The induced cyclonic circulation over central Pakistan and adjoining western Rajasthan at 1.5 km above mean sea level continues. The cyclonic circulation over Haryana and the neighborhood extending up to 0.9 km above mean sea level continues. Cyclonic circulation over Vidarbha and neighborhood between 3.1 km and 5.8 km above mean sea level continues.
A cyclonic circulation over north Gangetic West Bengal and surrounding areas extending up to 2.1 km above mean sea level continues. Tamilnadu and neighborhood at 1.5 km above 9th century mean sea level; lies above the area of Comorin &. Last week's cyclonic circulation over southwest Rajasthan and surrounding areas at 0.9 km above mean sea level became less pronounced on 8 April 2021.
A cyclonic circulation lay over interior Odisha and neighborhood and extended up to 1.5 km above mean sea level on 12 April 2021; On April 13, 2021, it became less pronounced. A cyclonic circulation developed over north interior Karnataka and surrounding areas and extended up to 1.5 km above mean sea level on 14 April 2021. A cyclonic circulation was over the area and vicinity of Comoros at 1.5 km above mean sea level on April 14, 2021.
A cyclonic circulation lay over north-west Madhya Pradesh and surroundings and extended up to 0.9 km above mean sea level on 14 April 2021.
Arunachal Pradesh
Gangetic West Bengal
Odisha
Jharkhand
Bihar
East Uttar Pradesh
West Uttar Pradesh
Uttarakhand
Punjab
West Rajasthan A
East Rajasthan A
West Madhya Pradesh
East Madhya Pradesh
Gujarat Region A
Saurashtra &
Konkan & Goa A
Madhya Maharashtra
Marathawada A
Vidarbha
Chhattisgarh
Telangana
Coastal Karnataka
North Interior Karnataka
South Interior Karnataka
Kerala & Mahe A
Lakshadweep A
KARNATAKA: HUNCHADAKATTE-2, SRINGERI HMS-2, BHAGAMANDALA-1, KERALA & MAHE: PIRAVAM-4, MAVELIKARA-3, HARIPAD-3, THODUPUZHA-3, VAIKOM-2, CHERTHALA-2, KANJIRAPPALLY-2, PEERMADE TO- 3. 1, KAYAMKULAM-1, KOZHA-1, KURUDAMANNIL-1. KARAIKAL: KUZHITHURAI-4, USILAMPATTI-4, JAYANKONDAM-3, TIRUPUVANAM-3, MANAMADURAI-3, VALINOKKAM ARG-2, PILAVAKKAL-2, KODAIKANAL-1, PERUNCHANI DAM-1, BHOOTHAPANDAM-1, ANDIPATTI-1, VALANGAIMAN- 1. 1, TIRUMANGALAM-1, BODINAICKANUR-1, KAMUDHI-1, OBALNA KARNATAKA: MANGALURU AP OBSY-8, YELLAPUR-4, DHARMASTHALA-4, PANAMBUR OBSY-3, HALIYAL-2, N. KARNATAKA: VIRAJPET-2, NAVILE AWS. -1, SHIVAMOGGA PTO-1, KERALA & MAHE: ANGADIPURAM-7, PUNALUR-6, ERNAKULAM JUG-5, VAIKOM-5, PERINTHALAMANNA-4, THIRUVANANTHAPURAM-3, KURUDAMANNIL-3, KOCHI I.A.F.-3, KONNI -3, KOLLAM RLY-3, MANANTODDY-2, KOZHA-1, MYLADUMPARA AGRI-1, KAYAMKULAM-1, KOLLAMKODE-1, KUPPADY-1, NEDUMANGAD-1, CHERTHALA-1, KUMARAKAM-1, KAYAMKULAM AGRI-1.
