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Daily Insight
Wednesday, Nov 9
th
2016
IHSG
diprediksi
akan
bergerak
melanjutkan
penguatannya pada perdagangan hari ini. Pasar
saham Eropa dan Amerika ditutup naik kemarin
menjelang keputusan akhir pemenang Pemilu AS
dimana dari hasil survei sementara menunjukkan
Hillary Clinton lebih unggul dibanding pesaingnya.
Hal tersebut juga membuat harga minyak naik hampir
2%. Inggris mengalami pertumbuhan di kuartal III ini.
Pasar saham Jepang, Korea dan Australia dibuka
menguat pagi ini. Inflasi Tiongkok meningkat sesuai
estimasi.
Dari dalam negeri, BI mengimplementasikan media
transaksi lelang SWAP secara otomatis yang berlaku
efektif mulai 8 November 2016. Retail sales bulan
September diperkirakan meningkat.
Pergerakan IHSG sangat optimis hingga mampu break
out batasan atas atau resistance bearish trend hingga
menyentuh upper bollinger bands secara teknikal
analisis. Indikator stochastic dan RSI berbalik
mendapakan dorongan penguatan hingga kembali
pada area middle oscillator menuju titik jenuh beli.
Diperkirakan IHSG akan mencoba mengkonfirmasikan
pergerakan break out bearish trend dan MA25 hingga
menuji harga tertinggi di tahun ini dengan range
pergerakan 5375-5500. Saham yang masih dapat
menjadi fokus diantaranya ASII, SARI, BBCA, BSDE,
INDF, MNCN, SMGR, SMRA, LPPF, MMPA, UNVR.
Market Update
Global Market
Dow Jones
18,332.74
8-Nov-16
Daily
2.5%
Yt d
5.2%
S&P 500
2,139.56
2.6%
4.7%
Nasdaq
5,193.49
2.9%
3.7%
FTSE 100
6,843.13
2.2%
9.6%
DAX
10,482.32
2.2%
-2.4%
CAC 40
4,476.89
2.3%
-3.5%
Hang Seng
22,909.47
1.2%
4.5%
Nikkei
17,171.38
1.6%
-9.8%
Kospi
2,003.38
1.1%
2.1%
Shanghai Comp
3,147.89
0.7%
-11.1%
All Ordinaries
3,713.78
2.0%
7.8%
EIDO
26.67
4.8%
27.8%
Idn CDS 5yr USD
153.00
-3.2%
-33.5%
MSCI Emerging Mkt
902.45
2.5%
13.6%
CBOE SPX Volatility
18.74
-16.7%
2.9%
US Dollar Index
97.86
0.8%
-0.8%
Commodit ies (USD)
8-Nov-16
Daily
Yt d
Coal
101.90
-4.5% 123.2%
CPO (MYR)
2,854.00
3.7%
19.0%
Crude Oil
44.98
2.1%
21.4%
Gold
1,275.68
-2.3%
20.2%
Copper
238.00
5.1%
11.5%
Nickel
11,218.50
7.7%
27.7%
Tin
21,630.00
1.0%
48.2%
HRC Steel
492.00
0.0%
25.8%
Corn
354.25
1.6%
-1.3%
Soybean
1,001.75
2.1%
15.0%
Indonesia
8-Nov-16
Daily
Yt d
USDIDR
13,084.00
0.1%
-5.1%
IHSG
5,470.68
2.0%
19.1%
LQ45
934.85
2.3%
18.0%
ISSI
180.19
2.1%
24.2%
JII
740.90
2.2%
22.8%
Finance
821.18
2.1%
19.5%
Property
554.77
1.3%
13.0%
Consumer
2,503.12
2.1%
21.2%
Misc Indust
