Thursday 14 July 2022 - Time of Issue: 2000 hours IST

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NIGHT Time of Issue: 2000 hours IST ALL INDIA WEATHER SUMMARY AND FORECAST BULLETIN

Significant Weather Features

♦ A Low Pressure Area lies over north Odisha & neighbourhood with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto upper tropospheric levels tilting southwestwards with height.

♦ A Cyclonic Circulation lies over northeast Arabian Sea & adjoining coastal areas of Gujarat and extends upto middle tropospheric level.

Under it's influence a Low Pressure Area is likely to form over coastal Gujarat & neighbourhood during next 24 hours. It is likely to move nearly westwards and become more marked subsequently.

♦ The monsoon trough is active and south of its normal position. It is likely to shift gradually northwards from 17th July, 2022.

♦ An east-west shear zone runs roughly along 19°N in lower & middle tropospheric levels across North Peninsular India.

♦ Under the influence above systems;

i) Fairly widespread/widespread light/moderate rainfall & thunderstorm/lightning with isolated heavy rainfall very likely over Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha, Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, Maharashtra, Gujarat State, Kerala & Mahe, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana and Karnataka during next 3-4 days and reduce thereafter.

a) Isolated very heavy rainfall very likely over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Telangana & Tamil Nadu, Coastal Karnataka &

Kerala & Mahe on 14th; South Interior Karnataka on 14th & 15th; Odisha during 14th-16th; Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra &

Gujarat region on 15th; Saurashtra & Kutch on 16th July, 2022.

b) Isolated heavy to very rainfall with extremely heavy falls very likely over Saurashtra & Kutch on 14th & 15th and over Gujarat region, ghat areas of Madhya Maharashtra and Konkan & Goa on 14th July, 2022.

ii) Isolated/scattered light/moderate rainfall activity very likely over Rayalaseema and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal during next 5 days.

a) Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall also likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal on 14th July, 2022.

iii) Scattered to fairly widespread light/moderate rainfall with isolated thunderstorm/lightning very likely over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh & Uttarakhand during next 5 days and over Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh & Rajasthan during next 3 days with reduction thereafter.

a) Isolated heavy rainfall very likely over West Rajasthan, Punjab & Haryana on 14th; Himachal Pradesh on 14th & 15th, Uttarakhand on 14th, 15th; 17th & 18th; Uttar Pradesh on 18th and over East Rajasthan during 14th-16th July, 2022. Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall also likely over East Rajasthan and Jammu & Kashmir on 14th July, 2022.

Main Weather Observations

* Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action".

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Rajasthan, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and Karnataka; at many places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Uttarakhand, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal and Odisha; at a few places over Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, East Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, Rayalaseema, Telangana, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Lakshadweep and Kerala & Mahe; at isolated places over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam.

♦ Heavy rainfall observed (from 0830 hours IST to 1730 hours IST of today): Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places occurred over Konkan & Goa and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Gujarat Region, West Rajasthan and Jammu.

♦ Chief amount of Rainfall observed (from 0830 hours IST to 1730 hours IST of today):(4 cm or more): Matheran-14; Ganganagar and Jammu-9 each; Surat-7; Dharmshala and Nagpur-Sonegaon-6 each; Alibagh, Pendra Road and Valprai-5 each; Sundernagar, Dahanu and Churu-4 each.

♦Thunderstorm observed (from 0830 hours IST to 1730 hours IST of today): at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Punjab, Bihar, Uttarakhand, Vidarbha, Saurashtra & Kutch, West Bengal & Sikkim, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura and Odisha.

♦ Minimum Temperature Departures (as on 14-07-2022): Minimum temperatures are appreciably above normal (3.1°C to 5.1°C) at many places over West Uttar Pradesh; at a few places over East Uttar Pradesh, East Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal

& Sikkim and at isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya; above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at most places over Punjab; at many places over Uttrakhand, West Rajasthan, Andaman & Nicobar Islands; at a few places over Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and at isolated places over West Madhya Pradesh. They are appreciably below normal (-3.1°C to -5.1°C) at many places over Telangana; below normal (- 1.6°C to -3.0°C) at many places over Marathwada; at a few places over Gujarat State, Konkan & Goa and at isolated places over Vidarbha, Madhya Maharashtra, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and near normal over rest parts of the country. Today, the lowest minimum temperature of 17.0° is reported at Khargone (West Madhya Pradesh) over the plains of the country.

