Friday 04 June 2021 MORNING Time of Issue: 0800 hours IST ALL INDIA WEATHER SUMMARY AND FORECAST BULLETIN
Significant Weather Features
♦ The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through lat. 10°N/ Long. 60°E, lat. 10°N/ Long. 70°E, Kochi, Palayamkottai, lat. 90°N/ Long. 80°E, 12°N/85°E, 14°N/90°E and 17°N/94°E.
♦ Southwest monsoon is likely to advance into remaining parts of south Arabian Sea, some parts of central Arabian Sea, remaining parts of Kerala & Lakshadweep, some more parts of Tamil Nadu & Puducherry, some parts of coastal & south interior Karnataka, Rayalaseema and some more parts of south and Central Bay of Bengal during next 24 hours.
♦ Due to strengthening of lower level southwesterly winds, widespread rainfall activity very likely over Northeastern states during next 5 days. Isolated heavy rainfall very likely over Arunachal Pradesh during 04th-06th; Assam & Meghalaya during 04th-07th and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura on 05th & 06th.
♦ A Western Disturbance as a trough in mid & upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 7.6 km above mean sea level runs roughly along longitude 74°E to the north of latitude 28°N. Under its influence, isolated to scattered rainfall accompanied with thunderstorm, lightning and gusty winds very likely over parts of Western Himalayan Region & adjoining plains of Northwest India during next 2 days.
♦ Under the influence of a trough at mean sea level off Karnataka-Kerala coasts and strengthening of westerly wind in lower tropospheric levels; scattered to widespread rainfall accompanied with thunderstorm, lightning and gusty winds. Isolated heavy rainfall very likely over Kerala and Karnataka during next 2 days.
Main Weather Observations
♦ Rain/Thundershowers observed (from 0830 hours IST to 1730 hours IST of yesterday): at most places over Arunachal Pradesh and Lakshadweep; at many places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan, & Muzaffarabad; at a few places over Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Chhattisgarh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Madhya Maharashtra and Telangana and at isolated places over Punjab, East Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh and North Interior Karnataka.
♦ Rainfall recorded (from 0830 hours IST to 1730 hours IST of yesterday)(1 cm or more): Sangli-5; Kolhapur-4; Minicoy-3; Itanagar, Kakinada and Jagdalpur-2 each; Jammu, Pasighat, Silchar, Kupwara and Belgaum-1 each.
♦ Thunderstorm observed (from 0830 hours IST of yesterday to 0530 hrs IST of today): at a few places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan, &
Muzaffarabad, Madhya Maharashtra and Kerala & Mahe and at isolated places over Punjab, Jharkhand, East Uttar Pradesh, Karnataka, Rajasthan, Sub- Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, West Madhya Pradesh, Konkan & Goa, Chhattisgarh, Assam & Meghalaya and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam.
♦ Maximum Temperature Departures as on 03-06-2021: Maximum temperatures were appreciably above normal (3.1°C to 5.0°C) at isolated places over Saurashtra & Kutch; above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at most places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands; at many places over Assam & Meghalaya; at a few places over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe. They were markedly below normal (-5.1°C and more) at many places over Punjab, Chhattisgarh, Marathwada, Telangana and North Interior Karnataka; at a few places over Arunachal Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh and Rayalaseema; at isolated places over East Rajasthan and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam; appreciably below normal (-3.1°C to -5.0°C) at many places over East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha; at a few places over Jharkhand, West Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and Madhya Maharashtra and at isolated places over Uttarakhand, Bihar, Odisha and West Madhya Pradesh; below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at most places over West Rajasthan and East Uttar Pradesh; at many places over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura and Lakshadweep; isolated places over Gangetic West Bengal and near normal over rest parts of the country. Yesterday the highest maximum temperature of 42.2 °C reported at Jhansi (West Uttar Pradesh ) over the country.
♦ Minimum Temperature Departures as on 03-06-2021: Minimum temperatures were above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan, & Muzaffarabad, Assam & Meghalaya, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Bihar, Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe. They were markedly below normal (-5.1°C and more) at isolated places over West Rajasthan, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Telangana and East Madhya Pradesh; appreciably below normal (-3.1°C to -5.0°C) at many places over East Rajasthan, Marathawada; below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at many places over West Madhya Pradesh; at a few places over Vidarbha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema and Odisha, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh Karnataka, Gujarat state, Konkan & Goa, and near normal over rest of the country. The lowest minimum temperature of 19.0°C was reported at Medak (Telangana) and Bidar (North Interior Karnataka) over the plains of the country.
* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day For more details kindly visit www.imd.gov.in or contact : +91 11 24631913, 24643965, 24629798
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0530 hours IST)
♦ The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through lat. 10°N/ Long. 60°E, lat. 10°N/ Long. 70°E, Kochi, Palayamkottai, lat. 90°N/ Long.
80°E, 12°N/85°E, 14°N/90°E and 17°N/94°E.
♦ Southwest monsoon is likely to advance into remaining parts of south Arabian Sea, some parts of central Arabian Sea, remaining parts of Kerala &
Lakshadweep, some more parts of Tamil Nadu & Puducherry, some parts of coastal & south interior Karnataka, Rayalaseema and some more parts of south and Central Bay of Bengal during next 24 hours.
♦ The Western Disturbance as a trough in mid & upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 7.6 km above mean sea level now runs roughly along longitude 74°E to the north of latitude 28°N.
♦ The cyclonic circulation over central Pakistan & neighbourhood extending upto 1.5 km above mean sea level persists.
♦ The cyclonic circulation over north Chhattisgarh & neighbourhood and extends upto 1.5 km above mean sea level persists.
♦ The cyclonic circulation over Eastcentral Arabian Sea off Karnataka coast extending upto 3.1 km above mean sea level persists.
♦ The trough at mean sea level off Karnataka-Kerala coasts persists.
♦ The cyclonic circulation over Equatorial Indian Ocean & adjoining central parts of South Bay of Bengal between 3.1 km & 4.5 km above mean sea level persists.
♦ The east-west shear zone from Southwest Arabian Sea to Southeast bay of Bengal across extreme southern peninsula along Latitude 8°N at 3.1 km above mean sea level persists.
♦ The north-south trough from Telangana to south Tamilnadu and extends upto 1.5 km above mean sea level persists.
Weather Forecast for next 5 days * upto 0830 hours IST of 09th June, 2021
♦ Meteorological sub-division wise detailed 5 days precipitation forecast is given in Table-1.
♦ Gradual rise by 2-4°C in maximum temperature over most parts of Northwest & East India during next 2-3 days and no significant change thereafter.
♦ No significant change in maximum temperature over rest parts of the country during next 4-5 days.
Weather Outlook for subsequent 2 days from 09th June 2021 to 11th June 2021
♦ Fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorms with heavy rainfall at isolated places likely over Northeast India.
♦ Scattered rainfall/thunderstorms with isolated heavy falls likely over south Peninsular India and Islands.
♦ Isolated to scattered rainfall/thunderstorms likely over East India.
♦ Weather likely to be dry over remaining parts of the country.
* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day For more details kindly visit www.imd.gov.in or contact : +91 11 24631913, 24643965, 24629798
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
Weather Warning during next 5 days *
04 June (Day 1): ♦ Thunderstorm with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) very likely at isolated places over East Rajasthan, West Madhya Pradesh and Telangana and with lightning at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Gujarat state, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Konkan & Goa, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, Coastal & North Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.
♦ Thunderstorm/Duststorm with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) very likely at isolated places over West Rajasthan.
♦ Heavy Rainfall at isolated places very likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Madhya Maharashtra, Konkan & Goa, Coastal Andhra Pradesh
& Yanam, Telangana, Rayalaseema, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.
♦ Strong Wind (speed 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) very likely over Southwest & Westcentral Arabian Sea and with wind speed 40-50 kmph over Lakshadweep area, Southeast Arabian Sea off Kerala coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.
05 June (Day 2): ♦ Thunderstorm with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) very likely at isolated places Rajasthan and with lightning at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Gujarat state, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Konkan & Goa, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana, Rayalaseema, Coastal & North Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.
♦ Heavy Rainfall at isolated places very likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Konkan & Goa, Coastal & North Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.
♦ Strong Wind (speed 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) very likely over Southwest & Westcentral Arabian Sea and with wind speed 40-50 kmph over Lakshadweep area, Southeast Arabian Sea off Kerala coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.
06 June (Day 3): ♦ Thunderstorm with lightning at isolated places likely over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Gujarat state, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala
& Mahe.
♦ Heavy Rainfall at isolated places likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura.
♦ Strong Wind (speed 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) likely over Southwest & Westcentral Arabian Sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.
07 June (Day 4):♦ Thunderstorm with lightning at isolated places likely over Uttarakhand, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal &
Sikkim, Odisha, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Gujarat state, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.
