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Bankruptcy Predicton Analysis Of Companies Listed On The Indonesian Stock Exchange

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Politeknik Negeri Batam, ICC Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Asian Fellowship of Academic Professionals (AFAP)

The First International Conference on Engineering, Technology and Applied Business 2014

Batam-Indonesia, 4th December 2014

Paper-SH- 005: Bankruptcy Predicton Analysis of Companies Listed on The Indonesian

Stock Exchange

Tia Maria Sembiringa*, Sinartib

aPoliteknik Negeri Batam, Parkway street Batam Centre, Batam 29461. Telp +62 85668842118, fax +62 778 463620 bPoliteknik Negeri Batam, Parkway street Batam Centre, Batam 29461. Telp +62 8127040316, fax +62 778 463620

*Corresponding author: tia@ptdsaw.co.id

ABSTRACT

Bankruptcy prediction is useful for companies which want to maintain their existence in order to take into account the possible policies to increase production and sales. Bankruptcy prediction gives an overview to the company's management and investors that actual conditions are under control. This study aims to determine the financial health level of manufacturing and metal companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange and also to find out if there is a significant difference to the approach using three models to examine a company’s financial health. This study used secondary data obtained from www.idx.co.id. The analysis used a linear regression and T-tests. The results of this study indicated that there are no significant difference on predictive models Z-Score and Springate, but there are significant differences to the model predictions with the Z-Score with Zmijewski and Springate with Zmijewski. The Z-Score Model predictions indicate that many companies could potentially bankrupt the state, as well as Springate, but Zmijewski states that companies are more healthy.

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