58 Lampiran1.HasiloutputHausman Test
Uji HausmanTest
CorrelatedRandomEffects -HausmanTest Pool:PANEL
Test cross-sectionrandomeffects
Test Summary
Chi-Sq.
Statistic Chi-Sq.d.f. Prob.
Cross-sectionrandom 24.566737 4 0.0001
Cross-sectionrandomeffects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
X1? -0.748264 0.258157 0.073925 0.0002
X2? 0.343776 0.215582 0.001867 0.0030
X3? 0.000452 0.000468 0.000000 0.2901
X4? -4.242011 -3.522678 0.051375 0.0015
Cross-sectionrandomeffects testequation: DependentVariable:Y?
Method:PanelLeast Squares Date:10/15/15 Time:18:11 Sample:20102013 Includedobservations:4 Cross-sections included:33
Totalpool(balanced)observations: 132
Variable Coefficient Std.Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 74.12542 0.163900 452.2592 0.0000
X1? -0.748264 0.601363 -1.244279 0.2165
X2? 0.343776 0.114579 3.000334 0.0034
X3? 0.000452 0.000256 1.767101 0.0804
X4? -4.242011 0.638507 -6.643644 0.0000
Effects Specification
Cross-sectionfixed(dummyvariables)
R-squared 0.982355 Meandependent var 73.75091
AdjustedR-squared 0.975669 S.D. dependent var 2.758424
S.E.ofregression 0.430271 Akaikeinfocriterion 1.382879
Sumsquaredresid 17.58766 Schwarz criterion 2.190937
Loglikelihood -54.27000 Hannan-Quinn criter. 1.711236
F-statistic 146.9180 Durbin-Watsonstat 1.282773
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Lampiran2.HasiloutputREMdanFEM
SwamyandAroraestimatorof component variances
Variable Coefficient Std.Error t-Statistic Prob.
X1? 0.258157 0.536389 0.481287 0.6311
_NIAS--C -4.781252
_MADINA--C
_TOBASA--C 3.064044
_LABUBA--C 1.375948
_ASHN--C
_LABURA--C 0.797235
_NISUT--C
_TNJNGBALAI--C 0.749221
_PSIANTAR--C 4.100713
_TTINGGI--C 3.313126
_MEDAN--C 4.763236
_BINJAI--C 3.589592
59
_GNGSITOLI--C -1.430730
Effects Specification
S.D. Rho
Cross-sectionrandom 2.255583 0.9649
Idiosyncraticrandom 0.430271 0.0351
WeightedStatistics
R-squared 0.391123 Meandependent var 7.002520
AdjustedR-squared 0.371946 S.D. dependent var 0.585243
S.E.ofregression 0.463804 Sum squaredresid 27.31951
F-statistic 20.39518 Durbin-Watsonstat 0.786308
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
UnweightedStatistics
R-squared -0.041526 Meandependent var 73.75091
Sumsquaredresid 1038.159 Durbin-Watsonstat 0.020692
Fixed EffectModel(FEM)
Variable Coefficient Std.Error t-Statistic Prob.
