasus Di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Penelitian ini di bimbing oleh Bapak Dr. Ir. Satia Negara Lubis, M.Ec., selaku ketua komisi pembimbing dan Bapal HM. Mozart B. Darus, M. Sc., selaku anggota komisi pembimbing.
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisa produksi dan konsumsi daging kambing dan daging domba di Provinsi Sumatera Utara dengan analisis
forecasting dengan menggunakan aplikasi program SPSS yang diperoleh dari Dinas Ketahanan Pangan dan Dinas Peternakan Provinsi Sumatera Utara.
Metode penentuan daerah yang digunakan secara purposive area sampling. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini berupa data sekunder (tidak langsung) yang diperoleh dari Dinas Peternakan dan Kesehatan Hewan Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa Pada tahun 2006-2015 di Provinsi Sumatera Utara, produksi daging kambing dan daging domba mengalami trend positif dan untuk konsumsi daging kambing dan daging domba juga mengalami trend positif. Pada tahun 2006-2015 di Provinsi Sumatera Utara menunjukkan konsumsi daging kambing dan daging domba lebih besar dari produksi daging kambing dan daging domba Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Untuk tahun 2017-2026 di Provinsi Sumatera Utara menunjukkan bahwa hasil analisis forecasting produksi daging kambing dan daging domba mengalami trend positif dan hasil analisis forecasting
konsumsi daging kambing dan daging domba mengalami trend positif dengan perbedaan tipis antara hasil analisis forecasting produksi dan konsumsi daging kambing dan daging domba Provinsi Sumatera Utara.
Kata Kunci: Analisis Forecasting, Trend, Produksi dan Konsumsi Daging Kambing dan Daging Domba
ABSTRACT
Atika Sari (130304171) with the thesis entitled An Analysis on the Forecasting of Production and Consumption of Goat Meat and Lamb in North Sumatera Province, A Case Study in North Sumatera Province. This research was supervised by Dr. Ir. Satia Negara Lubis, M.Ec, as the Chairperson of the Supervisory Committee and HM. Mozart B. Barus, M.Sc, as the member of the Supervisory Committee.
The objective of the research was to analyze the production and the consumption of goat meat and lamb in North Sumatera Province by analyzing the forecasting the forecasting using an SPSS software program obtained from the Food Security Agency and the Animal Husbandry Agency of North Sumatera Province. The research area was determined by using purposive sampling technique. The secondary data were obtained from the Food Security Agency and the Animal Husbandry Agency of North Sumatera Province. The result of the research showed that the production and the consumption of goat meat and lamb had positive trend in North Sumatera Province in the period of 2006-2015. It was also found that the consumption of goat meat and lamb was more than their production in North Sumatera Province in the period of 2006-2015. It was predicted that in the period of 2017-2026, from the forecasting analysis, the production and the consumption of goat meat and lamb will have positive trend in North Sumatera, and according to the forecasting analysis, there will be slight difference between the production and the consumption of goat meat and lamb in North Sumatera.
Keywords: Forecasting analysis, Trend, Production and Consumption of Goat Meat and Lamb