♦ Heavy Rainfall at isolated places likely over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Andaman & Nicobar Islands and Assam & Meghalaya.
♦ Strong Wind (speed 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) likely over Southwest & Westcentral Arabian Sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.
08 June (Day 5):♦ Thunderstorm with lightning at isolated places likely over Chhattisgarh, West Bengal & Sikkim, Odisha, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Gujarat state, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.
♦ Heavy Rainfall at isolated places likely over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Andaman & Nicobar Islands and Assam & Meghalaya.
♦ Strong Wind (speed 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) likely over Southwest & Westcentral Arabian Sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.
Kindly download MAUSAM APP for location specific forecast & warning, MEGHDOOT APP for Agromet advisory and DAMINI APP for Lightning Warning & visit state MC/RMC websites for district wise warning.
* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day For more details kindly visit www.imd.gov.in or contact : +91 11 24631913, 24643965, 24629798
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
Table-1
* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day For more details kindly visit www.imd.gov.in or contact : +91 11 24631913, 24643965, 24629798
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day For more details kindly visit www.imd.gov.in or contact : +91 11 24631913, 24643965, 24629798
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
ALL INDIA WEEKLY WEATHER REPORT 27 MAY – 02 JUNE, 2021
Go to:
Table-1(A) Table-1(B) Table-1(C) Table-2 Table-3 Fig-1Fig-2 Fig-3 Annexure-1
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FEATURES
Advance of Southwest Monsoon♦ In view of strengthening of southwesterly winds in the lower tropospheric levels, fairly widespread to widespread rainfall activity and persistent cloudiness over the area, Southwest Monsoon has advanced into some more parts of Maldives-Comorin area, Southwest &Eastcentral Bay of Bengal, most parts of Southeast Bay of Bengal and some parts of Westcentral Bay of Bengal on 27
thMay 2021.
♦ The northern limit of Southwest Monsoon passes through 5°N/72°E, 6°N/75°E, 8°N/80°E, 12°N/85°E, 14°N/90°E and 7°N/94°E on 27
thMay and remained the same till 2 June 2021. (Fig.1)
♦ Remnant of Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Yaas’ (pronounced as ‘Yass’): Last week’s remnant of Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Yaas’ (pronounced as ‘Yass’) over south Jharkhand moved northwardsto Bihar and then to east Uttar Pradesh. It moved initially as Deep Depression and then as Depressionduring 26- 27
thMay, 2021 and then as a low pressure area during 27
th- 29
thMay. This system has caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorms over West Bengal & Sikkim, Odisha, Jharkhand, Bihar and eastern parts of Uttar Pradesh during 1
sthalf of the week. It has also caused Heavy to very Heavy rainfall with extremely heavy falls at isolated places over Odisha for one day; over Jharkhand and Bihar for two days; over East Uttar Pradesh and Sub-Himalayan west Bengal & Sikkim for one day, Heavy to very Heavy rainfall at isolated places over West Bengal & Sikkim for one day.
♦ Due to strengthening of southerly winds, fairly widespread to widespread rainfall activity reported over Northeastern states during 31
stMay till 2
ndJune with Heavy to very Heavy rainfall with extremely heavy falls at isolated places occurred over these areas on 31
stMay and Heavy to very Heavy rainfall at isolated places on 1 June.
♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over eastcentral Arabian Sea off Karnataka coast at 3.1 km above mean sea level on 30
thMay and meandered, with a trough run to north Maharashtra till 2
ndJune and it caused scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/thunderstorm over Karnataka and Kerala &Mahe and isolated to scattered rainfall/thunderstorm over Maharashtra and other parts of south Peninsular India during the same period. It also caused heavy to very Heavy rainfall at isolated places over Kerala on 30 and 31 May over north Konkan, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka and Tamilnadu on 31 and 1 June and over Konkan and Rayalaseema on 2 June.
♦ Movement of an active Western Disturbances during has caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorms over Western Himalayan Region and isolated to scattered rain/thunderstorms with squall and gusty winds activities over adjoining plains of northwest India during 2
ndhalf of the week(peak during 31 May-1 June 2021).
Heavy Rain:
♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over Odisha for one day; over Jharkhand and Bihar for two days; over East Uttar Pradesh and Sub- Himalayan west Bengal & Sikkim for one day and over Assam and Meghalaya for one day.
♦ Heavy to Very heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred overWest Bengal & Sikkim for five days; over Kerala, north Konkan, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka and Tamilnaduand northeastern states for 2 to 3 days and over Rayalseema and Chhattisgarh for one day each.