X1? -0.748264 0.601363 -1.244279 0.2165
74.12542 0.163900 452.2592 0.0000
_NIAS--C
_TAPUT--C 0.850774
_TOBASA--C 2.912379
_LABUBA--C
_SAMOSIR--C 0.215892
_SERGEI--C
_TNJNGBALAI--C 0.698037
_PSIANTAR--C 4.207662
_TTINGGI--C 3.484819
_MEDAN--C 6.533360
_BINJAI--C 3.671071
_PASID--C 1.840051
_GNGSITOLI--C -1.652380
Effects Specification
61
R-squared 0.982355 Meandependent var 73.75091
AdjustedR-squared 0.975669 S.D. dependent var 2.758424
S.E.ofregression 0.430271 Akaikeinfocriterion 1.382879
Sumsquaredresid 17.58766 Schwarz criterion 2.190937
Loglikelihood -54.27000 Hannan-Quinn criter. 1.711236
F-statistic 146.9180 Durbin-Watsonstat 1.282773
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Lampiran3.Datarealisasi pendapatanaslidaerah, dana alokasiumum, dana
alokasikhusus, danabagihasil, belanja modaldan indeks
pembangunan manusia
Data Realisasi Pendapatan AsliDaerah
(Dalam000 rupiah) Kabupaten/Kota 2010 2011 2012 2013 Nias 17629575 18943904 30531670 44726141 MandailingNatal 11825858 27525847 21274113 47665840 TapanuliSelatan 30496787 57463805 56160143 69220483 Tapanuli Tengah 13371779 18091203 21136802 23210742 TapanuliUtara 15433009 23104104 20974585 37952078 TobaSamosir 11981287 14181847 16542683 19803160 LabuhanBatu 38532205 50958559 59439168 49784550 Asahan 26067056 31844328 37894588 53691706 Simalungun 45255180 42543354 61246499 97914776 Dairi 19835722 17673471 20911510 29933428 Karo 27685562 35363330 41242973 46342694 DeliSerdang 120537227 213791545 291017501 328348147 Langkat 31357008 34540643 129242580 65521499 Nias Selatan 10276243 23030719 12146969 75541198 Humbahas 10007221 12870032 17901927 17632874 Pakpak Barat 4533364 6306029 6355112 9080677 Samosir 26112156 14201579 17459630 26661345 Serdang Bedagai 22093187 35894399 39274570 50371733 Batu Bara 20616744 13240861 16558127 27800612 Padang Lawas
Utara
5332270 8728415 12798138 15804225
63
Binjai 18832884 26470116 48178079 49172644
PadangSidempuan 13602384 21614811 23682308 35018175
GunungSitoli 2663494 6051302 9329679 10382482
Data RealisasiDana AlokasiUmum
65
Data RealisasiDana AlokasiKhusus
(Dalam000 rupiah) Kabupaten/Kota 2010 2011 2012 2013 Nias 53790900 54943100 48137260 64603150 MandailingNatal 58131400 48451600 41555830 38791268 TapanuliSelatan 41495400 44491900 53366970 54321700 Tapanuli Tengah 51299900 52300100 48644240 83254250 TapanuliUtara 48018500 56791600 50220620 55778010 TobaSamosir 46949200 51434700 52119770 46036240 LabuhanBatu 45054900 45508800 75496690 49738450 Asahan 48288300 50626400 65206660 79875480 Simalungun 62053050 73945400 90868630 80773970 Dairi 44113800 44144700 43357200 61125590 Karo 47518000 42439000 38426590 48120130 DeliSerdang 85589900 67178200 65478160 81867590 Langkat 65865700 53872700 56056730 81165730 Nias Selatan 57176475 54193100 64679170 101799850 Humbahas 29210500 31606800 28968140 50779570 Pakpak Barat 24610700 28831400 25460900 54005910 Samosir 38969700 35623800 27844598 33547500 Serdang Bedagai 61308800 65750400 64704900 68230650 Batu Bara 42832000 29201625 44148640 42178640 Padang LawasUtara 30443250 44759200 36733240 36311060 Padang Lawas 42767600 40016700 42520850 31082900 Labusel 29993000 35433200 25663500 53225680 Labura 29565500 33344625 42495140 48433300 Nias Utara 38784900 39976800 36405150 56382660 NiasBarat 27591975 47860125 63754580 42168069 Sibolga 18135900 22753900 19290260 29474070 Tanjungbalai 19508400 20198000 17955740 28391040 PematangSiantar 39228000 24783200 28447080 41339700 TebingTinggi 17807400 22086200 25323480 36283080 Medan 67201000 81594600 66298270 62016918 Binjai 24831500 25266200 23777970 19655758 PadangSidempuan 20661600 25568500 23986600 39957160 Gunung Sitoli 25337800 50790000 56898180 31781842