1,390.86
2.7%
31.6%
Basic Indust
544.25
1.7%
33.4%
Mining
1,390.75
2.3%
71.5%
Agriculture
1,770.39
1.5%
3.0%
Trading
862.95
1.7%
1.6%
Infrastructure
357.96
2.8%
12.8%
Indonesia St ock
8-Nov-16
Yt d
Foreign Net Buy (Sell)
145.65
31,235.77
(bn Rp)
Value Shares Traded
6,353.70
(bn Rp)
Volume Shares Traded 10,057.93
(mn shares)
Govt Bond Yield (%)
8-Nov-16
Chg
Indonesia 10yr IDR
7.252
0.082
Indonesia 10yr USD
3.521
0.095
US Treasury 10yr
1.880
(0.090)
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Berita Ekonomi dan Emiten:
Aneka Tambang (ANTM): membentuk aliansi strategi dengan Newcrest Mining Limited (Newcrest) dalam eksplorasi emas
dan deposito tembaga di beberapa wilayah Indonesia. (Ko.id)
Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA): melakukan peningkatan modal di PT Buana Mas Sejahtera lewat salah satu anak
perusahaannya. Perseroan meningkatkan modal dasar dari semula Rp 20 miliar yang terbagi atas 20.000 lembar menjadi Rp
50 miliar yang terbagi atas 50.000 lembar saham. (Iqp)
Mayora Indah (MYOR): segera meresmikan pabrik produk air minum dalam kemasan senilai Rp 500 miliar – Rp 700 miliar
pada Desember 2016. Perseroan menargetkan pangsa pasar yang naik 5x lipat untuk produk air minum dalam kemasan dari
produksi Le Minerale menjadi 30-40%. (Iqp)
Bukit Uluwatu Villa (BUVA): mengantongi dana segar hasil penerbitan saham melalui private placement sebesar Rp 180,19
miliar. Perseroan menjual 309,60 juta saham baru atau setara 9,09% dari modal ditempatkan dan disetor penuh kepada NV III
Holdings Limited dan Shinhan Investment Corp. Dana tersebut akan digunakan untuk pembelian lahan dan pengembangan
usaha di daerah Ubud atau Uluwatu serta modal kerja. (Ko.id)
Samudera Indonesia (SMDR): akan membangun dua galangan kapal. Satu galangan kapal akan dibuat bersama dengan mitra
bisnis lewat skema joint venture alias usaha patungan, dan mitra kerjasama perseroan tersebut adalah dua perusahaan asal
Jepang, yakni Tsuneishi Shipbuilding dan Mitsui Co. Ltd. Saat ini proses negosiasi bisnis dengan kedua mitra bisnis masih
berlangsung.(Br.com)
Kresna Graha (KREN): pada 31 Oktober 2016 membentuk anak usaha bernama Raffles Global Ventures Pte Ltd. yang
berbadan hukum Singapura. Kresna memiliki 45% saham di perusahaan tersebut. Kresna Graha juga membentuk dua anak
usaha berbadan hukum Singapura, yakni Pacifica Growth Investments Pte Ltd dan Queenstown Growth Investments Pte Ltd.
