Qua sach bao nudc ngoai
Tpp chi C a n g aCANH TRANH CHllN LVOC MY - TRUNG QUOC NHIN TV CUOC CACH MANG CONG NGHIEP
liNTHliTTV
LETHEMAU*
Theo gi&i nghiin ciru kinh ti vd chinh trj trin thi gi&i, s& di cugc chiin thuang mgi My - Trung Quoe tiip tuc leo thang vd chua co ^im dirng la do cupc chien ndy child mpt trong nhimg npi dung cgnh tranh chiin luac todn dipn giira hai nu&c trong cupc Cdch mgng cong nghiip ldn thu tu, duge thi hiin qua su cgnh tranh giira chuang trinh "Sdn xudt tgi Trung Quoc 2015" v&i chuang trinh "Sdn xudt tgi My" vd giua sdng kiin "Vdnh ddi. Con du&ng" (BRI) eua Trung Quoe v&i chiin luffc "An Do Duffng - Thdi Binh Duong tge do vd rpng m&" cua My. Di cung edp nhifng thong tin tham khdo vd co cdi nhin todn diin vi vdn di ndy, ehung tdi xin torn luge nhihig net ehu yiu nhdt vi cupe cgnh tranh My - Trung Quoe qua nhgn
^nh cua cdc nhd nghien ciru vd binh ludn quoe ti.
Cudc panh tranh mang tinh thM dai sSii sac
NMn tft quan diem cua tac gia A. Ai-va-ddp teong bai "(juy lugt phat trien theo chu ky cua chft nghia tu ban" dang tedn trang warandpeace.
ru, sy cgnh teanh chidn luge toan dien My - Trung Qudc se keo dai teong nhieu nam bdi nd raang tinh thdi dai teong giai doan chuyen tilp tu cugc each mang cdng nghiep 3.0 den cugc Cach mgng cdng nghiep Ian thu tu (Cach mgng cdng nghiep 4.0), xuat phat tu quy luat phat triln theo chu ky cua chft nghia tu ban the gidi g5n vdi cac cudc each raang cdng nghiep teong Ijch sft. Vi the, cgnh teanh My - Trung Qudc hien nay cd nhidu net tuong ddn^ vdi sy canh tranh giua cac cudng qudc dau the ky XX, khi thd gidi chuyin tft cudc Cach mang cdng nghiep 2.0 tdi cupc Cach raang cdng nghiep 3.0- vdi he qua din tdi Chiln ti^nh the gidi thft nhat (1914-1918)'".
Trong bai "Cach ragng cdng nghiep mdi la cudc each mgng m-to-net" teen teang forbes.
com, tac gia Mi-cha Cau-pho-man nhan djnh
rang, mdt teong nhimg duih cao cua cudc Cach mgng cdng nghiep 3.0 la sy ra ddi va phat ttidn mang in-to-net kit ndi 44% dan sd till gidi, hinh thanh ndn "lyc dia thft 7". Vi vgy, cudc Cach mang cdng nghiep 3.0 thudng dugc ggi la "each mgng m-to-net"*^'. Mdt sd nba nghien cftu cho rang, cugc Cach mgng cdng nghiep 4.0 cdn dugc ggi la "Cach raang m-to-net vgn vat" (hitemet of Things Revolution). Khac vdi mgng m-to-net ttong cudc Cach ragng cdng nghiep 3.0 chi kit ndi con ngudi vdi con ngudi thdng qua he thdng raay tinh ket ndi toan cau, m-to-net kit ndi van vat ttong cupc Cach mgng cdng nghiep 4.0 kit ndi vgn vat ttong khdng gian thyc cftng nhu ttong khdng gian ao. Van
* D^i ta, BO Quoc ph6ng
(1) XlepHOflHiecKaa cHcreina MwpoBoro KanHTajiHCTHHecKoro pasBHTiM, https.V/www.warand peace, ru/ru/ exclusive/vprint/66601/
(2) The Internet Revolution is the New Industrial Re vo lution, https ://www.forbes. com/sites/michakaufman/
2012/10/05/the-mtemet-revolu(ion-is-the-new-industrial~
revolution/M e8e95047d5b
Sfl 9.19 fthanp 4 nam 2020^ 107
Qua sach bao mrdc ngoai T«ip chf C^ng s d n
vat ttong khdng gian thuc khdng chi la con ngu'di ma cdn la cac qudc gia "thdng rainh", cac thanh phd "thdng minh", cac xi nghiep san ximt va kinh doanh "thdng minh", cac phuong tien va do gia dyng "thdng minh" phuc vy nhu cau ciia con ngudi tten khap the gidi'^l