Hail Storm:
♦ Hail Storm had occurred at isolated places over Jammu Kashmir and Uttarakhand on one day each during the week.
Government of India Ministry of Earth Sciences India Meteorological Department National Weather Forecasting Centre
Dust Storm and Squall:
♦ Squall had occurred at isolated places over Punjab and Delhi on one day during the week.
Heat Wave Conditions and Temperature Scenario:
♦ Heat Wave observed over many parts of northwest Rajasthan for 2 days on 29 and 30 May 2021.
♦ The highest maximum temperature of 47.3
oC had been recorded at Ganganagar (West Rajasthan) on 28
thMay 2021 over the plains of the country during the week.
LEGEND: A few days- 3 days, Many days- 4 to 5 days and Most days- 6 to 7 days during the week.
METEOROLOGICALANALYSIS
➢ Last week’s Deep Depression over south Jharkhand and neighborhood moved nearly northwards and lay centred at 0830 hrs IST of 27
thMay, 2021 over south Jharkhand and neighbourhood, near latitude 22.9°N and longitude 85.5°E, about 70km west-northwest of Jamshedpur and 65 km southeast of Ranchi (Jharkhand). It then weakened into a Depression and lay centred at 1130 hrs IST of the same day, the 27
thMay, 2021 over central parts of Jharkhand, near latitude 23.2°N and longitude 85.5°E, about and 20 km east of Ranchi (Jharkhand) and 95 km southwest of Jamshedpur; lay centered at 1730 hrs IST of same day over Jharkhand and adjoining Bihar near latitude 24.3°N and longitude 85.2°E and 100 km north of Ranchi (Jharkhand) and 150km south of Patna. It then further moved nearly northwards and further weakened into a Well Marked Low Pressure Area over the eastern parts of East Uttar Pradesh & adjoining Bihar on 28 May and the associated cyclonic circulation extended upto 7.6 km above mean sea level; weakened into a low pressure area over the same area on the same day evening. It became less marked on 29
thMay. However, the associated cyclonic circulation lay over East Uttar Pradesh &neighbourhoodextended upto 4.5 km above mean sea level on the same day and over southern parts of East Uttar Pradesh &neighbourhood on 30
thMay 2021.
Thereafter, under impact of stronger mid and upper level westerly as steering winds, it has shown east ward movement and was seen over Bihar &neighbourhood extended upto 3.1 km above mean sea level on 31 May; over northern parts of West Bengal &neighbourhood and extended upto 2.1 km above mean sea level with the trough aloft with its axis at 3.1 km above mean sea level roughly along longitude 90°E to the north of latitude 22°N on 1
stJune 2021; it become less marked on 2 June, but the trough aloft with its axis at 3.1 km above mean sea level was roughly seen along longitude 90°E to the north of latitude 22°Non 2 June and then became less marked on 3 June.
➢ A cyclonic circulation lay over Eastcentral Arabian Sea off Karnataka coast at 3.1 km above mean sea level on 29 and 30 May and between 3.1 km & 4.5 km above mean sea level during 31 May- 2 June. A trough seen from this cyclonic circulation over Eastcentral Arabian Sea
&neighbourhood to north Madhya Maharashtra between 3.1 km & 4.5 km above mean sea level on 1 June and to north Konkan at same levels on 2 June.
➢ A cyclonic circulation lay over Tamil Nadu & neighbourhood between 5.8 & 7.6 km above mean sea level on 30 May and lay over Interior Tamil Nadu at 3.1 km above mean on 31 May and 1 June and became less marked thereafter.
➢ A trough at mean sea level lay off Karnataka-Kerala coasts on 2 June
➢ A cyclonic circulation lay over Equatorial Indian Ocean & adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal between 3.1 km & 4.5 km above mean sea level on 2 June
➢ A trough seen from the above cyclonic circulation over Equatorial Indian Ocean & adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal to Comorin area between 3.1 km & 4.5 km above mean sea level on 2 June
➢ Last week’s Western Disturbance as trough in mid-tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level was seen roughly along longitude 78°E to the north of latitude 28°N on 27 May and became less marked thereafter.