♦ Maximum Temperature Departures (as on 14-07-2022): Maximum temperatures are markedly above normal (5.1°C or more) at most places over Assam & Meghalaya; at many places over East Uttar Pradesh; appreciably above normal (3.1°C to 5.0°C) at most places over Bihar and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim; at many places over Uttarakhand, West Uttar Pradesh and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura; above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at a few places over Madhya Pradesh and at isolated [places over Gangetic West Bengal. They are markedly below normal (-5.1°C or less) at most places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan &

Muzaffarabad; at many places over Vidarbha and Telangana; appreciably below normal (-3.1°C to -5.0°C) at most places over Marathwada, Madhya Maharashtra and North Interior Karnataka, at many places over Gujarat Region and Chhattisgarh; at a few places over West Rajasthan, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Odisha, Saurashtra & Kutch and Rayalaseema and below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at most places over Punjab and South Interior Karnataka; at many places over Coastal Karnataka and Konkan & Goa and at a few places over Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and near normal over rest parts of the country.

Today, the highest maximum temperature of 41.4°C is reported at Banda (East Uttar Pradesh).

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♦ The Low Pressure Area over north Odisha & neighbourhood with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 7.6 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height persists.

♦ A Cyclonic Circulation lies over northeast Arabian Sea & adjoining coastal areas of Gujarat and extends upto 5.8 km above mean sea level. Under it's influence a Low Pressure Area is likely to form over coastal Gujarat & neighbourhood during next 24 hours. It is likely to move nearly westwards and become more marked subsequently.

♦ The monsoon trough continues to now passes through Jaisalmer, Kota, Guna, Sagar, Pendra road, center of Low Pressure Area over north Odisha & neighborhood and thence southeastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal and extends upto 1.5 km above mean sea level.

♦ The east-west shear zone roughly along 19°N between 3.1 km & 7.6 km above mean sea level across North Peninsular India persists.

♦The Western Disturbance as a cyclonic circulation over Afghanistan & adjoining north Pakistan at 3.1 km above mean sea level with a trough aloft in middle & upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along Long.65°E & to the north of Lat.28°N persists.

Weather Forecast for next 5 days * upto 0830 hours IST of 19th July, 2022

♦ Meteorological sub-division wise detailed 5 days precipitation forecast is given in Table-1.

♦ No significant change in maximum temperatures very likely over rest parts of the country during next 5 days.

Weather Outlook for subsequent 2 days During 19th July-21st July, 2022

♦ Widespread rainfall activity with isolated heavy falls likely along the West coast and over parts of Central & adjoining East India.

♦ Due to northward shifting of Monsoon Trough fairly widespread/widespread rainfall activity with isolated heavy falls very likely over Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh and Bihar.

♦ Scattered rainfall activity likely over remaining parts of the country except Rayalaseema and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam where isolated activity is likely.

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Saurashtra & Kutch, Madhya Maharashtra and Konkan & Goa; heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, East Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Telangana, Coastal Karnataka, South Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, Uttrakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, West Rajasthan, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Marathwada and North Interior Karnataka.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning, Gusty winds & Squall (speed reaching 50-60 kmph) very likely at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands; with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) at isolated places over Gangetic West Bengal and with lightning at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh, Uttrakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Rajasthan, West Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal.

♦ Squally weather with wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph very likely over northeast Arabian Sea and along & off Gujarat, Maharashtra, Karnataka & Kerala coasts. Strong winds with speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely over westcentral and adjoining southwest Arabian Sea. Strong winds with speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph very likely over eastcentral and adjoining south Arabian Sea. Squally weather with wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph very likely over northwest Bay of Bengal along & off Gangetic West Bengal and Odisha coasts and Andaman Sea. Strong winds with speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph likely over westcentral & adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.

15 July (Day 2): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy falls at isolated places very likely over Saurashtra &

Kutch; heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over Odisha, Madhya Maharashtra, Gujarat Region, Konkan & Goa and South Interior Karnataka and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, Uttrakhand, East Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Telangana, Coastal Karnataka, North Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning, Gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph) very likely at isolated places over Andaman

& Nicobar Islands; with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) at isolated places over Gangetic West Bengal and with lightning at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal.