Theo cac chuyen gia thugc Cdng ty CISCO (My), teong hai nam 2008 - 2009, sd vM thi kit ndi vdi mgng in-ta-net da vugt qua sd dan tren toan the gidi, md ra ky nguyen m-to-net van vat. Tu rmn 2009, dugc sy hd ttg cfta Uy ban chau Au, cac cugc hdi thao vd in-to-net van vat dugc td chftc hang nam d Bruc-xen (Bi). Tft nam 2010, ui-to-net van vgt ted thanh ddng Iyc phat trien cdng nghe dien toan dam may de xft ly khdi lugng du Heu khdng Id lien ket vdi nhau lit tat ca cac vat thd va con ngudi teen khip toan cau. Cac chuyen gia kinh te va chinh gidi thara dy Dien dan kinh te the gidi nam 2009 d Da~vdt (Thuy Sl) ggi cudc Cach mang cdng nghiep 4.0 la "each mgng in-ta-net ket ndi van vat", gdm hai thanh td chft yeu la "mang in-to-net" va "vgn vat thdng minh ". Nhu vay, theo tac gia Lo-ren Lau, qudc gia nao lam chu dugc hai thanb td nay cua each mgng ui-to-net van vat thi qudc gia do se gianh chidn thang teong cudc Cach mgng cdng nghiep 4.0^'*'. Vi thd, chuyen gia phan tich A~bra-ham Den-mac nhgn dinh, canh ttanh My - Trung C^udc la cugc chien mang tinh chat thdi dai sau sac'^'. Tham chi, cac tac gia E-li-de Mooc-gan'^', VXa-md-pha-ldp'^' va Nie Bit-iay^' dua ra nhan dinh rang, thyc chat canh tranh My - Trung Quoc la Chien tranh Ignh kieu mdi 2.0.
^Canh tranh My - IVung Qudc trong boi canh Cach mang cdng nghifp 4.0
Theo cac nha nghien cftu, each mgng in-to-net ket ndi vgn vat cua Trung Qudc dya tten hai try cdt chii yeu la chuang hinh "San xuat tgi Trung Qudc 2025" va "Sang kien BRI".
Chuang trinh "San xuat tai Tmng Qudc 2025"
la k l hogch phat tiiln 10 nam (2015 - 2025) nham rauc tieu chien luge dai ban dua Tmng Qudc tu "cdng xudng cfta tiid gidi" ttd thanh
"cudng qudc che tao", chiem vi tri sd mgt, chi it ttong cac lihh vyc cdng nghe la d-td dien, phuong tien sft dung nang lugng mdi, cdng
nghe ttidng tm va viin ttidng thi he mdi, du lieu ldn, cdng nghigp chl tao rd-bdt, tii tue nhan tgo, cdng nghe ndng nghiep, ky tiiuat hang khdng vu try, vat lieu tdng hgp radi, thilt bi dien tien tien, nganh y sinh hgc hien dgi, kit cau ha tSng dudng sat cao tdc va IQ' thuat bang hai cdng nghe cao. Bi hien thyc hda chuong trinh ray, Chinh phu Trung Qudc da dau tu khoang 300 ty USD nham myc tieu dua Trung Qudc chilm Imh vi the ap dao teen tbi tmdng the gidi. Dy bao, den nam 2035, n ^ n h chl tgo Trung Qabc se vugt cac cudng quoc che tao hang dau thi gidi nhu Due va Nhat Ban va vao thdi diem ky niem 100 nam thanh lap nudc Cdng hoa nhan dan Trung Hoa, Trung Qudc se gianh vi ttie thdng tti ttdn ttu tmdng san phim cdng nghe cao toan cau'^*. Cdn theo nhan djnh cua chinh gidi va cpng ddng chuyen gia d My, de hien thyc hda chuang trinh "San xuat tai Trung
(3) Why securing the Intemet of Things is crucial to the Fourth Industrial Revolution, https://www.wefonfm.org/
agenda/2 019/04/why-securing- th e-In- ta-net-of- th ings- is-crucial-lo-the-fourth-industrial-revolution/
(4) Lawrence J, Lau. Behind the US-China trade war lies a competition for dommance and a rising tide of protectionism, https://www.scmp.com/comment/insight- apmion/united-states/article/2160041/behind-m-china- trade-war- lies -competition
(5) Abraham Denmark "A New Era of Intensified US-China Competition", https://www.witsoncenter.org/
blog-post/new-era-intensified-uS'China-competition (6) US and China locked in Cold War 2.0, historian Niall Ferguson warns, https://www.abc.net.au/news/
2019-03-06/uS'and'Chifia-Iocked-in-cold-war-2.0- historian-says/10873254; The risks of a new Cold War between the US and China are real: here's why, https://
theconversation.com/the-risks-of-a-new-cold-war- between-the-us-and-china-are-real-heres-why-103772
(7)B;iaflHMHpCaMO$aJioB KHraii-CLIIA:"6ojQ.m3H ABOiiKa" HJiH Honaa xoJiojuiiui BoiiHa?, https://zn.ua/
intemational/kiiay-ssha-bolshaya-dvoyka-ili-novaya- holodnaya-voyna-^.html
(8) The risks of a new Cold War between the US and China are real: here's why, https-//theconversation.