➢ A fresh Western Disturbance lies as a cyclonic circulation over West Afghanistan and
neighbourhood between 1.5 km & 3.1 on 27 May and over north Pakistan &neighbourhood
between 2.1 km & 3.1 km above mean sea level with a trough aloft in mid & upper tropospheric
westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along longitude 66°E to the north
of latitude 28°N km above mean sea level on 29 May; along longitude 70°E to the north of latitude 28°N on 30 May and along longitude 76°E to the north of latitude 28°N on 31 May 2021, along longitude 76°E to the north of latitude 30°N on 1
stJune and along longitude 76°E to the north of latitude 30°N and along longitude 80°E to the north of latitude 25°N on 2 June.
➢ A cyclonic circulation lay over northwest Rajasthan &neighbourhood and extends upto 0.9 km above mean sea level on 28 May and lay over Punjab &neighbourhood and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 29 and 30 May and became less marked on 31 May. A trough seen from this cyclonic circulation over northwest Rajasthan &neighbourhood to northeast Madhya Pradesh on 28 May across northeast Rajasthan at 0.9 km above mean sea level and from the above cyclonic circulation over Punjab &neighbourhood to northeast Rajasthan at 0.9 km above mean sea level on 29 May and upto northwest Madhya Pradesh extended upto 0.9 km above mean sea leve on 30 May and became less marked on 31 May.
➢ A Cyclonic Circulation lay over Central Pakistan &neighbourhood and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 1 and 2 June.
➢ Last week’s cyclonic circulation over central Pakistan & adjoining West Rajasthan extending upto at 1.5 km above mean sea level has become less marked on 27 May.
➢ Last week’s cyclonic circulation over Himachal Pradesh &neighbourhood has become less marked on 27 May.
➢
Last week’s east-west shear zone from westcentral Arabian Sea to South Interior Karnataka between 3.1 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along Latitude 13°N has become less marked on 27 May.
RAINFALL SUMMARY
Category of the rainfall
WEEK SEASON
27.05.2021 TO 02.06.2021 01.03.2021 TO 31.05.2021 Number of Sub-divisions Number of Sub-divisions
LARGE EXCESS (+60% or more) 17 17
EXCESS (+20% to +59%) 3 9
NORMAL (+19% to -19%) 6 6
DEFICIENT (-20% to -59%) 6 4
LARGE DEFICIENT (-60% to -99%) 3 0
NO RAIN (-100%) 1 0
Cumulative rainfall (mm) Actual Normal % Departure Actual Normal % Departure EAST & NORTH-EAST INDIA 105.5 53.4 98% 344.4 376.8 -9%
NORTH-WEST INDIA 15.3 7.1 +116% 125.3 114.4 +9%
CENTRAL INDIA 15.9 7.4 +115% 85.2 37.5 +127%
SOUTH PENINSULA 16.9 20.7 -18% 168.7 121.3 +39%
country as a whole 30.2 17.3 +75% 155.2 131.7 +18%
• Sub-division wise weekly and seasonal rainfall distribution is presented in Fig-2 and Fig-3.
• Sub-divisionwise daily distribution of realised Rainfall is shown in Table-1(A).
• Sub-divisionwise departure of realised Maximum temperature from Normal is shown in Table-1(C)
• Statewise distribution of number of districts with Large-Excesse, Excess, Normal, Deficient, Large-deficient and no rainfall is shown in Table-2.
• Cumulative seasonal rainfall data during the corresponding weekly period for the last five years are given in Table-3.
• Sub-divisionwise realised weekly rainfall (in cm) is shown in Annexure-1.
FORECAST & WARNING FOR THE NEXT WEEK 03 June TO 09 June, 2021
➢ Detailed seven days Sub-division wise rainfall-forecast & weather-warning is given in Table-1(B).