KREN menguasai 100% saham dua perusahaan investasi tersebut. (Br.com)
8-Nov-16
Daily
Yt d
P/E 2017E
Misc Indust
ASII IJ Equity
8,375
3.1%
39.6%
16.2
SMSM IJ Equity
1,100
3.8% -76.9%
3.0
SRIL IJ Equity
260
-5.1% -33.2%
5.4
Basic Indust
SMGR IJ Equity
9,400
1.3% -17.5%
9.9
INTP IJ Equity
16,125
0.2% -27.8%
11.6
CPIN IJ Equity
3,620
0.0%
39.2%
18.5
JPFA IJ Equity
1,935
1.3% 204.7%
27.0
Finance
BBTN IJ Equity
1,920
2.7%
48.3%
7.6
BBNI IJ Equity
5,725
2.2%
14.7%
8.2
BBRI IJ Equity
12,875
3.8%
12.7%
10.6
Consumer
UNVR IJ Equity
44,375
0.9%
19.9%
46.3
KAEF IJ Equity
2,410
-2.4% 177.0%
43.7
INDF IJ Equity
8,375
2.4%
61.8%
16.3
Property
WSKT IJ Equity
2,490
-0.8%
49.1%
21.3
PTPP IJ Equity
4,040
1.5%
4.3%
16.7
CTRA IJ Equity
1,630
8.3%
12.3%
15.0
SMRA IJ Equity
1,470
2.4% -10.9%
13.4
Infrastructure
TLKM IJ Equity
4,280
3.1%
37.8%
20.8
JSMR IJ Equity
4,520
0.7% -13.5%
17.4
Trading
MLPL IJ Equity
366
2.2%
42.4%
16.9
MAPI IJ Equity
5,675
4.1%
49.5%
22.9
Mining
ELSA IJ Equity
452
3.7%
83.0%
14.7
PTBA IJ Equity
12,875
3.2% 184.5%
17.3
Agriculture
AALI IJ Equity
15,325
3.7%
1.5%
12.3
LSIP IJ Equity
1,490
5.7%
12.9%
12.1
SIMP IJ Equity
498
1.6%
50.0%
10.2
SGRO IJ Equity
1,910
-0.3%
12.4%
8.5
LS 27 average ret urn
2.0% 36.2%
JCI Index
5,471
2.0% 19.1%
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World Economic Calendar
RUPS
Ticker Dat e Place Act ion
PWON 10-Nov-16 Four Points By Sheraton Surabaya Hotel RUPSLB
BJBR 10-Nov-16 RUPSLB
CENT 11-Nov-16 Mercure Convention Center RUPSLB PBRX 11-Nov-16 Financial Hall, Graha CIMB Niaga RUPSLB DOID 15-Nov-16 Marquee Executive Office RUPSLB BTEK 16-Nov-16 Ruang Seminar Bursa Efek Indonesia RUPSLB
JASS 17-Nov-16 RUPSLB
CITA 17-Nov-16 Le Meridien Hotel Jakarta RUPSLB
BKSW 18-Nov-16 RUPSLB
BVIC 18-Nov-16 RUPSLB
HMSP 18-Nov-16 Ruang Seminar Bursa Efek Indonesia RUPSLB HOME 22-Nov-16 Belleza Gapura Prima Office Tow er RUPSLB BKSL 22-Nov-16 Ruang Anggrek Hotel Neo Green RUPSLB KIAS 22-Nov-16 Kantor Perseroan RUPSLB IATA 24-Nov-16 Ruang Meeting MNC Financial Center Lt 13 RUPSLB
CTBN 24-Nov-16 RUPSLB
SPMA 24-Nov-16 Kantor Perseroan RUPSLB
Source: KSEI
Event Period Prior Survey Actual
08-Nov-16 CN Exports (YoY) Oct -10% -6%
Trade Balance U SD Oct $41.989B $51.700B
Trade Balance CNY Oct 278.4B
Imports (YoY) Oct -1.90% -1.00%