♦ Squally weather with wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph very likely over northeast Arabian Sea and along & off Gujarat, Maharashtra, Karnataka & Kerala coasts. Strong winds with speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely over westcentral and adjoining southwest Arabian Sea. Strong winds with speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph very likely over eastcentral and adjoining south Arabian Sea. Squally weather with wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph very likely over northwest Bay of Bengal along & off Gangetic West Bengal and Odisha coasts and Andaman Sea. Strong winds with speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph likely over westcentral & adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.

16 July (Day 3): ♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over Odisha and Saurashtra & Kutch and heavy rainfall at isolated places over East Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Gujarat Region, Madhya Maharashtra, Konkan & Goa, Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning & Gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) likely at isolated places over Andaman &

Nicobar Islands and with lightning at isolated places over Bihar, Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal.

♦ Squally weather with winds speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph very likely over northeast Arabian Sea and along & off Gujarat coast. Strong winds with speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely over westcentral and adjoining southwest Arabian Sea. Strong winds with speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph very likely over Eastcentral Arabian Sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.

17 July (Day 4): ♦ Heavy rainfall at isolated places likely over Uttrakhand, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Madhya Maharashtra, Konkan & Goa, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning likely at isolated places over East Rajasthan and Bihar.

♦ Squally weather with winds speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely over northeast Arabian Sea along & off Gujarat & south Pakistan coasts. Strong winds with speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely over westcentral and adjoining southwest Arabian Sea. Strong winds with speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely over. Strong winds with speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph very likely over eastcentral Arabian Sea. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas.

18 July (Day 5): ♦ Heavy rainfall at isolated places likely over Uttrakhand, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Odisha, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Konkan & Goa and Coastal Karnataka.

♦ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning likely at isolated places over East Rajasthan and Bihar.

♦ Squally weather with winds speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely over over northwest & adjoining northeast Arabian Sea and Gulf of Oman. Strong winds with speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely over westcentral and adjoining southwest Arabian Sea. Strong winds with speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely over northwest &

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ALL INDIA WEEKLY WEATHER REPORT 07 JULY – 13 JULY, 2022

Go to: Table-1(A) Table-1(B) Table-1(C) Table-2 Table-3 Fig-1 Fig-2 Fig-3 Fig-4 Annexure-1

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FEATURES

♦ Under the influence of a cyclonic circulation over Northwest & adjoining Westcentral Bay of Bengal off south Odisha-north Andhra Pradesh Coasts extending up to upper tropospheric levels, a Low Pressure Area has formed over Odisha & neighbourhood on 9^th July 2022; it lay over coastal areas of south Odisha and north Coastal Andhra Pradesh and neighbourhood on 10^th and over Northwest Bay of Bengal off Odisha coast on 11^th; it has become a Well Marked Low Pressure Area over south Coastal Odisha & neighbourhood on 12^th and it remained over the same areas with the same intensity towards the end of the week; under the influence of this Low pressure system along with its associated cyclonic circulation extending upto upper tropospheric levels tilting southwestwards with height, an active monsoon trough and a shear zone in the lower/middle tropospheric levels passing across the region have caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Odisha, Chhattisgarh Telangana and Coastal Andhra Pradesh throughout the week; under their influence, heavy to very heavy rainfall had occurred over Telangana throughout the week, over Chhattisgarh on four to five days and over Odisha on three to four days whereas heavy rainfall had occurred over Coastal Andhra Pradesh on four to five days; isolated extremely heavy rainfall also had occurred over Telangana on three to four days and over Chhattisgarh and Coastal Andhra Pradesh on one or two days along with.

♦ A Low Pressure Area lay over Northeast Arabian Sea and adjoining coastal areas of Kutch and south Pakistan towards the end of last week; it has become a Well Marked Low Pressure Area and lay over south Pakistan & neighbourhood in the beginning of the week; it maintained that intensity for about twenty four hours and has weakened into a Low Pressure Area over south Pakistan and adjoining Kutch in the early morning hours of 8^th; the Low pressure has become less marked within a few hours; however, its remnant cyclonic circulation lay over southwest Rajasthan & neighbourhood in the lower tropospheric levels during the remaining period of that day before getting less marked on 9^th July 2022; this system along with an off shore trough from Gujarat coast to Karnataka coast which persisted for about five days, an active monsoon trough aligned to the south of its normal position and convergence of strong monsoon westerlies towards the coast had caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Gujarat State throughout the week; alignment of the monsoon trough to the south of its normal position supported by moisture incursion over to the area had caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall activity over West Madhya Pradesh and scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over East Madhya Pradesh and East Rajasthan throughout the week; heavy to very heavy rainfall had been reported from parts of Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh on most of the days whereas heavy rainfall had occurred over East Rajasthan on a few days; extremely heavy rainfall activity also had been reported from Gujarat Region on four to five days, over Madhya Pradesh and Saurashtra & Kutch on two to three days whereas very heavy rainfall had been reported over East Rajasthan on one or two days along with.