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Fig-1
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Table-1 (A)
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE DISTRIBUTION OF REALISED RAINFALL-2021
S.No. MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 27 MAY 28 MAY 29 MAY 30 MAY 31 MAY 01 JUN 02 JUN
1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS WS WS FWS FWS FWS SCT ISOL
2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH WS SCT SCT FWS FWS WS WS
3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA FWS SCT ISOL SCT WS WS FWS
4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA ISOL SCT SCT ISOL SCT WS WS
5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM WS WS WS SCT FWS FWS WS
6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL WS FWS ISOL SCT WS SCT WS
7 ODISHA FWS SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT
8 JHARKHAND WS WS SCT FWS FWS ISOL WS
9 BIHAR WS WS WS FWS SCT ISOL WS
10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL WS FWS SCT ISOL ISOL SCT
11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH D D ISOL ISOL ISOL FWS ISOL
12 UTTARAKHAND D D ISOL WS SCT WS ISOL
13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI D D D SCT ISOL WS ISOL
14 PUNJAB D D D SCT ISOL WS ISOL
15 HIMACHAL PRADESH D D ISOL FWS ISOL WS ISOL
16 JAMMU & KASHMIRANDLADAKH ISOL D D SCT ISOL SCT FWS
17 WEST RAJASTHAN ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
18 EAST RAJASTHAN ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT ISOL ISOL
20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH D ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT
21 GUJARAT REGION D ISOL D D D D ISOL
22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH D D D D D D D
23 KONKAN & GOA ISOL SCT SCT SCT FWS FWS FWS
24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA ISOL ISOL ISOL FWS SCT ISOL SCT
25 MARATHAWADA D ISOL ISOL FWS D FWS FWS
26 VIDARBHA ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT SCT SCT
27 CHHATTISGARH ISOL ISOL D ISOL ISOL SCT FWS
28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM ISOL D ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT ISOL
29 TELANGANA ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT D SCT FWS
30 RAYALASEEMA SCT D D ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
32 COASTAL KARNATAKA FWS SCT FWS WS WS WS WS
33 NORTH INT.KARNATAKA ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT
34 SOUTH INT.KARNATAKA ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
35 KERALA & MAHE WS FWS FWS FWS SCT WS FWS
36 LAKSHADWEEP FWS FWS WS D WS FWS SCT
LEGENDS:
WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO STATION REPORTED RAINFALL
* ACTIVE (R/F 11/2- 4 times the normal with WS/FWS, at least 2 stations should be 5 cm. along west coast & 3 cm. elsewhere )
** VIGOROUS (R/F More than 4 times the normal with WS/FWS, at least 2 stations should be 8 cm. along west coast & 5 cm. elsewhere)
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Table-1 (B)
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST & Wx. WARNINGS-2021
Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 03 JUN 04 JUN 05 JUN 06 JUN 07 JUN 08 JUN 09 JUN
1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS ISOL SCT SCT FWS L WS L● WS WS
2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH FWS FWS● WS L● WS L● WS FWS SCT
3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA FWS● WS● WS L● WS L● WS● WS FWS
4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA FWS FWS WS L● WS L● WS SCT WS
5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM SCT L SCT SCT FWS WS L● WS SCT
6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL L● ISOL ISOL
7 ODISHA SCT L● SCT L ISOL ISOL SCT L ISOL SCT
8 JHARKHAND ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT
9 BIHAR ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL FWS
10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL L D D D ISOL ISOL FWS
11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL L D D ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL
12 UTTARAKHAND SCT L SCT L ISOL ISOL ISOL L ISOL ISOL
13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI ISOL L ISOL ISOL D D D D
14 PUNJAB SCT L ISOL ISOL ISOL D D D
15 HIMACHAL PRADESH SCT L SCT L ISOL ISOL D D D
16 JAMMU & KASHMIRANDLADAKH SCT L ISOL L ISOL ISOL D D D
17 WEST RAJASTSAN ISOL TD ISOL TD ISOL L ISOL D D D
18 EAST RAJASTSAN ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL D D D
