Senin, 20 Nopember 2017
Konsolidasi 5,972.31 – 6,060.45 dengan Target 6,115
Beberapa berita ekonomi di pekan kemarin diantaranya: 1) Pemerintah mengklaim defisit anggaran
hingga akhir Oktober sekitar 2% dari Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB). Pemerintah akan menjaga defisit
anggaran hingga akhir tahun di level 2.67% dari PDB. Defisit tersebut dari realisasi pendapatan
negara sebesar Rp.1,099.4 triliun atau 63.3% dari target APBN-P 2017 dan realisasi belanja negara
sebesar Rp.1,375 triliun atau 64.5% dari target. Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) mencatatkan neraca
perdagangan Oktober 2017 surplus sebesar US$ 895 juta, lebih rendah dibandingkan surplus pada
bulan sebelumnya yang mencapai US$ 1.76 miliar. Menurunnya surplus neraca perdagangan Oktober
2017 karena kenaikan import yang cukup tinggi walaupun kinerja ekspor masih meningkat. Nilai import
Oktober 2017 meningkat 23.33% yoy, atau naik 11.04% mencapai US$ 14.19 miliar dibanding impor
September 2017. Sedangkan nilai ekspor Oktober 2017 hanya meningkat 18.39% yoy, atau naik
3.62% mencapai US$ 15.09 miliar dibanding bulan sebelumnya. Kenaikan ekspor didorong oleh
meningkatnya harga sejumlah komoditas. Secara bulanan, harga komoditas yang naik diantaranya:
batubara, minyak kernel, dan tembaga. Sedangkan beberapa harga komoditas yang turun,
diantaranya: karet, emas, perak, dan kopra. 2) Sepanjang Januari hingga Oktober 2017, tercatatkan
penerimaan pajak sebesar Rp.855.05 triliun atau baru sebesar 66.8% dari target APBN-P 2017 yang
sebesar Rp.1,283.57 triliun. Sebagai salah satu langkah mencapai target penerimaan pajak,
pemerintah tengah melakukan dinamisasi penerimaan yang termasuk dalam salah satu rangkaian dari
langkah extra effort, yaitu pengawasan. 3) Realisasi Penanaman Modal Asing (PMA) dan Penanaman
Modal Dalam Negeri (PMDN) belum dapat menyerap tenaga kerja secara optimal. Menurut Badan
Pusat Statistik (BPS), pada bulan Agustus 2017 tercatatkan pengangguran di Indonesia bertambah 10
ribu orang, atau menjadi 7.04 juta orang. Seharusnya realisasi Penanaman Modal Asing (PMA) dan
Penanaman Modal Dalam Negeri (PMDN) di fokuskan pada sektor padat karya agar tenaga kerja
dapat terserap lebih banyak. 4) Bank Indonesia (BI) menahan suku bunga acuan BI 7-day reverse
repo rate di level 4.25%. Keputusan tersebut disamping karena menyusulnya rencana kenaikan suku
bunga acuan Bank Sentral AS The Fed di akhir tahun 2017, juga konsisten dengan upaya menjaga
stabilitas makroekonomi dan keuangan serta untuk mendorong laju perekonomian dengan tetap
mempertimbangkan dinamika ekonomi global dan domestik. Seiring dengan tertahannya BI 7-day
reverse repo rate, deposit facility dan lending facility juga ikut tertahan masing masing di level 3.5%
dan 5%. Menurut BI, tingkat bunga saat ini cukup untuk menjaga inflasi sesuai sasaran dan defisit
transaksi berjalan di level yang sehat. Ekonomi domestik juga diperkirakan akan tetap tumbuh dengan
struktur yang berimbang. Adapun beberapa risiko yang perlu diwaspadai menurut BI adalah: dari
eksternal seperti perkembangan ekonomi global terkait pengetatan kebijakan moneter negara-negara
maju yang berdampak pada semakin sempitnya pelonggaran kebijakan moneter BI. Sedangkan dari
domestik seperti konsumsi rumah tangga dan intermediasi perbankan yang belum kuat. Sentimen
tersebut sempat membuat IHSG melemah di pekan kemarin, namun keseluruhan berhasil menguat
sebesar 0.50% atau 29.90 point, ditutup di level 6,051.73. Akumulasi minat jual asing juga tercatatkan
masih terus mewarnai pergerakan indeks dalam sepekan terakhir sebesar Rp.3.76 triliun diantaranya
pada saham KPIG, LPCK, BBCA, BBRI, UNVR, BHIT, BMRI, TLKM, ARII, dan INDF. Dan dalam dua
pekan sampai dengan empat pekan terakhir juga masih terus tercatatkan akumulasi minat jual asing
masing masing sebesar Rp.5.67 triliun, Rp.10.42 triliun, dan Rp.10.46 triliun. Nilai tukar rupiah
terhadap dolar AS dalam sepekan terakhir relatif flat dari Rp.13,514 menjadi Rp.13,517.
