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Teks penuh

(1)

Rahmad 2006

1

Pertemuan 5

(2)

Research Design

Conclusive

Research Design

Descriptive

Research

Research

Casual

Cross-Sectional

Design

Longitudinal

Design

Single

Cross-Sectional Design

Sectional Design

Multiple

Cross-Exploratory

Research Design

(3)

Objective

:

Character-istics

:

Findings

/Results

:

Outcome

:

To provide insights and

understanding

.

Information needed is

defined only loosely.

Research process is flexible

and unstructured. Sample

is small and

non-representative. Analysis of

primary data is qualitative.

Tentative.

Generally followed by

further exploratory or

conclusive research.

To test specific hypotheses

and examine relationships.

Information needed is clearly

defined. Research process is

formal and structured. Sample

is large and representative.

Data analysis is quantitative

.

Conclusive.

Findings used as input into

decision making.

Exploratory

Exploratory

Conclusive

Conclusive

(4)

Objective

Objective

:

:

Characteristics

Characteristics

:

:

Methods

Methods

:

:

Discovery of

Discovery of

ideas and

ideas and

insights

insights

Flexible,

Flexible,

versatile

versatile

Often the front

Often the front

end of total

end of total

research design

research design

Expert surveys

Expert surveys

Pilot surveys

Pilot surveys

Secondary data

Secondary data

Qualitative

Qualitative

research

research

Describe market

Describe market

characteristics or

characteristics or

functions

functions

Marked by the prior

Marked by the prior

formulation of

formulation of

specific

specific

hypotheses

hypotheses

Preplanned and

Preplanned and

structured design

structured design

Secondary data

Secondary data

Surveys

Surveys

Panels

Panels

Observation and

Observation and

other data

other data

Determine cause

Determine cause

and effect

and effect

relationships

relationships

Manipulation of

Manipulation of

one or more

one or more

independent

independent

variables

variables

Control of other

Control of other

mediating

mediating

variables

variables

Experiments

Experiments

Exploratory

Exploratory

Descriptive

Descriptive

Causal

Causal

A Comparison of Basic Research Designs

(5)

Non-sampling

Error

Non-sampling

Error

Non-response

Error

Non-response

Error

Interviewer

Errors

Interviewer

Errors

Respondent

Respondent

Error

Error

Researcher

Error

Researcher

Error

Total Error

Total Error

Random Sampling

Error

Random Sampling

Error

Surrogate Information Error

Measurement Error

Population Definition Error

Sampling Frame Error

Data Analysis Error

Surrogate Information Error

Measurement Error

Population Definition Error

Sampling Frame Error

Data Analysis Error

Respondent Selection Error

Questioning Error

Recording Error

Cheating Error

Respondent Selection Error

Questioning Error

Recording Error

Cheating Error

Inability Error

Unwillingness Error

Inability Error

Unwillingness Error

Response

Error

Response

Error

(6)

Rahmad 2006

6

Exploratory Research Design:

Exploratory Research Design:

(7)

Primary Data

Primary Data

Secondary Data

Secondary Data

Collection purpose For the problem at hand

For other problems

Collection process

Very involved

Rapid & easy

Collection cost

High

Relatively low

Collection time

Long

Short

(8)

Criteria

Criteria

Issues

Issues

Remarks

Remarks

Specifications

& methodology

Error &

Accuracy

Currency

Objective

Nature

Dependability

Data collection method, response

rate, quality & analysis of data,

sampling technique & size,

questionnaire design, field work.

Examine errors in approach,

research design, sampling,data

collection & analysis, & reporting.

Time lag between collection &

publication, frequency of updates.

Why were the data collected?

Definition of key variables, units of

measurement, categories used,

relationships examined.

Expertise, credibility, reputation, &

trustworthiness of the source.

Data should be reliable,

valid, & generalizable to

the problem.

Assess accuracy by

comparing data from

different sources.

Census data are updated

by syndicated firms.

The objective determines

the relevance of data.

Reconfigure the data to

increase their usefulness.

Data should be obtained

from an original source.