FDI - Foreign Direct Investment (YTD) (YoY) Oct 4.20%
GE Imports (MoM) Sep 3.00% -0.30%
Current Account n.s.a. Sep €17.9B
Trade Balance s.a. Sep €22.2B €22.4B
Exports (MoM) Sep 5.40% -0.80%
09-Nov-16 CN FDI - Foreign Direct Investment (YTD) (YoY) Oct 4.20%
Producer Price Index (YoY) Oct 0.10% 0.80% Consumer Price Index (YoY) Oct 0.70% 0.00% Consumer Price Index (MoM) Oct 1.90% 2.10% JP Eco Watchers Survey: Current Oct 44.8
Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook Oct 48.5
Source:Fxstreet
Indonesia 10yr IDR Govt Bond Yield Date Yield (mid)
8-Nov-16 7.43 7-Nov-16 7.42 4-Nov-16 7.40 3-Nov-16 7.36 2-Nov-16 7.35
Dat e Indo nesia St ock Yt d Net Foreign Net Value (Rp bn) JASXFBAT Index Buy (Sell) (Rp bn)
8-Nov-16 145.65 31,151.57 7-Nov-16 (1,078.01)
4-Nov-16 (912.71) 3-Nov-16 170.17
Indonesia Government Bonds
Mat urit y
Bid Price
YTM (Bid) Cpn
Next Coupon Issue Dat e
SR08 3/10/2019
103.43
6.71
8.30
12/10/2016
3/10/2016
SR07 3/11/2018
102.16
6.55
8.25
11/11/2016
3/11/2015
SR06 3/5/2017
100.90
5.89
8.75
12/5/2016
3/5/2014
OR13 10/15/2019
100.00
6.60
6.60
11/15/2016
10/26/2016
OR12 10/15/2018
104.43
6.55
9.00
11/15/2016
10/21/2015
OR11 10/15/2017
102.00
6.28
8.50
11/15/2016
10/22/2014
FR73 5/15/2031
108.67
7.74
8.75
11/15/2016
8/6/2015
FR72 5/15/2036
103.87
7.86
8.25
11/15/2016
7/9/2015
FR71 3/15/2029
110.55
7.66
9.00
3/15/2017
9/12/2013
FR70 3/15/2024
106.04
7.30
8.38
3/15/2017
8/29/2013
FR69 4/15/2019
102.24
6.85
7.88
4/15/2017
8/29/2013
FR68 3/15/2034
104.52
7.89
8.38
3/15/2017
8/1/2013
FR67 2/15/2044
108.00
8.02
8.75
2/15/2017
7/18/2013
FR66 5/15/2018
97.91
6.72
5.25
11/15/2016
10/25/2012
FR65 5/15/2033
89.13
7.81
6.63
11/15/2016
8/30/2012
FR64 5/15/2028
89.07
7.56
6.13
11/15/2016
8/13/2012
FR63 5/15/2023
91.72
7.24
5.63
11/15/2016
8/13/2012
FR62 4/15/2042
80.71
8.19
6.38
4/15/2017
2/9/2012
FR61 5/15/2022
99.90
7.02
7.00
11/15/2016
10/6/2011
FR60 4/15/2017
99.78
6.74
6.25
4/15/2017
10/6/2011
FR59 5/15/2027
97.42
7.36
7.00
11/15/2016
9/15/2011
FR58 6/15/2032
104.05
7.79
8.25
12/15/2016
7/21/2011
FR57 5/15/2041
114.32
8.14
9.50
11/15/2016
4/21/2011
FR56 9/15/2026
107.21
7.33
8.38
3/15/2017
9/23/2010
FR54 7/15/2031
114.74
7.79
9.50
1/15/2017
7/22/2010
FR53 7/15/2021
104.88
7.00
8.25
1/15/2017
7/8/2010
FR52 8/15/2030
122.94
7.76
10.50
2/15/2017
8/20/2009
FR50 7/15/2038
125.83