Menguatnya IHSG dalam dua hari perdagangan terakhir di pekan kemarin membentuk pola jangka
pendek baru dan berkonsolidasi dalam rentang 5,972.31 – 6,060.45. Target sementara dikisaran level
6,115 – 6,203 bila IHSG berhasil menguat dan bertahan di atas level 6,060.45. Dan dalam sepekan
kedepan pergerakan IHSG diperkirakan masih akan berfluktuatif dikisaran 5,953.10 – 6,082.78.
Beberapa saham yang saat ini underprice dan mendekati PE ratio terendah diantaranya AALI, ADRO,
BSDE, DILD, INDF, KIJA, LPKR, LPPF, LSIP, MNCN, PTBA, PTPP, SCMA, SRIL, TINS, WIKA, dan
WSKT. Berita ekonomi global di pekan ini diantaranya Existing Home Sales, Durable Goods Orders,
Jobless Claims, Consumer Sentiment, EIA Petroleum Status Report, FOMC Minutes, dan PMI
Composite Flash.
Widhi Indratmo Nugroho
Analyst [email protected] +62 21 5785 1818 (Ext.2051) Close Weekly Return ▲ Yield to Date ▲ PE (X) Volume (miliar) ▲ Value (Rp. triliun) ▲ BI 7-Day RR IDR/USD Rp. 14.25% 6,051.73 COMPOSITE LAST TOTAL TRANSACTION 0.50% ECONOMIC INDICATORS 13,514 4.25% 37.83 55.55 22.96Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas
JCI vs Foreign Net Buy (Sell) YTD
4,000 4,675 5,350 6,025 6,700
3-Jan-17 15-Mar-17 5-Jun-17 23-Aug-17 3-Nov-17 (30,000) (13,500) 3,000 19,500 36,000
Composite (LHS) Net Buy YTD in Rp.bn (RHS) Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas
SECTOR Agriculture ▼ -1.22% ▼ -0.09% Basic Industry ▼ -0.95% ▼ -1.20% Consumer Goods ▲ 1.22% ▼ -0.05% Finance ▲ 1.46% ▲ 0.11% Infrastructure ▲ 0.41% ▲ 0.10% Manufacture ▲ 0.24% ▲ 0.11% Mining ▼ -1.61% ▼ -1.22% Misc. Industry ▼ -1.71% ▲ 2.32% Property ▼ -0.45% ▼ -0.82%
Trade & Service ▲ 0.67% ▼ -2.33%
17-Nov-17 10-Nov-17 WEEKLY RETURN
Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas
SECTOR Agriculture ▼ -0.82% ▲ 0.53% Basic Industry ▼ -4.73% ▼ -0.77% Consumer Goods ▼ -8.61% ▼ -6.65% Finance ▼ -2.35% ▼ -13.63% Infrastructure ▼ -9.31% ▼ -0.59% Manufacture ▼ -16.43% ▼ -4.77% Mining ▼ -26.56% ▼ -31.52% Misc. Industry ▼ -2.34% ▼ -0.56% Property ▼ -21.08% ▼ -31.94%
Trade & Service ▼ -7.76% ▼ -9.03%
17-Nov-17 10-Nov-17 WEEKLY CAPITAL FLOW
PE Band IHSG
10 . 7 x 15 . 0 8 x 19 . 4 5 x 2 3 . 8 3 x 2 8 . 2 x -1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000Dec- 03 Jul- 05 Jan-07 Jul- 08 Jan-10 Jul- 11 Dec- 12 Jul-14 Dec- 15 Jul- 17 Dec- 18
Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas
Sector Performance 2017
J C I B asic Ind Finance M ining 4,800 5,350 5,900 6,450 7,0003-Jan-17 7-Feb-17 15-Mar -17 25-Apr -17 5- Jun- 17 18-Jul- 17 23- Aug- 17 29- Sep- 17 3-Nov-17
Note: All Sectors Rebase to JCI Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas
Siklus Pergerakan Harian IHSG
J C I C y c l e Average +1 STDEV - 1 STDEV -1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000
Jan- 03 Sep-04 May-06 Jan-08 Sep- 09 May-11 Dec- 12 Sep- 14 Apr- 16 Dec- 17
0.43 0.56 0.69 0.82 0.95 1.08 1.21 1.34 1.47 1.60 1.73
Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas
Bottom Fishing Buy on Weakness Trading Area Sell on Strength Closing 17 November 2017
Fair value IHSG 2018 dikisaran
6,710.49
Dan saat ini IHSG berada pada PE
ratio 22.96x
Krisis Global 2008
Saat ini siklus IHSG berada
di bawah average.