Criteria for Evaluating Secondary Data

(9)

A Classification of Secondary Data

A Classification of Secondary Data

Secondary Data

Internal

External

Ready

to Use

Requires

Further

processing

Published

Materials

Computerized

Databases

(10)

Statistical

Data

Published

Secondary Data

General Business

Sources

Government

Sources

Guides

Directories Indexes

Census

Data

Other

Government

Publications

A Classification of Published Secondary Sources

(11)

Bibliographic

Databases

Bibliographic

Databases

Computerized

Databases

On-Line

Off-Line

Numeric

Databases

Full-Text

Databases

Full-Text

Databases

Directory

Databases

Directory

Databases

Special-Purpose

Databases

Special-Purpose

Databases

A Classification of Computerized Databases

A Classification of Computerized Databases

(12)

Unit of

Measurement

A Classification of Syndicated Services

A Classification of Syndicated Services

Households/

Consumers

(13)

Syndicated Services: Consumers

Syndicated Services: Consumers

Households /

Consumers

Surveys

Mail Diary

Panels

Electronic

scanner services

Purchase

Media

Psychographic

& Lifestyles

General

Advertising

Evaluation

Volume

Tracking Data

Scanner Diary

Panels

Scanner Diary

Panels with

(14)

Syndicated Services: Institutions

Syndicated Services: Institutions

Institutions

Retailers

Wholesalers

Industrial firms

Audits

Direct

Inquiries

Clipping

(15)

Type Characteristics Advantages

Disadvantages Uses

Surveys Surveys conducted

at regular intervals

Most flexible way of

obtaining data;

information on

underlying motives

Interviewer errors;

respondent errors

Market

segmentation,

advertising theme

selection and

advertising

effectiveness

Diary

Purchase

Panels

Households provide

specific information

regularly over an

extended period of

time; respondent

asked to record

specific behaviors as

they occur

Recorded purchase

behavior can be

linked to the

demographic /

psychographic

characteristics

Lack of

representativeness;

response bias;

maturation

Forecasting sales,

market share and

trends; establishing

consumer profiles,

brand loyalty and

switching;

evaluating test

markets, advertising,

and distribution

Diary

Media

Panels

Electronic devices

automatically

recording behavior,

supplemented by a

diary

Same as diary

purchase panel

Same as diary

purchase panel

Establishing

advertising rates;

selecting media

program or air time;

establishing viewer

profiles

(16)

Type

Characteristics Advantages

Disadvantages

Uses

Scanner Volume Tracking Data Household purchases are recorded through electronic scanners in supermarkets

Data reflects actual purchases; timely data, less expensive

Data may not be representative; errors in recording purchases; difficult to link purchases to elements of

marketing mix other than price

Price tracking, modeling,

effectiveness of in-store promotions Scanner Diary Panels with Cable TV

Scanner panels of households that subscribe to cable TV

Data reflect actual purchases; sample control; ability to link panel data to household

characteristics

Data may not be representative; quality of data limited

Promotional mix analyses, copy

testing, new product testing, positioning

Audit services

Verification of product movement by examining

physical records or performing

inventory analysis

Relatively precise information at the retail and wholesale levels

Coverage may be incomplete;

matching of data on competitive activity may be difficult

Measurement of consumer sales and market share,

competitive activity, analyzing

distribution patterns: tracking of new products

Industrial Product Syndicated Services

Data banks on industrial

establishments created through direct inquiries of companies, clipping services, and

corporate reports

Important source of information on industrial firms, particularly useful in initial phases of the projects

Data are lacking in terms of content, quantity, and quality

(17)

International

Organizations

Domestic

Organizations in

the United States

Domestic

Organizations in

the United States

International Secondary Data

International

Organizations in

the United States

Organizations in

Foreign Countries

Government

Sources

Nongovernment

Sources

Governments

(18)

Rahmad 2006

18

Descriptive Research Design :

Descriptive Research Design :

Survey and Observation

(19)

