Market Review
IHSG kembali ditutup melemah 26.6 poin atau (-0,40%) ke level 6,495. tercatat
184 saham menguat dan 257 saham melemah sementara sisa nya tidak
bergerak.pelemahan kembali dipimpin oleh sektor industri yang melemah
1,65%. investor asing mencatatkan net sell sebesar Rp132 miliar. Asing
mencatkan pembelian pada saham TLKM sebesar 189,46 miliar, BMRI sebesar
91,08 miliar dan PGAS sebesar 28,95 miliar sementara asing mencatatkan net
sell pada saham ASII sebesar 183,56 miliar, ICBP sebesar 30,29 miliar dan
BBTN sebesar 25,60 miliar.
Leader:
TLKM, MIKA, BMRI, BBNI, MDIA
Laggard:
UNVR, ASII, HMSP, CPIN, BBCA
Secara teknikal IHSG bergerak break out level support 6500. Indikasi akan
cenderung negatif jika terus dibawah level tersebut. Indikator Stochastic
bergerak bearish dengan bearish momentum indikator RSI. Sehingga di
perkirakan IHSG akan bergerak mencoba menguat dengan tertekan dengan
rentang pergerakan 6422-6516. Saham-saham yang masih dapat dicermati
diantaranya JPFA, MAIN, GGRM, TLKM, PGAS.
Indeks Nikkei (+1.48%), TOPIX (+1.46%) dan KOSPI (+0.51%) dibuka menguat
optimis
seiring
pelemahan
nilai
tukar
Yen.
Investor
kembali
mempertimbangkan prospek keberhasilan pembicaraan tingkat tinggi
AS-China. Jika tidak ada kesepakatan dicapai di tembok perbatasan AS-Meksiko,
bagian dari pemerintah federal AS mungkin akan ditutup lagi akhir pekan ini
ketika dana pemerintah sementara berakhir. Harga minyak WTI (+0.2%) kelevel
$52.50 perbarrel sedangkan Batubara NC (-1.12%) melemah kelevel $96.70
per mton.
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan
Analisis
:
•
Candlestick
membentuk
pola
bullish
harami
dengan
potensi
menguat jangka pendek menguji
kembali resistance level.
•
Stop-loss
jika
harga
saham
terkonfirmasi break out support
MA20
•
Indikator stochastic bergerak pada
area pada area oversold dengan
bullish
reversal
momentum
indicator RSI
•
Support
: 2310-2560
•
Resistance
: 2850-3200
•
Stop-loss
: 2580
•
Target Price
: 3090
SPECULATIVE BUY
JPFA
Analisis
:
•
Candlestick
membentuk
pola
bullish
harami
dengan
rebound
tepat pada level support MA20.
Indikasi menguat menguji upper
Bollinger bands.
•
Stop-loss jika harga saham break
out support MA20
•
Indikator
Stochastic
berpotensi
membentuk
pola
golden-cross
dengan indicator RSI yang bullish
reversal momentum.
•
Support
: 1420-1570
•
Resistance
: 1700-1850
•
Stop-loss
: 1620
•
Target Price
: 1850
TRADING BUY
Analisis
:
•
Pergerakan
harga
saham
membentuk pola rectangle dengan
pergerakan terakhir yang mencoba
rebound lower bound.
•
Stop-loss
jika
harga
saham
terkonfirmasi break out support
•
Indikator stochastic golden-cross
pada
area
oversold
dengan
momentum RSI yang cukup rendah.
•
Support
: 77000-80750
•
Resistance
: 84500-88000
•
Stop-loss
: 80250
•
Target Price
: 84500
PARTIAL SELL
GGRM
Analisis
:
•
Harga saham rebound pada level
bullish
trendline.
Menguji
resistance
MA200
hingga
resistance selanjutnya.
•
Stop-loss
jika
harga
saham
terkonfirmasi break out support
MA5
•
Indikator Stochastic bergerak pada
area oversold dengan pola
golden-cross dan RSI yang bergerak bullish
mendekati area overbought
•
Support
: 5350-6000
•
Resistance
: 7025-8175
•
Stop-loss
: 6600
•
Target Price
: 8175
SPECULATIVE BUY
LS-27 Index
Legend :
B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability)
SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability)
W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary)
H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute)
PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability)
S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)
TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).
Analyst Conclusions:
The Index has reached the wave 3.
Support
Support
Resist ance
Resist ance
2
1
1
2
Agricult ure
TBLA
870
950
925
1,020
1,100
Consolidations
SB
940
1,020
AALI
12,750
13,575
13,550
14,500
15,000
Bearish momentum
PS
13,500
SSMS
1,115
1,180
1,185
1,250
1,330
Consolidations
TB
1,150
1,250
Basic Indust ry
TKIM
10,850
12,350
12,675
14,150
16,100
Consolidations
TB
13,000
14,150
INKP
10,700
11,700
12,500
13,000
14,400
Consolidations
W
12,800
CPIN
6,700
7,200
7,400
8,000
8,850
Bullish consolidations
TB
7,700
8,600
Consumer
GGRM
77,000
80,700
81,000
84,500
88,000
Rectangle
TB
81,000
84,500
HOKI
620
675
695
720
765
Consolidations
W
700
ICBP
9,800
10,450
10,500
11,400
12,300
Bearish momentum
PS
10,400
UNVR
47,100
49,000
48,875
51,400
53,000
Stoch dead-cross
PS
49,500
Finance
BBRI
3,550
3,750
3,870
3,940
4,100
Bearish consolidations
PS
3,900
BBNI
8,200
8,650
9,050
9,100
9,525
Break out support
W
9,000
BBCA
25,800
26,800
27,475
28,275
29,750
Bearish momentum
PS
27,000
Infrast ruct ure
TOWR
700
770
835
850
930
Consolidations
PS
820
PGAS
2,250
2,410
2,510
2,600
2,800
Bearish momentum
S
2,420
Misc. Indust ry
SRIL
300
322
336
340
350
Oversold
TB
336
350
ASII
7,375
7,825
8,000
8,400
9,100
Rectangle
PS
8,000
Mining
PTBA
3,850
4,170
4,260
4,480
4,800
Consolidations
TB
4,250
4,480
ITMG
21,000
22,000
21,275
23,000
24,650
Consolidations
TB
21,800
24,650
ADRO
1,215
1,310
1,260
1,400
1,500
Consolidations
W
1,350
Propert y
LPCK
2,200
2,400
2,740
2,650
3,000
Consolidations
H
2,500
2,650
WSKT
1,680
1,850
1,945
2,070
2,200
Bullish momentum
SB
2,000
2,200
PWON
625
660
660
700
720
Break out MA20
B
680
720
Trading
UNTR
24,000
25,425
25,375
27,000
28,200
Stoch golden-cross
B
26,000
27,000
SCMA
1,700
1,800
1,810
1,900
2,100
Oversold
TB
1,800
1,900
LPPF
5,325
6,000
7,000
7,000
8,000
Oversold
TB
6,500
7,000
ERAA
1,875
2,100
2,140
2,400
2,670
Oversold
W
2,080
Equity Technical Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, [email protected]
Disclaimer on
St op-loss
Target
Price
Tuesday, 12 February 2019
Equity Technical Indicator
Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly
Fractal 11/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI B. Band 20 Days 50 Days 200 Days
Equity Technical Indicator
Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly
Fractal 11/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI B. Band 20 Days 50 Days 200 Days
PN BN .JK 1,450 1,360 1,040 1,450 1,355 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
PTBA.JK 4,470 4,260 4,220 4,350 4,290 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper
PTPP.JK 2,370 2,240 2,210 2,330 2,310 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
PWON .JK 650 660 650 695 675 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
RALS.JK 1,710 1,720 1,560 1,800 1,685 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper
ROTI.JK 1,240 1,220 1,205 1,240 1,230 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
SCMA.JK 2,020 1,810 1,790 1,880 1,835 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under
SGRO.JK 2,420 2,340 2,320 2,340 2,250 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under
SIDO.jk 840 825 805 840 825 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Upper
SILO.JK 3,400 3,930 3,160 4,050 3,240 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Under
SIMP.JK 530 505 505 530 520 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
SMBR.JK 1,680 1,555 1,500 1,660 1,620 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under
SMCB.JK 1,995 1,995 1,755 2,000 1,985 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
SMGR.JK 13,200 12,475 12,250 13,025 12,625 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
SMRA.JK 1,070 950 950 1,000 975 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
SRIL.JK 350 336 336 350 340 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under
SSMS.JK 1,200 1,185 1,140 1,200 1,185 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under
TBIG.JK 4,950 4,720 4,610 4,950 4,750 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
TBLA.JK 990 925 945 990 960 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
TIN S.JK 1,430 1,325 1,265 1,430 1,360 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
TKIM.JK 13,950 12,675 13,000 13,650 13,075 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
TLKM.JK 3,930 3,930 3,780 3,940 3,850 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
TOTL.JK 650 630 570 650 625 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
TOWR.JK 860 835 720 860 820 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
TPIA.JK 5,925 5,550 5,375 5,875 5,650 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper
ULTJ.JK 1,270 1,220 1,190 1,230 1,220 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
UN TR.JK 26,775 25,375 25,625 26,775 25,825 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under
UN V R.JK 50,050 48,875 48,500 50,050 49,800 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
WIKA.JK 1,945 1,825 1,835 1,905 1,865 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
WOOD.JK 625 705 580 735 620 Overbought Bearish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper
WSBP.JK 406 400 384 420 398 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
WSKT.JK 2,040 1,945 1,830 2,050 1,995 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
WTON .JK 418 470 402 505 432 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
Source : Reliance Research
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