Data RealisasiDana Bagi Hasil
67
Data RealisasiBelanja Modal
(Dalam000 rupiah) Kabupaten/Kota 2010 2011 2012 2013 Nias 83037053 144051482 153104935 173429299 MandailingNatal 106153917 88201599 133046749 143802439 TapanuliSelatan 108628630 137835763 194193714 267454273 Tapanuli Tengah 69816521 99683222 154199798 258593437 TapanuliUtara 95765924 188143607 171508170 206895523 TobaSamosir 95353108 104552701 153867662 125576943 LabuhanBatu 125757430 115453807 204122929 226693799 Asahan 98005398 179238414 259227355 271753134 Simalungun 148745843 132102433 314891538 234348465 Dairi 81170558 74602212 97984281 138859862 Karo 92129440 128447914 153195512 245358709 DeliSerdang 203001499 314745971 334254373 352334309 Langkat 117392907 119040074 255052590 308212155 Nias Selatan 144759205 96214565 202753560 365436996 Humbahas 82160494 78728758 124492943 190867255 Pakpak Barat 52908474 113488210 70238473 147986633 Samosir 82548414 119695960 85423664 162439730 Serdang Bedagai 116508460 124131685 148712581 250621748 Batu Bara 139806344 138479933 168742403 205203297 Padang LawasUtara 86311993 161465044 232918135 193425841 Padang Lawas 123863691 130125820 116853862 137297626 Labusel 98805203 146176751 145200522 335066618 Labura 93828392 141022136 250093416 292435766 Nias Utara 31001072 94492873 107415006 184356213 NiasBarat 31561295 116297428 106216000 161067997 Sibolga 44807887 89963707 90900187 87060355 Tanjungbalai 69329382 92016306 144085305 110991401 PematangSiantar 86407152 73017225 90831872 134009853 TebingTinggi 43176471 93702904 97955390 160860325 Medan 423443461 681884041 558428738 630802959 Binjai 53073129 131939896 158209028 133102683 PadangSidempuan 27867290 75776374 98758765 117216919 Gunung Sitoli 16833468 136449472 149728920 165703391
Data IndeksPembangunanManusia
Kabupaten/Kota 2010 2011 2012 2013
Nias 68.66 69.09 69.55 69.93
MandailingNatal 70.60 71.04 71.44 71.72 TapanuliSelatan 74.02 74.45 74.78 75.13 Tapanuli Tengah 71.21 71.63 72.04 72.55 TapanuliUtara 74.31 74.86 75.33 75.81
TobaSamosir 76.55 76.93 77.21 77.49
LabuhanBatu 74.03 74.65 75.29 75.71
Asahan 72.54 73.25 73.80 74.23
Simalungun 73.50 73.94 74.35 74.55
Dairi 72.86 73.49 73.86 74.22
Karo 75.34 75.79 76.22 76.76
DeliSerdang 75.28 75.78 76.17 76.82
Langkat 73.18 73.62 73.98 74.38
Nias Selatan 67.15 67.72 68.23 68.58
Humbahas 71.94 72.43 72.80 73.09
Pakpak Barat 70.80 71.20 72.00 72.54
Samosir 73.70 74.27 74.72 75.02
Serdang Bedagai 73.25 73.64 74.07 74.41
Batu Bara 71.62 72.08 72.71 73.26
Padang LawasUtara 72.52 73.25 73.59 73.96 Padang Lawas 71.98 72.55 72.96 73.27
Labusel 73.84 74.38 74.90 75.48
Labura 73.45 74.14 74.92 75.70
Nias Utara 67.75 68.18 68.71 69.39
NiasBarat 66.46 67.10 67.59 67.91
Sibolga 75.08 75.50 75.73 76.19
Tanjungbalai 74.14 74.72 75.06 75.44 PematangSiantar 77.51 77.93 78.27 78.62 TebingTinggi 76.49 76.91 77.34 77.96
Medan 77.36 77.81 78.25 78.62
Binjai 76.41 76.88 77.36 77.79