♦ Under the influence of an offshore trough from Gujarat coast to Karnataka coast, an east-west shear zone in the lower/mid tropospheric levels aligned across northern parts of Peninsular India with southward tilt and convergence of strong monsoon westerlies along the coast had caused fairly widespread to widespread rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Maharashtra, Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep Islands and isolated to scattered rainfall/thunderstorm activity over Tamil Nadu and Rayalaseema throughout the week;

under their influence, heavy to very heavy rainfall had occurred over Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Coastal and South Interior Karnataka throughout the week whereas heavy/very heavy rainfall had occurred over Kerala and Mahe and Tamil Nadu on most of the days and over North Interior Karnataka on two to three days; extremely heavy rainfall also had been reported from Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and Coastal Karnataka on two to three days and over Marathwada on a single day during the week.

Heavy rain:

♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over Gujarat Region on five days; over Saurashtra & Kutch, Konkan & Goa, Telangana and Coastal Karnataka on three days each; over East & West Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh on two days each; over Himachal Pradesh, Marathwada and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam on one day each

Government of India Ministry of Earth Sciences India Meteorological Department National Weather Forecasting Centre

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during the week.

♦ Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over South Interior Karnataka on seven days;

over Madhya Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikkal on five days each; over West Madhya Pradesh, Konkan & Goa, Telangana, Coastal Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe on four days each; over Odisha, East Madhya Pradesh, Saurashtra & Kutch, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh on three days each; over Assam &

Meghalaya, Uttarakhand, East Rajasthan, Gujarat Region and Marathawada on two days each; over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, East & West Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Punjab and North Interior Karnataka on one day each during the week.

♦ Heavy rainfall at isolated places had occurred over Himachal Pradesh on six days; over Assam &

Meghalaya and Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam on five days each; over Uttarakhand, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and East Rajasthan on four days each; over Odisha, West Uttar Pradesh, West Rajasthan, North Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe on three days each; over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Sub Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Punjab, Vidarbha and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry &

Karaikal on two days each; over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Arunachal Pradesh, East & West Madhya Pradesh, Saurashtra & Kutch, Marathwada and Chhattisgarh on one day each during the week.

Temperature Scenario:

♦The highest maximum temperature of 41.8^oC had been recorded at Ganganagar (West Rajasthan) on 8^th July 2022 and the lowest minimum temperature of 16.8^oC had been recorded at Khargone (West Madhya Pradesh) on 11^th July 2022 over the plains of the country during the week.

LEGEND: Few days-(3 days), Many days-4 to 5 days and Most days-6 to 7 days during the week.

METEOROLOGICALANALYSIS

♦ Last week’s Low Pressure Area over Northeast Arabian Sea and adjoining coastal areas of Kutch and south Pakistan lay as a Well Marked Low Pressure Area over south Pakistan & neighbourhood with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height on 7^th July 2022; it has weakened into a Low Pressure Area over the south Pakistan and adjoining Kutch with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height in the early morning hours of 8^th; the Low Pressure Area has become less marked; however, its associated cyclonic circulation lay over southwest Rajasthan & neighbourhood and extended upto 2.1 km above mean sea level in the morning of 8^th; it has become less marked on 9^th July 2022.

♦ The monsoon trough passed through the centre of Well Marked Low Pressure Area over south Pakistan &

neighbourhood, Ahmadabad, Guna, Jabalpur, Pendra Road, Jharsuguda, Gopalpur, the cyclonic circulation over Northwest & adjoining Westcentral Bay of Bengal and thence east-southeastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 7^th July 2022; it passed through Jaisalmer, Kota, Jabalpur, Pendra Road, Kalingapatnam, the cyclonic circulation over Northwest & adjoining Westcentral Bay of Bengal and thence east-southeastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 8^th; it passed through Anupgarh, Sikar, Gwalior, Satna, Pendra Road, centre of Low Pressure Area over Odisha & neighbourhood and thence southeastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 9^th; it passed through Bikaner, Sikar, Shivpuri, Satna, Jharsuguda, centre of Low Pressure Area over coastal areas of south Odisha-north Andhra Pradesh &