com/the-risks-of-a-new-cold-war-between-the-us-and- china-are'real-heres-why-103772; Made m China 2025 tra thanh moi de doa doi voi vj the thflng tri trong cac lmh virc kJ thuat dgc quyen ciia cac cong ty My va phucmg Tay
(9) Xem trang sau
108 S6 939 (thang 4 nam 2020)
Z^;
Qua sach bao nudc ngoai T a p chl C o n g s&n
Qnoc 2025", Trung Qudc phai mua va sao chep bi quydt cdng nghg cua My va cac nudc cdng nghiep phat triln. Ong Xcdt Ken-no-di, chuyen gia nghien cftu Trung C^udc cua Trung tam nghidn cim qudc te va chign luge d Oa-smh-ton (CSIS) cho rang, nguy co tft chuong ttinh "San xuat tai Trung Qudc 2025" la NM nudc Tmng Quoc can thiep quy md ldn bing nhilu cdng cu, nhu bat huge cac cdng ty nudc ngoai chuyen giao cdng nghe cho hp mdt khi dau tu vao qudc gia nay, c ^ thiep va lara biln dgng tbi tmdng, tac ddng xau ddn boat ddng dau tu cua cac cdng ty, cac qudc gia va chudi cung ftng toan cau.
Day la nguyen nhan chmh khien My kich hoat Dao luat Dieu tra 301 de danh thul cac san pham cdng nghe cao cua Trung Quoc *'"'.
Ve phia My, theo cac tac gia E-men A-can va Tdra Hau-oen, sau khi budc vao Nha Trang, vdi chu tmong "Lara cho nudc My vT dgi ttd lgi", Tdng thdng M}^ D. Tram da thyc hi?n chuang trinh "San xuat tgi My" nham gianh Igi vi the cudng qudc cdng nghigp sd rapt the gidi ma My timg chiem linh teong the ky XX. Theo chuang trinh dd, Tdng thdng D-Tram kdu gpi
"Ngudi My dung hang My" va "Cdng ty My tuyen nhan cdng Mf". Nhu vay, ban chat cua sy canh teanh gifta chuang trinh "San xuat tai Tmng Qudc 2025" va chuang trinh "San xuat tai My" la nham gianh vj the sd mgt tten thi trudng san pham cdng nghe cao cfta the gidi trong the ky XXI teong dieu kien cudc Cach raang cdng nghiep 4.0. Theo Dgo luat uy quyen qudc phdng cua My cho nam tai chinh 2018 - 2019, Tdng thdng D. Tram "nd pbat sung dku tien" nhSin vao chuang ttinh "San xuat tgi Tmng Qudc 2025". Trong do cd 8 bien phap chu ylu d l ngan chan hogt ddng dugc My cho la phi phap cua Trung Qudc. Dd la: 1- Ngan chan boat ddng tinh bao cdng nghiep cua Tmng Qudc; 2- Kilm soat chat cac hgp ddng Chlnh phft My ky vdi cac tap doan cong nghe ZTE va Hwawei - hai tap doan san xuat va kinh doanh cdng nghe cao hang d i u cfta Trung Qudc ddng vai ted chu chdt teong cac hogt ddng tinh bao cdng nghidp; 3- Cdm mpi co quan Chinh phu My sft dung san pham cfta Cdng ty Hwawei va ZTE; 4- Cam ragi thyc the cd quan hd vdi chinh
pbu My giao djch vdi hai cdng ty Hwawei va ZTE cua Trung Qudc; 5- Tang cudng giam sat cac khoan dau tu cua Trung Quoc d My; 6- Gay sftc ep budc Tmng Qudc phai choi ttieo luat chai cfta My teong thuang mgi; 7- Han chl cac boat dgng gia tang "sftc mgnh mem" cua Trung Qudc d My nhu cam cac Vien Khdng Tu cfta Trung Qudc boat ddng fren lanh thd My; 8- Sft dyng vimg lanh tiid Dai Loan (Tmng Qudc) va van de hat nhan tten ban dao Triiu Tien lam ddi trgng teong cudc canh tranh vdi Trung Qudc*"'.