19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH SCT L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL D 20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L D ISOL
21 GUJARAT REGION ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L SCT L ISOL L D ISOL
22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH D ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L D SCT
23 KONKAN & GOA WS L● WS L● WS L● FWS FWS SCT FWS
24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA FWS L● WS L● FWS SCT SCT ISOL ISOL
25 MARATHAWADA SCT L SCT L SCT L ISOL ISOL D D
26 VIDARBHA SCT L SCT L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL D
27 CHHATTISGARH SCT L SCT L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL SCT
28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM FWS L● FWS L● SCT L● SCT ISOL SCT FWS
29 TELANGANA FWS L● FWS L● ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL
30 RAYALASEEMA FWS L● FWS L● FWS L SCT ISOL FWS SCT
31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL SCT L● FWS L● SCT L● ISOL L ISOL L FWS SCT
32 COASTAL KARNATAKA WS L● WS L● WS L● FWS FWS FWS WS
33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA FWS L● FWS L SCT L● ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT
34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA WS● WS● FWS SCT SCT FWS WS
35 KERALA & MAHE WS L● WS L● WS L● FWS L FWS L WS WS
36 LAKSHADWEEP WS WS WS FWS FWS FWS WS
LEGENDS:
WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%)
SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL
●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)
F Fog * Snowfall DDuststorm $Thunderstorm with Squall/Gust L Thunderstorm with Lightning #Thunderstorm with Hail
Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 OC to -6.4OC) - -Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5OC)
Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5 OC to +6.4OC) + Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5OC)
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Table-1 (C)
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE REALISED MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE-2021
S.No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 27 MAY 28 MAY 29 MAY 30 MAY 31 MAY 01 JUN 02 JUN
1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS N N ABN N AN N N
2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH AN N N N ABN N N
3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AN AAN N AN ABN BN N
4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA N N AN AN N N N
5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM MBN N N N BN BN N
6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL N N BN N MBN N N
7 ODISHA MBN N N N N N N
8 JHARKHAND MBN MBN N ABN N BN N
9 BIHAR MBN MBN MBN ABN ABN ABN N
10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH MBN MBN MBN ABN N MBN N
11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH N N ABN BN N MBN N
12 UTTARAKHAND N BN N BN N ABN N
13 HARYANA, CHD. & DELHI N N BN N N MBN MBN
14 PUNJAB AN N N BN N MBN ABN
15 HIMACHAL PRADESH AN N N N N MBN N
16 JAMMU & KASHMIRANDLADAKH N N AAN AN N N N
17 WEST RAJASTHAN AN N N AN N N ABN
18 EAST RAJASTHAN N N N BN N ABN MBN
19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH BN N N BN N N N
20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH N N N N N ABN N
21 GUJARAT REGION N N N N N N N
22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH N N N N N N N
23 KONKAN & GOA N N N N N N N
24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA BN N N BN N N N
25 MARATHAWADA BN BN BN ABN BN BN ABN
26 VIDARBHA N N N N BN MBN N
27 CHHATTISGARH BN N N N N ABN MBN
28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM N N N N N N N
29 TELANGANA N N N BN N N N
30 RAYALASEEMA BN N N N N N N
31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL N N N N N N AN
32 COASTAL KARNATAKA N N N N N N N
33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA BN N BN ABN BN BN N
34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA N BN N N N N N
35 KERALA & MAHE N N N N N N AN
36 LAKSHADWEEP N N N N N N N
Highest Maximum Temperature (°C) 45.5 47.3 46.3 45.5 44.0 43.4 42.4
Station(/s) observed HMT Bikaner Ganganagar Ganganagar Churu Bikaner Agra Raisen
Station(/s) lies in Met-Subdivision(/s) W RAJ W RAJ W RAJ W RAJ W RAJ W UP W MP
Lowest Minimum Temperature (°C) 19.0 19.5 20.3 19.5 19.0 17.9 17.8