neighbourhood and thence southeastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 10^th; it passed through Jaisalmer, Kota, Guna, Damoh, Pendra Road, Balangir, centre of Low Pressure Area over Northwest Bay of Bengal off Odisha coast and thence southeastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 11^th; it passed through Jaisalmer, Kota, Raisen, Mandla, Raipur, Jharsiguda,center of Well Marked Low Pressure Area over south coastal Odisha & neighborhood and thence southeastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 12^th; it passed through Bikaner, Kota, Raisen, Malanjkhand, Raipur, center of Well Marked Low Pressure Area over south coastal Odisha & neighborhood and thence southeastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal and extended upto 1.5 km above mean sea level on 13^th July 2022.

♦ Last week’s off-shore trough at mean sea level from Gujarat coast to Karnataka coast ran from south Maharashtra coast to north Kerala coast on 7^th July 2022; it ran from Gujarat coast to Karnataka Coast on 8^th and 9^th; it ran from Gujarat coast to north Kerala coast on 10^th and from Gujarat coast to Karnataka coast on 11^th; it has become less marked on 12^th July 2022.

♦ Last week’s east-west shear zone across North Peninsular India ran roughly along Lat.19°N at 3.1 km above mean sea level on 7^th July 2022; it continued to be aligned roughly along 19°N between 3.1 km & 5.8 km above mean sea level, tilting southwards with height on 8^th; it ran roughly along Lat. 20°N between 3.1 km

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& 5.8 km above mean sea level, tilting southwards with height on 9^th and persisted like that on 10^th and 11^th; It ran roughly along 20°N between 3.1 km & 7.6 km above mean sea level tilting southwards with height on 12^th and 13^th July 2022.

♦ Last week’s cyclonic circulation over north Odisha & adjoining Chhattisgarh extending upto 1.5 km above mean sea level has become less marked on 7^th July 2022.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over Northwest & adjoining Westcentral Bay of Bengal off south Odisha-north Andhra Pradesh Coasts and extended upto 7.6 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height on 7^th and 8^th July 2022; under its influence, a Low Pressure Area has formed over Odisha & neighbourhood with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 7.6 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height on 9^th; it lay over coastal areas of south Odisha and north Coastal Andhra Pradesh and neighbourhood with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 7.6 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height on 10^th; it lay over Northwest Bay of Bengal off Odisha coast with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 7.6 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height on 11^th; it lay as a Well Marked Low Pressure Area over south Coastal Odisha & neighbourhood with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 7.6 km above mean sea level, tilting southwestwards with height on 12^th and 13^th July 2022.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over north Punjab & neighbourhood at 1.5 km above mean sea level on 12^th July 2022; it has become less marked on 13^th July 2022.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lay over south Pakistan & neighbourhood at 1.5 km above mean sea level on 13^th July 2022.

RAINFALL SUMMARY

Category of the rainfall

WEEK SEASON

07.07.2022 TO 13.07.2022 01.06.2022 TO 13.07.2022 Number of Sub-divisions Number of Sub-divisions

LARGE EXCESS(LE) (+60% or more) 16 4

EXCESS (E) (+20% to +59%) 2 13

NORMAL (N) (+19% to -19%) 6 13

DEFICIENT (D) (-20% to -59%) 5 5

LARGE DEFICIENT (LD) (-60% to -99%) 7 1

NO RAIN (NR) (-100%) 0 0

Cumulative rainfall (mm) ^Actual_(mm) ^Normal_(mm) ^Departure_(%) ^Category ^Actual_(mm) ^Normal_(mm) ^Departure_(%) ^Category

EAST & NORTH-EAST INDIA 33.7 100.5 -66% LD 480.1 513.2 -6% N

NORTH-WEST INDIA 32.7 45.9 -29% D 139 154 -10% N

CENTRAL INDIA 163.9 69.2 137% LE 366.9 294.1 25% E

SOUTH PENINSULA 116.8 45.8 155% LE 324.8 241.8 34% E

Country as a whole 93.5 62.4 50% E 306.6 275.7 11% N

 Weekly cumulative rainfall distribution is presented in Fig-1.

 Sub-division wise weekly and seasonal rainfall distribution is presented in Fig-2 and Fig-3.