7.97
10.50
1/15/2017
1/24/2008
FR48 9/15/2018
104.11
6.59
9.00
3/15/2017
9/27/2007
FR47 2/15/2028
118.56
7.52
10.00
2/15/2017
8/30/2007
FR46 7/15/2023
111.36
7.32
9.50
1/15/2017
7/19/2007
FR45 5/15/2037
117.51
8.00
9.75
11/15/2016
5/24/2007
FR44 9/15/2024
115.23
7.40
10.00
3/15/2017
4/19/2007
FR43 7/15/2022
114.19
7.16
10.25
1/15/2017
2/22/2007
FR42 7/15/2027
119.82
7.51
10.25
1/15/2017
1/25/2007
FR40 9/15/2025
122.66
7.45
11.00
3/15/2017
9/21/2006
FR39 8/15/2023
123.26
7.32
11.75
2/15/2017
8/24/2006
FR38 8/15/2018
107.97
6.72
11.60
2/15/2017
8/24/2006
FR37 9/15/2026
131.24
7.46
12.00
3/15/2017
5/18/2006
FR36 9/15/2019
111.76
6.87
11.50
3/15/2017
4/20/2006
FR35 6/15/2022
126.28
7.12
12.90
12/15/2016
2/16/2006
FR34 6/15/2021
122.52
6.98
12.80
12/15/2016
1/26/2006
FR32 7/15/2018
112.95
6.70
15.00
1/15/2017
9/1/2005
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Key Statistic
Ticker
Closing Price
Change (%)
P/E (x)
P/S (x)
P/B (x)
ROA (%)
ROE (%)
24.01 AALI 15,325.00 2.17 16.11 2.14 1.82 7.37 11.98 BWPT 200.00 3.63 #N/A N/A 2.85 1.01 (2.38) (6.22) SSMS 1,475.00 0.68 25.05 5.92 4.63 8.14 19.36 LS IP 1,490.00 2.41 24.01 2.72 1.38 4.79 5.88 DSNG 398.00 (0.50) 24.09 1.12 1.74 2.21 7.57 21.92 ADRO 1,630.00 (3.26) 21.92 1.69 1.31 2.94 6.10
INCO 3,000.00 5.26 #N/A N/A 3.91 1.25 (0.37) (0.46)
ITMG 16,500.00 2.07 31.67 1.04 1.63 3.52 4.80 PTBA 12,875.00 (1.34) 17.62 2.10 2.87 9.47 16.78 30.01 AIS A 2,010.00 - 16.88 1.01 1.79 4.68 11.19 UNVR 44,375.00 0.85 52.73 8.67 53.38 39.22 106.11 ULTJ 4,850.00 2.11 20.81 3.06 4.21 18.22 22.49 ICBP 9,575.00 3.23 32.95 3.27 6.66 12.50 21.47 KLBF 1,710.00 1.18 36.30 4.19 7.09 15.80 20.70 MYOR 1,500.00 (0.33) 30.01 2.03 5.92 9.68 21.76 ROTI 1,600.00 - 28.76 3.32 6.06 10.50 22.95 SIDO 560.00 1.82 19.11 3.77 3.19 15.58 16.75 23.97 ACES 865.00 (0.57) 21.95 3.05 5.20 20.43 25.30 AKRA 7,000.00 4.09 28.34 1.77 4.25 6.22 15.65 LPPF 16,500.00 4.27 23.97 4.95 - 54.40 -SRTG 3,450.00 - 1.55 1.47 0.51 29.20 41.05 MIKA 2,780.00 (2.11) 71.28 18.74 12.66 19.25 23.12 MNCN 1,950.00 2.63 13.79 4.10 2.94 13.61 22.48 UNTR 22,950.00 3.03 60.76 1.90 2.22 2.14 3.58 18.99 APLN 274.00 0.74 6.10 0.86 0.73 3.51 12.85 ASRI 426.00 0.47 7.01 3.32 1.16 6.44 18.13 PWON 720.00 - 24.65 7.38 4.18 7.19 18.65 BSDE 2,120.00 2.42 26.22 7.05 2.05 4.31 8.18 CTRP 770.00 0.65 13.71 