Survey

Survey

Methods

Methods

Survey

Survey

Methods

Methods

Telephone

Telephone

Personal

Personal

Mail

Mail

In-Home

In-Home

Mall

Mall

Intercept

Intercept

Computer-Assisted

Computer-Assisted

Personal

Personal

Interviewing

Interviewing

Traditional

Traditional

Telephone

Telephone

Computer-Assisted

Telephone

Computer-Assisted

Telephone

Interviewing

Interviewing

Mail

Mail

Interview

Interview

Mail

Panel

Mail

Panel

A Classification of Survey Methods

A Classification of Survey Methods

Electronic

Electronic

E-mail

(20)

Outgoing Envelope

Outgoing envelope: size, color, return address

Postage Method of addressing

Cover Letter

Sponsorship Type of appeal Postscript

Personalization Signature

Questionnaire

Length Size Layout Format

Content Reproduction Color Respondent anonymity

Return Envelope

Type of envelope Postage

Incentives

Monetary versus non-monetary Prepaid versus promised amount

Some Decisions Related to the

Some Decisions Related to the

Mail Interview Package

(21)

A Classification of Observation Methods

Observation Methods

Personal

Observation

Mechanical

Observation

Audit

Content

Analysis

Trace

Analysis

(22)

Criteria

Personal Mechanical Audit Content Trace

Observation Observation Analysis Analysis Analysis

Degree of structure Low Low to high High High Medium

Degree of disguise Medium Low to high Low High High

Ability to observe High Low to high High Medium Low

in natural setting

Observation bias High Low Low Medium Medium

Analysis Bias

High Low to

Low Low Medium

Medium

General remarks Most flexible Can be Expensive Limited to Method of

intrusive communications last

resort

A Comparative Evaluation of Observation Methods

(23)

Criteria

Telephone Personal Mail Electronic

High sample control

+

+ -

-Difficulty in locating

+

-

+

+

respondents at home

Inaccessibility of homes

+

-

+

+

Unavailability of a large

+

-

+

+

pool of trained interviewers

Large population in rural areas

-

+

-

-Unavailability of maps

+

-

+

+

Unavailability of current

-

+

-

+

telephone directory

Unavailability of mailing Lists

+

+

-

+

Low penetration of telephones

-

+

+

-Lack of an efficient postal system +

+

-

+

Low level of literacy

-

+

-

-Face-to-face communication culture -

+

-

-Poor access to computers and Internet?

+

?

-Note: A + denotes an advantage, and a - denotes a disadvantage.

A Comparative Evaluation of Survey Methods for

A Comparative Evaluation of Survey Methods for

(24)

Rahmad 2006

24

Causal Research Design:

Causal Research Design:

(25)

A Classification of Experimental Designs

A Classification of Experimental Designs

Experimental Designs

Pre-experimental

True

Experimental

Quasi

Experimental

Statistical

One-Shot Case

Study

One Group

Pretest-Posttest

Static Group

Pretest-Posttest

Control Group

Posttest: Only

Control Group

Solomon

Four-Group

Time Series

Multiple Time

Series

Randomized

Blocks

Latin Square

(26)

Treatment Groups

Block Store Commercial

Commercial Commercial

Number Patronage A B

C

1

Heavy

2

Medium

3

Low

4

None

(27)

Interest in the

Store

Store Patronage

High

Medium

Low

Heavy B A

C

Medium C B

A

Low and none A C

B

(28)

Amount of Humor

Amount of Store No

Medium

High

Information Humor

Humor

Humor

Low

Medium

High

(29)

Factor

Laboratory

Field

Environment

Artificial

Realistic

Control

High

Low

Reactive Error

High

Low

Demand Artifacts

High

Low

Internal Validity

High

Low

External Validity

Low

High

Time

Short

Long

Number of Units

Small

Large

Ease of implementation

High

Low

Cost

Low

High

(30)

Criteria for the Selection of Test Markets

Criteria for the Selection of Test Markets

Test Markets should have the following qualities:

1) Be large enough to produce meaningful projections. They

should contain at least 2% of the potential

actual

population. 2) Be representative demographically.

3) Be representative with respect to product

consumption behavior

.

4) Be representative with respect to media usage.

5) Be representative with respect to competition.

6) Be relatively isolated in terms of media and physical distribution.

7) Have normal

historical development in the product class 8) Have

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