Station/(s) observed LMT Seoni Chhapra Fatehpur Chhapra Medak Safdarjung Sikar
Station/(s) lies in Met-Subdivision/(s) E MP Bihar W UP Bihar Telangana N Delhi E RAJ
LEGENDS:
BN - BELOW NORMAL (N-2)OC AN - ABOVE NORMAL (N+2)OC
N - NORMAL (N+1,N-1)OC ABN - APPRECIABLY BELOW NORMAL (N-3.1 to -4.9)OC AAN - APPRECIABLY ABOVE NORMAL (N+3.1 to +4.9)OC MBN - MARKEDLY BELOW NORMAL (N-5 AND BELOW )OC MAN - MARKEDLY ABOVE NORMAL (N+5 AND ABOVE)OC
+Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5 OC to +6.4OC) -Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 OC to -6.4OC)
++ Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5OC) - -Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5OC)
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Table-2
STATEWISE DISTRIBUTION OF NO. OF DISTRICTS WITH EXCESS, NORMAL,DEFICIENT,SCANTY AND NO RAINFALL
S. STATES PERIOD FROM : 01.03.2021 TO 31.05.2021
NO. LE E N D LD NR ND TOTAL
1 A & N ISLAND (UT) 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3
2. ARUNACHAL PRADESH 0 0 6 8 2 0 0 16
3. ASSAM 0 0 1 21 2 0 3 27
4. MEGHALAYA 1 0 2 4 0 0 0 7
5. NAGALAND 0 0 1 8 2 0 0 11
6. MANIPUR 1 1 0 6 1 0 0 9
7. MIZORAM 0 0 0 1 7 0 0 8
8. TRIPURA 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 4
9. SIKKIM 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 4
10. WEST BENGAL 6 7 3 3 0 0 0 19
11. ODISHA 11 7 8 3 1 0 0 30
12. JHARKHAND 19 3 2 0 0 0 0 24
13. BIHAR 38 0 0 0 0 0 0 38
14. UTTAR PRADESH 61 9 4 1 0 0 0 75
15. UTTARAKHAND 6 7 0 0 0 0 0 13
16. HARYANA 8 3 5 5 0 0 0 21
17. CHANDIGARH (UT) 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
18. DELHI 4 1 2 0 1 1 0 9
19. PUNJAB 1 3 9 7 0 0 0 20
20. HIMACHAL PRADESH 0 5 4 3 0 0 0 12
21. JAMMU & KASHMIR(UT) 0 4 7 6 3 0 0 20
22. LADAKH(UT) 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2
23. RAJASTHAN 26 2 4 1 0 0 0 33
24. MADHYA PRADESH 45 2 2 2 0 0 0 51
25. GUJARAT 30 0 2 0 1 0 0 33
26. DADRA & NAGAR HAVELI (UT) 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
27. DAMAN & DIU (UT) 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
28. GOA 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
29. MAHARASHTRA 24 5 1 3 2 1 0 36
30. CHHATISGARH 19 6 2 0 0 0 0 27
31. ANDHRA PRADESH 1 3 8 1 0 0 0 13
32. TELANGANA 3 9 9 10 2 0 0 33
33. TAMILNADU 3 5 13 16 0 0 0 37
34. PUDUCHERRY (UT) 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 4
35. KARNATAKA 11 9 6 4 0 0 0 30
36. KERALA 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 14
37. LAKSHADWEEP (UT) 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
TOTAL 340 94 105 120 26 2 3 690
CATEGORYWISE DISTRIBUTION
OF DISTRICTS OUT OF THE 50% 14% 15% 17% 4% 0%
687 WHOSE DATA RECEIVED
PERCENT DISTRIBUTION OF DISTRICTS IN EARLIER YEARS SINCE 1st MARCH
DATE LE E N D LD NR
31.05.2020 8% 10% 20% 30% 26% 6%
31.05.2019 13% 11% 21% 25% 21% 9%
31.05.2018 9% 15% 25% 25% 20% 9%
31.05.2017 9% 15% 25% 25% 20% 6%
31.05.2016 0% 35% 24% 24% 14% 3%
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Table-3
RAINFALL DURING PRE-MONSOON SEASON
S.
No.
Meteorological Sub-Divisions
For the period from 1
stMarch to 31 MAY
2016
31 MAY 2017
31 MAY 2018
31 MAY 2019
31 MAY 2020
31 MAY 2021 1. Andaman &
Nicobar Islands A N D
199 465 -57
417 465 -10
484 465 +4
282 465 -39
266 467 -43
603 467 +29 2. Arunachal
Pradesh
A N D
693 750 -8
825 750 +10
508 750 -32
549 750 -27
599 773 -22
562 773 -27 3 Assam &
Meghalaya
A N D
712 590 +21
689 590 +17
452 590 -23
590 590 +0
663 588 +13
409 588 -30 4. Nagaland,
Manipur, Mizo.
& Tripura
A N D
477 494 -3
589 494 +19
462 494 -7
283 494 -43
287 483 -41
218 483 -55 5.
Sub-Himalayan West Bengal &
Sikkim
A N D
434 457 -5
418 457 -9
467 457 +2
431 457 -6
506 443 +14
480 443 +8 6. Gangetic West
Bengal
A N D
133 165 -19
164 165 +0
165 165 +0
227 165 +38
358 186 +93
286 186 +54
7. Odisha A
N D
98 135
-27
94 135
-31
163 135 +21
149 135 +10
265 128 +107
189 128 +47 8. Jharkhand
A N D
84 79 +6
63 79 -20
83 79 +5
106 79 +33
219 83 +162
237 83 +184 9. Bihar
A N D
85 77 +10
125 77 +61
58 77 -25
70 77 -10
183 82 +123
267 82 +227 10. East Uttar
Pradesh
A N D
48 32 +50
32 32 +1
34 32 +7
10 32 -69
98 32 +201
115 32 +256 11. West Uttar
Pradesh
A N D
39 29 +34
23 29 -20
26 29 -9
18 29 -40
89 30 +196
67 30 +124 12. Uttarakhand
A N D
154 156 -1
206 156 +32
136 156 -13
101 156 -35
238 155 +54
245 155 +57 13. Haryana,
Chandigarh &
Delhi
A N D
48 34 +40
22 34 -36
22 34 -36
37 34 +7
118 39 +201
55 39 +39 14. Punjab
A N D
60 53 +13
39 53 -27
25 53 -53
55 53 +3
132 55 +139
51
55
-7
5