 Sub-divisionwise daily distribution of realised Rainfall is shown in Table-1(A).

 Sub-divisionwise departure of realised Maximum temperature from Normal is shown in Table-1(C)

 Statewise distribution of number of districts with Large-Excesse, Excess, Normal, Deficient, Large-deficient and no rainfall is shown in Table-2.

 Cumulative seasonal rainfall data during the corresponding weekly period for the last five years are given in Table-3.

 Sub-divisionwise realised weekly rainfall (in cm) is shown in Annexure-1.

FORECAST & WARNING FOR THE NEXT WEEK 14 JULY TO 20 JULY, 2022

 Detailed seven days Sub-division wise rainfall-forecast is given in Table-1(B).

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Fig-1

WEEKLY CUMULATIVE RAINFALL

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Table-1 (A)

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE DISTRIBUTION OF REALISED RAINFALL-2022

S.No. MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 07July 08July 09July 10July 11July 12July 13July

1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS WS WS WS FWS FWS* WS SCT

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH SCT WS SCT ISOL FWS FWS ISOL

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA SCT SCT FWS SCT FWS FWS ISOL

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA FWS FWS ISOL FWS SCT FWS SCT

5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM SCT SCT WS ISOL SCT FWS SCT

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL WS SCT SCT SCT FWS FWS WS

7 ODISHA FWS FWS WS* WS* WS WS* WS*

8 JHARKHAND FWS ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT SCT

9 BIHAR ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL D

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL D ISOL D

11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL ISL ISOL SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL

12 UTTARAKHAND FWS SCT WS* WS* ISOL WS SCT

13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT FWS ISOL SCT

14 PUNJAB SCT SCT ISOL FWS* ISOL ISOL SCT

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH ISOL FWS* SCT WS* FWS SCT FWS

16 JAMMU & KASHMIRANDLADAKH FWS ISOL FWS SCT SCT ISOL ISOL

17 WEST RAJASTHAN SCT FWS** SCT ISOL SCT SCT ISOL

18 EAST RAJASTHAN FWS FWS SCT SCT FWS* SCT FWS*

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH FWS FWS FWS FWS* WS* WS* WS*

20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS SCT SCT

21 GUJARAT REGION FWS WS* WS* WS* WS** WS** WS*

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH WS* WS** WS** WS* WS** WS** WS**

23 KONKAN & GOA WS* WS* WS* WS WS WS* WS*

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA WS* FWS* WS* WS** WS* WS** WS*

25 MARATHAWADA FWS WS* WS** WS* WS* WS* WS**

26 VIDARBHA WS* WS* WS WS* WS* WS* WS**

27 CHHATTISGARH WS FWS WS* WS* WS* WS* WS*

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. &

YANAM SCT FWS* WS** FWS* FWS WS* FWS

29 TELANGANA FWS* WS* WS** WS** WS** WS* WS**

30 RAYALASEEMA FWS FWS SCT FWS ISOL SCT SCT

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT ISOL ISOL

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA WS* WS* WS* WS* FWS* WS* WS

33 NORTH INT.KARNATAKA WS* WS* WS* WS* FWS WS* WS**

34 SOUTH INT.KARNATAKA WS* WS* WS* WS* WS* WS* WS*

35 KERALA & MAHE WS WS* WS* WS WS* WS WS

36 LAKSHADWEEP WS FWS WS WS SCT WS WS

LEGENDS:

WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO STATION REPORTED RAINFALL

* ACTIVE (R/F 1^1/2- 4 times the normal with WS/FWS, at least 2 stations should be 5 cm. along west coast & 3 cm. elsewhere )

** VIGOROUS (R/F More than 4 times the normal with WS/FWS, at least 2 stations should be 8 cm. along west coast & 5 cm. elsewhere)

(11)

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Table-1 (B)

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST -2022

Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 14 July 15 July 16 July 17 July 18 July 19 July 20 July

1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS WS^L^● WS^L^● FWS^L FWS FWS FWS FWS

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH SCT^L SCT^L SCT^● FWS^● WS^● WS^● WS^●

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA SCT^L SCT^L FWS^● FWS^● WS^● WS^●● WS^●●

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA SCT^L SCT^L FWS FWS^● WS^● WS^● WS^●●

5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM SCT SCT SCT SCT FWS^● WS^● WS^●

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL FWS^L FWS^L FWS^L SCT SCT FWS FWS