Closing 17 November 2017
Closing 17 November 2017
Selama tahun 2017, secara
garis besar beberapa sector
yang menjadi driver
penggerak IHSG
diantaranya finance, basic
industry, dan mining.
Siklus Pergerakan Harian Beberapa Saham LQ45 & Lainnya
Stock Cycle -1 STDEV Average +1 STDEV Area TP Upside Stock Cycle -1 STDEV Average +1 STDEV Area TP Upside
AALI 0.97 0.87 1.04 1.22 Trading 17,810 23.0% LSIP 1.02 0.82 1.07 1.32 Trading 1,697 14.3%
ADHI 1.03 0.83 1.18 1.52 Trading 2,667 19.1% MNCN 0.89 0.86 1.18 1.50 Trading 1,913 29.7%
ADRO 1.01 0.83 1.04 1.25 Trading 2,145 21.2% MYRX 0.79 0.92 1.08 1.24 BoW 160
-AKRA 1.04 0.92 1.13 1.34 Trading 7,368 6.4% PGAS 0.79 0.92 1.08 1.23 BoW 1,995 12.4%
ANTM 0.93 0.77 0.98 1.19 Trading 802 21.5% PPRO 0.60 -8.32 3.93 16.18 Trading 218 6.9%
ASII 0.99 0.90 1.12 1.34 Trading 9,015 9.9% PTBA 0.96 0.83 1.03 1.23 Trading 14,903 33.1%
BBCA 1.17 1.00 1.10 1.21 Trading 19,569 -7.6% PTPP 0.92 0.85 1.13 1.41 Trading 4,276 52.2%
BBNI 1.19 0.90 1.14 1.38 Trading 7,769 -5.0% PW ON 0.99 0.87 1.12 1.37 Trading 726 18.0%
BBRI 1.16 0.98 1.11 1.24 Trading 16,082 388.8% SCMA 0.85 0.91 1.25 1.60 BoW 2,826 32.7%
BBTN 1.17 0.82 0.97 1.13 SoS 3,069 3.0% SMGR 1.01 0.96 1.11 1.26 Trading 10,898 10.1%
BJBR 1.01 0.83 0.95 1.07 Trading 1,900 -18.45% SMRA 0.75 0.91 1.18 1.45 BoW 1,289 42.4%
BMRI 1.16 0.93 1.11 1.30 Trading 6,752 -7.8% SRIL 1.14 -9.21 3.52 16.24 Trading 537 41.2%
BMTR 1.03 0.85 1.14 1.42 Trading 0 -100.00% SSMS 0.95 1.00 1.12 1.24 BoW 1,900 27.9%
BRPT 1.33 0.67 0.94 1.20 SoS 2,600 19.27% TLKM 0.97 0.95 1.05 1.15 Trading 5,132 22.2%
BSDE 0.93 0.73 1.18 1.64 Trading 2,277 36.3% UNTR 1.17 0.84 1.08 1.33 Trading 33,707 1.9%
BUMI 0.84 0.47 0.85 1.22 Trading UNVR 1.06 0.98 1.10 1.23 Trading 49,308 -0.7%
EXCL 0.98 0.83 1.10 1.37 Trading 3,896 21.4% WIKA 0.91 0.95 1.18 1.41 BoW 2,735 38.5%
GGRM 1.13 0.89 1.18 1.48 Trading 76,258 -2.2% WSKT 0.97 0.87 1.12 1.37 Trading 2,872 30.0%
HMSP 1.07 0.97 1.15 1.32 Trading 4,052 -1.2%
ICBP 1.04 0.96 1.10 1.23 Trading 9,300 3.9%
INCO 1.21 0.80 1.02 1.24 Trading 2,809 -5.4% CTRA 0.99 0.89 1.15 1.40 Trading 1,490 24.7%
INDF 0.94 0.86 1.11 1.37 Trading 9,530 22.2% KIJA 0.98 0.84 1.10 1.35 Trading 413 34.2%
INTP 1.11 0.91 1.12 1.32 Trading 17,282 -13.2% SMCB 0.98 0.85 1.10 1.35 Trading 691 -16.2%
JSMR 1.26 0.96 1.14 1.31 Trading 6,147 -6.9% GIAA 0.96 0.85 1.01 1.16 Trading 323 -2.9%
KLBF 1.01 1.00 1.20 1.39 Trading 1,815 12.1% KAEF 0.98 0.90 1.18 1.47 Trading 2,727 7.8%
LPKR 0.87 0.87 1.04 1.20 BoW 933 48.1% SMBR 0.94 0.94 1.01 1.08 Trading 559 -79.7%
LPPF 0.88 0.02 1.54 3.07 Trading 13,682 24.7% TINS 0.99 0.79 1.01 1.23 Trading 1,210 37.5%
Note: 1. TP (Target Price) Konsensus Bloomberg 2. Cycle: Posisi harga close saham di minggu terakhir
3. Posisi Cycle yang berada dibawah (-1) standard deviation, diperkirakan mempunyai ruang koreksi yang mulai terbatas
OTHERS
Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas
Pemilihan Saham
Passive Strategy
AALI ADHI ADRO
AKRA ASII BBCA BBNI BBTN BMRI BSDE CTRA GGRM ICBP INCO INDF INTP JSMR KLBF LPKR LPPF LSIP MNCN PGAS PTBA PTPP PWON SCMA SMGR SMRA SSMS TLKM UNTR UNVR WIKA WSKTKIJA SMCB BJBR BJTM KAEF TINS APLN DILD SRIL ANTM HMSP MYRX EXCL PPRO BRPT -60% -20% 20% 60% 100% 0. 4 1. 2 2. 0
Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas
Fairly Price Line
Over Price Area (Negative Alpha) Under Price Area (Positive Alpha)
Beberapa saham yang berada di atas
fairly price line (security market line)
mencerminkan kondisi under price.
Investor dapat melakukan posisi beli
maupun menambah proporsi
(overweight) pada saham ini.
Sedangkan beberapa saham yang
berada di bawah fairly price line
mencerminkan kondisi over price.
Investor dapat melakukan posisi jual
atau mengurangi proporsi (underweight)
pada saham ini.
Ekspektasi pertumbuhan ekonomi
domestik di 2017 sebesar 5.1% - 5.3%.
Dan kami menaikkan target IHSG 2017
dikisaran 6,360.65 dengan BI 7 day
reverse repo rate di 4.25%.
Sensitivity to Market Expected Return
Closing 17 November 2017
Saham Underprice dan mendekati PE ratio terendah
AALI PE Band
ADRO PE Band
10.3x 18.35x 26.4x 10,000 17,000 24,000 31,000 38,000
Dec-11 Aug-13 Apr-15 Nov-16
6.1x 9.15x 12.2x 15.25x 18.3x 200 700 1,200 1,700 2,200
Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas
BSDE PE Band
DILD PE Band
7.2x 18.78x 30.35x 30.35x 41.93x 53.5x 400 1,050 1,700 2,350 3,000
Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
9.5x 14.58x 19 .65x 24.73x 29.8 x 100 300 500 700 900
Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas
INDF PE Band
KIJA PE Band
12.2x 17.2x 22.2x 27.2x 32.2x 3,500 5,100 6,700 8,300 9,900
Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
16.19x 23.67x 31.16x 38 .64x 50 150 250 350 450
Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17
Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas
LPKR PE Band
LPPF PE Band
18.64x 28.43x 38.22x 48x 400 800 1,200 1,600 2,000Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
8.6x 16.1x 23.6x 31.1x 38.6x 7,000 11,000 15,000 19,000 23,000
Dec-13 Jul-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17
LSIP PE Band
MNCN PE Band
7.5x 11.78x 16.05x 20.33x 24.6x 600 1,350 2,100 2,850 3,600Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
9x 14.28x 19.55x 24.83x 30.1x 1,000 1,750 2,500 3,250 4,000
Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas
PTBA PE Band
PTPP PE Band
4.3x 7.19x 10.08x 12.97x 15.85x 2,000 7,500 13,000 18,500 24,000
Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
6.7x 14.1x 21.5x 28.9x 36.3x 400 1,600 2,800 4,000 5,200
Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas
SCMA PE Band
SRIL PE Band
13.7x 21.0 5x 2 8.4x 35.75x 43 .1x 1,800 2,575 3,350 4,12 5
Dec-13 Jul-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17
4.4x 6.83x 9.2 5x 11.6 8x 14.1x 50 175 30 0 425 550
Dec-13 Jul-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17
Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas Sumber: Lotus Sekuritas
TINS PE Band
WIKA PE Band
9x 17.63x 26.25x 34.88x 43.5x 200 600 1,000 1,400 1,800
Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
9.2x 16.4x 23.6x 30.8x 38x 2 50 1,2 50 2,2 50 3,2 50 4,2 50
Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
WSKT PE Band
6.8 x 13.45x 20.1x 26 .75x 33.4 x 200 950 1,700 2,450 3,200Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17
Support Resistance Beta Volatility Bearish Bullish AGRICULTURE
Plantation & Others