2.53 1.03 3.54 7.76 CTRA 1,630.00 4.15 24.60 3.84 2.87 3.15 9.93 CTRS 3,100.00 2.31 14.38 3.32 1.95 6.62 14.37 DILD 560.00 0.90 14.60 2.52 1.19 3.69 8.41 KIJA 296.00 - 9.80 2.19 1.22 6.31 13.21 LPKR 890.00 - 78.56 2.23 1.18 0.62 1.48 SMRA 1,470.00 1.38 68.95 4.47 3.52 0.56 1.76 SSIA 560.00 (0.88) 18.99 0.59 0.89 2.16 4.74 ADHI 2,180.00 0.46 16.84 0.71 1.50 2.87 12.89 WIKA 2,640.00 (0.38) 25.49 1.09 3.51 3.20 14.46 WSKT 2,490.00 (0.40) 19.24 1.61 3.29 4.30 16.91 LPCK 5,950.00 1.28 6.53 2.32 1.01 11.96 17.08 MDLN 364.00 - 7.61 1.96 0.75 4.65 10.36 JRPT 830.00 - 12.17 4.98 2.52 12.01 22.44 13.85 CPIN 3,620.00 2.55 19.31 1.65 4.07 12.74 23.24 INTP 16,125.00 1.26 13.85 3.65 2.33 15.90 17.76 MAIN 1,615.00 (0.31) - 0.68 2.10 4.93 13.91 SMBR 2,040.00 3.29 75.60 13.64 6.64 7.46 8.98 SMCB 940.00 - #N/A N/A 0.75 0.88 2.05 4.81 SMGR 9,400.00 1.08 13.12 2.07 2.04 11.05 16.16 20.18 ASII 8,375.00 1.82 24.66 1.90 3.21 5.44 13.34 AUTO 2,210.00 - 25.10 0.84 1.15 2.89 4.62 SMSM 1,100.00 - 15.70 2.26 4.71 18.00 31.13 SRIL 260.00 (3.70) 5.99 0.56 1.20 7.72 21.69 12.08 BBCA 15,500.00 0.65 19.32 6.03 3.50 3.18 20.27 BBNI 5,725.00 2.69 9.88 2.04 1.26 2.10 14.72 BBRI 12,875.00 3.41 12.16 2.87 2.24 2.99 20.91 BBTN 1,920.00 2.40 9.05 1.16 1.12 1.24 14.37 BDMN 3,800.00 1.06 12.08 1.40 1.02 1.63 8.67 BMRI 11,575.00 1.76 15.20 2.75 1.80 1.89 13.60 BTPN 2,880.00 - 9.76 1.19 1.07 2.08 12.02 BBKP 660.00 0.76 5.82 0.59 0.67 1.13 12.80 BJTM 515.00 - 7.51 1.48 1.10 2.00 15.61 BJBR 1,550.00 2.31 8.93 1.32 1.56 1.70 19.96 13.68 CMNP 1,660.00 2.47 8.55 1.81 1.03 8.29 12.79 EXCL 2,510.00 10.57 - 1.07 1.28 1.13 3.71 TBIG 5,850.00 - 15.52 7.33 12.62 7.39 55.41 SOCI 414.00 - 5.45 1.57 0.80 8.57 15.86 JSMR 4,520.00 0.67 16.99 2.15 2.71 4.78 17.24 PGAS 2,490.00 0.40 13.68 1.49 1.48 5.22 11.21 TLKM 4,280.00 3.13 22.56 3.73 5.07 11.12 24.19 TOWR 3,730.00 (1.84) 9.98 8.01 4.23 16.97 53.80 To p Gainers (%) 1 2 3 4 5
EXCL INCO LPPF CTRA AKRA
To p Lo ssers (%) 70 69 68 67 65
SRIL ADRO MIKA TOWR SSIA
Lo west PER 70 69 68 67 66
BBKP SRIL APLN LPCK ASRI
S o urc e : B lo o m be rg, R e lia nc e R e s e a rc h
MISCELANEOUS INDUSTRY, MEDIAN PER=
FINANCE, MEDIAN PER=
INFRASTRUCTURE, MEDIAN PER= AGRICULTURE, MEDIAN PER=
MINING, MEDIAN PER=
CONSUMER GOODS, MEDIAN PER=
TRADING, MEDIAN PER=
PROPERTY & KONSTRUKSI MEDIAN PER=