7 ODISHA WS^●● WS^●● WS^●● FWS^● FWS^● WS^● WS^●

8 JHARKHAND SCT^L SCT^L FWS^L FWS FWS FWS FWS

9 BIHAR ISOL ISOL SCT^L SCT^L SCT^L WS^● WS^●

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT FWS^● FWS^● FWS^●

11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT^● FWS^● FWS^●

12 UTTARAKHAND FWS^● SCT^● SCT FWS^● FWS^● WS^●● WS^●●

13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI WS^● SCT SCT ISOL ISOL SCT FWS^●

14 PUNJAB WS^● SCT SCT ISOL ISOL SCT FWS^●

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH FWS^● FWS^● SCT SCT SCT WS^● WS^●

16 JAMMU & KASHMIRANDLADAKH FWS^● SCT SCT SCT SCT WS^● WS^●

17 WEST RAJASTHAN SCT^● SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL

18 EAST RAJASTHAN FWS^●● FWS^● SCT^● SCT^L SCT^L SCT SCT

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH WS^L^●● WS^L^● FWS^● FWS^● FWS^● FWS FWS

20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH FWS^L^●● FWS^L^● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^●

21 GUJARAT REGION WS^●●● WS^●● FWS^● SCT SCT FWS FWS

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH WS^●●● WS^●●● WS^●● SCT SCT SCT SCT

23 KONKAN & GOA WS^●● WS^●● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^●

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA WS^●●● WS^●● WS^● WS^● FWS FWS FWS

25 MARATHAWADA WS^● WS FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS

26 VIDARBHA WS^L^●● WS^L^● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS

27 CHHATTISGARH WS^L^●● WS^L^● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^●

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT

29 TELANGANA WS^●● FWS^● FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS

30 RAYALASEEMA SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL ISOL^L^●● ISOL^L^● ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA WS^●● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS^●

33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA WS^● WS^● FWS^● FWS FWS FWS FWS

34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA WS^●● WS^●● FWS^● FWS^● FWS FWS FWS

35 KERALA & MAHE WS^●● WS^● WS^● WS^● WS WS^● WS^●

36 LAKSHADWEEP WS WS FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS

LEGENDS:

WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%)

SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL

●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ^●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ^●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)

F Fog * Snowfall ^DSDust storm /^TS Thunderstorm ^$Thunderstorm with Squall ^L Thunderstorm with Lightning ^#Thunderstorm with Hail

^-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5ÔC to -6.4ÔC) ^{- -}Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5ÔC)

⁺Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5ÔC to +6.4ÔC) ^{+ +} Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5ÔC)

(12)

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Table-1 (C)

METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE REALISED MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE-2022

S.No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 07July 08 July 09 July 10 July 11 July 12 July 13 July

1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS N N N N BN N N

2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH N N AAN AAN MAN N N

3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA N N N AAN N AAN MAN

4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA N N N AAN AN AN N

5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM AAN N N AAN AN AAN N

6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL AN N AN N N N N

7 ODISHA N N N N N N N

8 JHARKHAND N AN AN N N BN N

9 BIHAR AN AAN AAN AAN AAN AAN AAN

10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH AN AAN N AAN AAN AAN N

11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH AN N N N AAN AN AN

12 UTTARAKHAND AN AN ABN N AN N N

13 HARYANA, CHD. & DELHI N N BN BN N N N

14 PUNJAB N N N BN N N N

15 HIMACHAL PRADESH AAN N N N N N N

16 JAMMU & KASHMIRANDLADAKH N N N N N N N

17 WEST RAJASTHAN N N N N N N N

18 EAST RAJASTHAN BN N N ABN N N N

19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH N N N N ABN N N

20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH AN N N N AN N N

21 GUJARAT REGION N N BN BN BN BN N

22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH N N N N N N N

23 KONKAN & GOA BN N N ABN N N N

24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA N N ABN ABN ABN AAN N

25 MARATHAWADA BN MBN MBN MBN MBN MBN MBN

26 VIDARBHA N N N ABN N N N

27 CHHATTISGARH N N N N N N N

28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM N MBN N ABN ABN N N

29 TELANGANA N MBN MBN MBN MBN MBN MBN

30 RAYALASEEMA ABN MBN N ABN BN N N

31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL N N N N BN N N

32 COASTAL KARNATAKA BN MBN BN N N N BN

33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA N N MBN BN ABN AAN ABN

34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA