F. No. 3-1/ 2015-16-CFCC-E&S GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, COOPERATION AND FARMERS WELFARE (CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)
Room No. 344-A, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 09.05.2016
SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP HELD ON 06.05.2016.
Summary observations of the Group on Agenda Items
Details of the mean maximum and minimum temperature during the week 28th April, 2016 to 04th May, 2016 were as under:-
Maximum Temperature
Above normal by 4 to 60C over some parts of Odisha and isolated pockets of Gangetic West Bengal and Kerala and by 2 to 40C over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Bihar, Meghalaya, Tripura, many parts of Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Mizoram, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Telangana, Rayalaseema, South Interior Karnataka, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Andaman & Nicobar Islands, some parts of West Rajasthan, Saurashtra & Kutch, Odisha, Konkan, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Lakshadweep and isolated pockets of Haryana, West Madhya Pradesh, Assam, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha Gujarat Region, North and Coastal Karnataka.
Normal to near normal in remaining parts of the country.
Minimum Temperature
Above normal by 2 to 40C over many parts of Andaman and Nicobar Island, some parts of Himachal Pradesh, West Rajasthan, Marathwada, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and isolated pockets of East Rajasthan, Bihar, Jharkhand Madhya Maharashtra, Gangetic West Bengal, Gujarat, Telangana, Interior Karnataka and Rayalaseema.
It was normal to near normal over rest of the country except isolated pockets of West Madhya Pradesh and Odisha where it was below normal by 2 to 40C.
In the pre-monsoon season, weekly Rainfall for the country as a whole during the week 28th April, 2016 to 04th May, 2016 was 50% lower than Long Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (%
departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the country during the above period was lower by 79% in North West India, 66% in South Peninsula, 54% in Central India and 34% in East & North East India.
The cumulative rainfall in the country during the pre-monsoon season i.e. 01st March, 2016 to 04th May, 2016 was 14% lower than Long Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (% departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the country during the above period was lower by 69% in South Peninsula, 35% in Central India and 3% in North West India. However, in East & North East India was equal to LPA.
Out of 36 met sub-divisions, 12 met sub-divisions constituting 33% of the total area of the country has received excess/normal rainfall, 24 met sub-divisions constituting 67% of the total area of the country has received deficient/scanty rainfall. Central Water Commission monitors 91 major reservoirs in the country which have total live capacity of 157.80 BCM at Full Reservoir Level (FRL). Current live storage in these reservoirs as on 05th May, 2016 was 30.71 BCM as against 49.10 BCM on 05.05.2015 (last year) and 39.88 BCM of Normal (average storage of the last 10 years) storage. Current year’s storage is 63% of the last year’s storage and 77% of the normal storage.
All-India progressive procurement of Rice as on 06.05.2016 for the marketing season 2015-16 was 321.95 lakh tonnes against the procurement of 275.18 lakh tonnes upto the corresponding period of last year.
All-India progressive procurement of Wheat as on 06.05.2016 for the marketing season 2016-17 was 217.51 lakh tonnes against the procurement of 217.31 lakh tonnes upto the corresponding period of last year.
Availability position of seeds and fertilizers has been found satisfactory.
1. Pre-Monsoon Season (March – May) during the week ending on 04th May, 2016
Sub-division-wise daily distribution of rainfall and minimum temperature are shown in Table-1.1
Rainfall during the week (28th April, 2016 to 04th May, 2016) Rainfall was excess/normal in 5, deficient/scanty in 27 and no rain in 4 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions.
Cumulative rainfall (01st March, 2016 to 04th May, 2016) Rainfall was excess/normal in 12 and deficient/scanty in 24 out of 36 meteorological sub-division.
Table-1.2: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country1
E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, S: Scanty, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
Table – 1.3: Category wise comparative distribution of Sub-division (cumulative rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for the last five years since: 1st March to
Source: IMD
1. North-west India - Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, Punjab, Uttaranchal, Himachal Pradesh, and Jammu and Kashmir.
Central India - Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra and Gujarat
SouthPeninsula - Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu & Pondicherry, Kerala and Lakshadweep.