Astra Ago Lestari Tbk AALI 14,475 14,450 14,625 0.77 4.70% -13.71% Overweight 14,325 14,650
PP London Sumatra Tbk LSIP 1,485 1,475 1,560 0.64 4.96% -14.66% Overweight 1,470 1,500
Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk SSMS 1,485 1,480 1,520 0.73 4.85% 6.07% Overweight 1,470 1,500
MINING
Coal, Oil & Gas, Metal & Other Resources
Adaro Energy Tbk ADRO 1,770 1,695 1,840 1.67 7.07% 4.42% Overweight 1,730 1,815
Bumi Resources Tbk BUMI 272 248 286 1.23 11.73% -2.16% Not Rated 268 276
Tambang Batu Bara Bukit Asam Tbk PTBA 11,200 10,800 12,050 1.31 6.66% -10.40% Overweight 11,000 11,425
Aneka Tambang (Persero) Tbk ANTM 660 655 705 0.79 7.01% -26.26% Overweight 650 665
Vale Indonesia Tbk INCO 2,970 2,950 3,220 1.00 8.23% 5.32% Underweight 2,930 3,010
BASIC INDUSTRY Cement & Others
Indocement Tunggal Perkasa Tbk. INTP 19,900 19,250 21,200 1.48 4.81% 29.22% Underweight 19,525 20,375
Semen Gresik Tbk SMGR 9,900 9,825 10,250 1.31 4.72% 7.90% Overweight 9,725 10,100
Barito Pacific BRPT 2,180 2,020 2,190 0.63 10.57% 197.61% Not Rated 2,160 2,200
MISC.INDUSTRY Otomotif
Astra International Tbk ASII 8,200 8,150 8,375 1.40 4.71% -0.91% Overweight 8,050 8,375
Sri Rejeki Isman Tbk SRIL 380 374 388 0.70 8.27% 65.22% Overweight 376 384
CONSUMER GOODS
Foods, Cigarette, Pharmacy & Others
Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 8,950 8,525 9,000 1.16 6.00% 4.37% Underweight 8,800 9,100
Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk INDF 7,800 7,750 8,075 1.13 3.97% -1.58% Overweight 7,675 7,925
Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR 49,650 48,925 50,000 1.03 3.01% 27.96% Underweight 49,000 50,475
Gudang Garam Tbk. GGRM 77,975 75,950 83,100 0.98 4.41% 22.03% Underweight 77,000 79,200
Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk HMSP 4,100 3,980 4,340 0.89 9.45% 7.05% Underweight 4,050 4,150
Kalbe Farma Tbk KLBF 1,620 1,595 1,635 1.19 3.88% 6.93% Overweight 1,595 1,650
PROPERTY & CONSTRUCTION
Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk BSDE 1,670 1,635 1,695 1.45 4.48% -4.84% Overweight 1,630 1,700
Lippo Karawaci Tbk LPKR 630 565 650 0.96 4.88% -12.50% Overweight 620 640
Pakuwon Jati Tbk PWON 615 615 650 1.40 4.97% 8.85% Overweight 600 625
PP Properti Tbk PPRO 204 202 210 1.15 9.95% -85.00% Overweight 200 208
Summarecon Agung Tbk SMRA 905 900 1,010 1.56 6.04% -31.70% Overweight 885 925
Adhi Karya (Persero) Tbk ADHI 2,240 2,170 2,250 1.02 4.87% 7.69% Overweight 2,210 2,270
PP (Persero) Tbk PTPP 2,810 2,710 2,830 0.81 4.61% -26.25% Overweight 2,780 2,840
Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk WIKA 1,975 1,955 2,020 0.98 4.50% -16.31% Overweight 1,950 2,000
Waskita Karya (Persero) Tbk WSKT 2,210 2,110 2,220 0.79 3.93% -13.33% Overweight 2,180 2,230
INFRASTRUCTURE
Energy, Transportation & Highway, Telecommunication, Non Building Construction
Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk PGAS 1,775 1,765 1,845 1.08 5.84% -34.26% Overweight 1,750 1,800
Jasa Marga Tbk JSMR 6,600 6,400 6,675 1.06 4.12% 52.78% Underweight 6,500 6,700
XL Axiata Tbk EXCL 3210 3210 3530 1.14 5.88% 38.96% Underweight 3,160 3,270
Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk TLKM 4,200 4,070 4,230 0.90 2.69% 5.53% Overweight 4,150 4,260
FINANCE Bank
Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 21,175 20,400 21,200 1.07 2.73% 36.61% Underweight 20,875 21,525
Bank Negara Indonesia BBNI 8,175 7,650 8,250 1.44 4.37% 47.96% Underweight 8,025 8,350
Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 3,290 3,120 3,330 1.49 4.15% 40.90% Overweight 3,225 3,360
Bank Tabungan Negara (Persero) Tbk BBTN 2,980 2,880 3,040 0.90 3.79% 71.26% Underweight 2,940 3,020
Bank Jabar & Banten Tbk BJBR 2,330 2,260 2,390 1.09 7.21% -31.27% Underweight 2,290 2,370
Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 7,325 6,925 7,400 1.43 3.97% 26.57% Underweight 7,175 7,475
TRADE & SERVICE
Investment Company & Wholesale
AKR Corporindo Tbk AKRA 6,925 6,900 7,375 0.69 4.24% 15.42% Overweight 6,850 7,000
United Tractors Tbk UNTR 33,075 32,625 33,675 1.29 5.15% 55.65% Underweight 32,525 33,750
Matahari Departement Store Tbk LPPF 10,975 9,800 11,150 1.17 5.07% -27.44% Overweight 10,800 11,175
Global Mediacom BMTR 580 565 610 1.42 7.13% -5.69% Not Rated 570 590
Media Nusantara Citra Tbk MNCN 1,475 1,385 1,665 1.19 6.65% -15.95% Overweight 1,450 1,500
Surya Citra Media Tbk SCMA 2,130 1,950 2,140 1.01 4.81% -23.93% Overweight 2,100 2,160
Hanson International Tbk MYRX 108 102 112 0.67 8.26% -36.09% Overweight 107 109
Emiten Ticker Close Weekly Indicator YTD Performance Weekly Forecast
DISCLAMER
This report has been prepared by PT. Lotus Sekuritas on behalf of itself and its affiliated companies and is provided for information purposes only. Under no circumstances is it to be used or considered as an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy. This report has been produced independently and the forecasts, opinions and expectations contained herein are entirely those of PT. Lotus Sekuritas.
While all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that information contained herein is not untrue or misleading at the time of publication, PT. Lotus Sekuritas makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and it should not be relied upon as such. This report is provided solely for the information of clients of PT. Lotus Sekuritas who are expected to make their own investment decisions without reliance on this report. Neither PT. Lotus Sekuritas nor any officer or employee of PT. Lotus Sekuritas accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. PT. Lotus Sekuritas and/or person connected with it may have acted upon or used the information herein contained, or the research or analysis on which it is based, before publication.
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Kawasan CBD Pluit Blok A No.20 Komplek Paskal Hypersquare
Jl. Pluit Selatan Raya No.1 Blok C No. 15, Kebon Jeruk
Jakarta Utara 14440 Bandung 40181
T +6221 6667 5345 T +6222 8606 1027
F +6221 6667 5234 F +6222 8606 0684
Kelapa Gading Medan
Sentra Bisnis Artha Gading Jl. Cut Mutia No.15B
Jl. Boulevard Artha Gading Blok A6B Kav.7 Medan 20152
Kelapa Gading Barat T +6261 451 8855
Jakarta Utara 14240 F +6261 455 1833
T +6221 4585 6402 F +6221 4587 3961
Puri Surabaya Branch
Rukan Grand Taman Aries Niaga Blok G1 No.11 Ruko Permata Bintoro
Jl. Taman Aries Kembangan Jl. Ketampon Kav.1-2
Jakarta Barat 11620 Surabaya
T +6221 2931 9515 T +6231 562 2555