MEGHALAYA: MAJULI-1, SHWB & SIKKIM: SHIPGYAR-4, SINGHIK-2, CHUNGTHANG-1, SANKALAN-1, ODISHA: MATHILI-3, LAHUNIPARA-2, MAHENDRAGARH-1, SWAM-PATNA-1, MOHANA-1, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA: PUNE CITY IMD OBSY-2, MAHABALESHWAR- IMD OBSY-1, MARATHWADA: OSMANABAD IMD PARTTIME-1, CHHATTISGARH: JAGDALPUR-1, BIJAPUR-1, BHOPALPATNAM-1, COASTAL A.P. VIRUDHUNAGAR-6, VEDASANDUR-5, COONOOR-4, COONOOR PTO-4, KODAVASAL-4, KAYATHAR ARG-4, PADALUR-3, KOVILANKULAM-3, MANALMEDU-3, SRIMUSHNAM-3, ETTAYAPURAM-3, BARUR-3, MIMISAL-3, ARAVAKURICHI-3, ARUPPUKOTTAI-2, KOVILPATTI (OKROŽJE: TOOTHUKUDI)-2, MADUKKUR-2, SURALACODE-2, THIRUCHUZHI-2, PARAMAKUDI-2, NEEDAMANGALAM-2, TIRUPATTUR PTO-2, PECHIPARAI-2. , SATTUR-2, VALANGAIMAN-2,. CHITTAR-1, BODINAICKANUR-1, VIRUDUNAGAR AWS-1, KOVILPATTI AWS-1, PERAVURANI-1, PERAIYUR-1, VALPARAI TALUK OFFICE-1, TONDI-1, BHOOTHAPANDY-1, MOHANUR-1, KAYATHAR-1, YERCAUD- 1. 1, PALANI-1, TIRUKATTUPALLI-1, TIRUCHENDUR-1, THENKASI-1, BUDALUR-1, TIRUVADANAI-1, POCHAMPALLI-1, CHEYYUR-1, KEELPENNATHUR-1, KAMUDHI-1, KRISHNARAYAPURAM-1, NADUVATTAM- 1, METTUPATTI-1, PERUNGALUR-1, OBALNA KARNATAKA: PANAMBUR OBSY-9, MANGALURU-5, MANGALURU AP OBSY-5, KUNDAPUR-3, MULKI-3, KARKALA-1, GOKARNA-1, KOTA-1, N.
KARAIKAL: EDAPADI-8, ARANI-5, SHOLAYAR-5, VALINOKAM-4, KAYATHAR-3, METTUR-3, PERUNCHANI DAM-3, THATHIENGRPET-3, CHINNAKALAR-3, TONDI-3, KUZHITHURAI-3, VALPARAI 3. 2, SURALACODE-2, BHAVANI-2, COONOOR-2, VEMBAKOTTAI-2, ARUPPUKOTTAI-2, VALINOKKAM ARG-2, SATTUR-2, VALPARAI TALUK-KANTOOR-2, OTTAPADIRAM-2, PAPPIREDDIPISTVITRIKATTI-2, : TOOTHUKUDI) )-1, MANIYACHI-1, CHEYYAR-1, KOTHAGIRI-1, VANDAVASI-1, KADALADI-1, PECHIPARAI-1, KALAVAI AWS-1, CHITTAR–-1, KUS KARNATAKA: KIRAVATTI-2, YELLAPUR- 1, N ARG Outomatiese Reënmeter IMD Indië Meteorologiese Departement SR Staat Raingauge CDR Sikloonopsporing Radar PWD Openbare Werke Departement.
However, the model's capability during this period is assumed to be limited due to the spring constraint. Currently, neutral Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions are observed over the Indian Ocean and the latest MMCFS forecast indicates that neutral IOD conditions are likely to continue through May, June and July (MJJ) and negative conditions of the IOD that may be developed later. Subsequently, another strong western disturbance is most likely to affect northwest India during 20 to 22 April 2021.
It is very likely to cause light/moderate scattered to widespread rainfall over Western Himalayan Region and isolated light rainfall over adjoining plains during the same period with its maximum intensity on 21st, heavy isolated rainfall has also likely over Kashmir valley on 21st April 2021. Rainfall activity over southern peninsular India is most likely to decrease on 17th and 18th April 2021. Again rainfall activity is likely to increase over the region from 19th to 21st scattered to fairly widespread rainfall over SW Peninsular India and isolated rain/shower over other parts of Peninsular India.
Due to the supply of moisture from the Bay of Bengal to the lower levels of the troposphere; rainfall activity over Northeast India is very likely to increase from 17th April. Due to the trough over southwest peninsular India, light thunderstorm is very likely over Kerala and Mahe, coastal and south interior Karnataka for several days of the week. Therefore, precipitation in the upper region is likely to be normal to above normal.
Temperatures are likely to be below normal in northeastern and adjoining eastern India and near normal in other parts of the country (Appendix IV). Due to the impact of the current WD and the resultant cyclonic circulation, which is likely to cause rain and thundershowers over most parts of the country, maximum temperatures over northwest India in the first half of the week are very likely will decrease by 2-4°C1 (Appendix V). Increase in maximum temperatures by 2-4°C over Madhya Maharashtra and Marathawada during the first half of week 1 and no significant change thereafter.
No significant change in maximum temperatures over the rest of the country during the next week. Therefore, there will be no major heat waves over any part of the country during the next week. Due to likely dry weather over most parts of the country, maximum temperatures are likely to rise gradually over most parts of the country.
It is likely to be above normal along the east coast, northeastern states, Gujarat, Bihar and parts of the western Himalayan region. The rest of the country is likely to be near normal or slightly below normal (Appendix V). Most of the numerical models, including the IMD GFS, GEFS, ECMWF, NCEP GFS, NEPS, NCUM, and NEPS, do not show any cyclogenesis during the relevant forecast period.
PERCENT DISTRIBUTION OF DISTRICTS IN PREVIOUS YEARS SINCE MARCH 1 OF DISTRICTS OUT OF.