North-east India - Bihar, Jharkhand, Orissa, West Bengal, Sikkim, Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, and Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
Region Week Ending (04.05.2016) Cumulative (01.03.16 to 04.05.16) (in mm) Devi-
ation (%)
Cat. (in mm) Devi-
ation (%)
Cate- gory
Actual Normal Actual Normal
North-West India 1.5 7.1 -79 S 80.1 82.7 -3 N
Central India 1.5 3.2 -54 D 13.9 21.4 -35 D
South Peninsular India 4.1 12.2 -66 S 16.7 53.8 -69 S East & North-East India 26.1 39.7 -34 D 205.1 205.4 0 N
Country as a whole 5.9 11.9 -50 D 65.3 76.1 -14 N
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
For the period from 1st March to 04 MAY
2011
02 MAY 2012
01 MAY 2013
07 MAY 2014
06 MAY 2015
04 MAY 2016 Excess
Normal Total
14 08 22
05 11 16
07 08 15
15 08 23
29 07 36
02 10 12 Deficient
Scanty No rain Total
10 03 01 14
13 07 00 20
16 05 00 21
07 06 00 13
00 00 00 00
12 12 00 24
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India % Rainfall Deviation
(-) 6% (-) 15% (-) 35% (-) 11% 72% (-) 14%
Table: 1.1
2. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 05.05.2016)
The Central Water Commission monitors the live storage of 91 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 157.80 billion cubic meters (BCM), which is about 62% of total reservoir capacity in the country.
Water stock in 91 major reservoirs decreased to 30.71 BCM from the previous week’s level of 32.54 BCM. Current storage is lower than the last year’s position of 49.10 BCM and the average of last 10 year’s storage of 39.88 BCM.
Table – 2.1 : For 91 major reservoirs of the country Period Current Year’s
Storage as % of FRL*
Current Year’s storage as % of last year
Current year as a % of 10 years average level
Current Week Last Week
19 21
63 64
77 77
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 31% on 05/05/2015, 32% on 05/05/2014, 25% on 05/05/2013 and 26% on 05/05/2012.
* Live storage as % to Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 157.80 Billion Cub. Mts.(BCM) Source: CWC
There were 34 reservoirs having storage more than 80%, 15 reservoirs having storage between 50% to 80% of Normal Storage, 25 reservoir having storage between 30% to 50%, 17 reservoir having storage upto 30% of Normal Storage and 07 reservoir having no live storage.
Source: Central Water Commission
3. Fertilizer Position:
Table – 3.1: Requirement, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers Urea, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP during Kharif 2015-16 (As on 06.05.2016)
(in ‘000 Tonnes) Availability / Sale / Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP Complex SSP Opening Stock as on 01.04.2016 932 376 153 530 123 Requirement for Kharif, 2015-16 14739 5082 1742 5368 3060
Requirement upto May, 2016 2058 863 231 676 451
Availability upto 06.05.2016 2772 843 297 936 221
Sales upto 06.05.2016 989 195 71 185 53
Closing Stock upto 06.05.2016 1783 648 226 751 168
Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC) / Deptt. of Fertilizer
4. Pest & Diseases:
Incidence of white fly and tomato leaf curl virus was reported damaging brinjal crop in Kosur and Kundan Poosari villages of Krishnarajapuram block of Karur district of Tamilnadu.
No shortage of Chemical / Bio-pesticides was reported from any State / UT.
5. Progressive procurement of Rice as on 06.05.2016 (lakh tonnes)
Table: 5.1
6. Progressive procurement of Wheat as on 06.05.2016 (lakh tonnes)
Table: 6.1
State Total procurement in marketing season 2014-15 (Oct. – Sept.)
Progressive Procurement as on 06.05.2016
In Marketing season 2015-
2016
In Marketing season 2014-
2015
Andhra Pradesh 35.96 37.84 23.93
Telangana 35.04 12.79 19.26
Chhattisgarh 34.23 34.42 33.55
Haryana 20.15 28.61 20.15
Kerala 3.74 3.59 3.50
Madhya Pradesh 8.07 8.49 8.07
Maharashtra 1.99 1.61 1.38
Odisha 33.57 26.77 26.53
Punjab 77.86 93.50 77.86
Tamil Nadu 10.51 10.18 8.79
Uttar Pradesh 16.98 29.10 16.39
Uttrakhand 4.65 5.97 4.61
West Bengal 20.32 14.05 13.95
All-India 320.40 321.95 275.18
State Total procurement in marketing season
2015-16 (April – March)
Progressive Procurement as on 06.05.2016
In Marketing season 2016-
2017
In Marketing season 2015-
2016
Punjab 103.44 102.67 88.89
Haryana 67.78 66.06 62.56
Gujarat 0.73 0.00 0.36
Uttar Pradesh 22.67 5.32 5.87
Madhya Pradesh 73.09 37.56 52.44
Rajasthan 13.00 5.80 7.07
All-India 280.88 217.51 217.31