Theo cac tac gia Pha-hat A-xip va Lai-a- li-a Nu-ga-h-e-va, cung vdi chuang trinh
"San xuat tai Tmng Qudc 2025", BRI la ttu cdt chu yeu dd Trung Qudc xay dyng teat ty the gidi teong the ky XXI"^'. Theo Cri-xtd-pho Ban-dinh, khdng chi Dang Cgng hda ma ca Dang Dan chu cfta My deu phan ddi BRI cua Tmng Qudc va ggi sang kien nay la "bay ng"
cua Trung Qudc*'^'. Ban Bien tap Tap chi "Tin tftc qudc gia" teong bai viet dang teen chuyen
(9) Made in China 2025: Tham vpng ph^t trien nganh che tao ciia Trung Quoc, http -//nghiencuuquocte.
org/2019/06/27/made-in-china-2025/ Made in China 2025 tro thdnh moi de doa doi vdi vi the thi thong tri trong cdc ITnh vuc ky thugt dqc quyen cua cdc cong ty My vd phuong Tdy. https://viettimes.vn/bai-4-made-in- china-2025-da-tro-thanh--moi'de-doa-voi-the-thong- tri-cua-my-trong-cac-linh-vuc-ky-thuat'doc-quyen- cua- cac-cong-ty-my- va-phuong- tay-3 01655.html
(10) Trump to Boost Domestic Content for Made in America, https •//www.theepochtimes.
com/trump-to-boost'domestic-content-for-made- in-america_3003525.html; Trump demands higher standards for "Made in Amenca" goods, https://
www Oa-sinh-tantimes com/news/2019/Jul/15/trump- demandS'higher-standards-made-america-goods/
(11) National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2019, https://www.congress.gov/115/crpt/hrpt676/
CRPT-115hrpl676.pdf
(12) BRI and the rise of the Chinese Economic World Order, https://dailytimes.com.pk/251881/bri- and-the-rise-of-the-chinese-economic-world-order/\
Belt and road: a Chinese world order, https://academic.
oup.com/ia/article-abstract/95/2/503/5366580?redirect edFrom —fulltext
(13) Christopher Balding. Why Democracies Are Turning Against Belt and Road, https://www.
foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/20i8-10-24/why- democracies-are-turning-against-belt-and-road
S6 939 (thang 4 nam 2020) 109
Qua sach bao nudc ngoai Tpp chi C^ng sAn
myc "Qudc phdng va an ninh quoc gia" cung dua ra nhan dinh, BRI la chiln luge ngoai giao
"bay ng" cua Tmrig Qudc""*. Theo cac chuyen gia nghien cftu vl Trung Qudc la Crit-xa va Chi-Ia-nay, BRI da dua nhieu qudc gia tham gia BRI roi vao "biy ng" ciia Trung Qudc. Thi dy minh hga dugc dua ra la Cbinh phft Xri Lan-ca do khdng cd kha nang tea I ty USD ng cfta Trung Qudc da bugc phai nhugng cho doanh nghiep cua Trung Qudc quyln sft dung cang bien Ham-ban-td-ta vdi thdi hgn Ien tdi 99 nam. Theo tmh toan cua dng Cai-xa Ben-ga-li, cyu cd van kinh te cua Chinh phu Pa-ki-xtan, 91% thu nhap cang bien se roi vao tay cac doanh nghiep Tmng Qudc. Ong cho biet, cac cdng ty cfta Tmng Qudc dang thu dugc ngudn Igi to Idn tu vide miln giam thul, teong khi dd tat ca cac nguyen vat lieu xay dung tft sat, xi mang... deu phai mua tft Tnmg Qudc nen lgi ich thuc sy thudc ve Trung Qudc chft khdng phai ngudi dan dia phuong*'^'. Ong Ma-ha-thia Md-ha-met, sau khi trung cu Thu tudng Ma-Iai-xi-a (5-2018) tuyen bd se tim each hfty bd hoac dieu chinh chi phi cua cac dy an xay dung co ban tri gia 22 ty USD thugc BRI ma ngudi tien nhiem ciia dng da ky ket vdi Trung Qudc''^*.
Cho rang BRI la nguy co ddi vdi My, Tdng tiidng D. Tram da dieu chinh chiSn luac "xoay true" tdi chau A dudi thdi Tdng thdng Ba-ric 6-ba-ma thanh chien luge "An Do Duong - Thai Binh Duong ty do va rdng md". Theo do. My thftc day qua tiinh xay dyng lien minh bdn nudc My, Nhat Ban, An Do va 6-xttiy-Ii-a (thudng dugc ggi la "Tft giac kira cuong") d khu vyc An Do Duong - Thai Bmh Duong nhara cgnh teanh vdi Sang kiln BRI. Uy ban danh gia an ninh va kmh te My - Trang Qudc (UCESRC) xac dinh, My can phai ddi phd vdi nhimg thach thuc tft BRI cfta Trung Qudc d khu vyc An Do Duong - Thai Bmh Duong. De ddi phd voi sy Ian tda cua BRI, Dao luat Uy quyen qudc phdng cua My frong nam tai khda 2018 - 2019 da dl ra cac bien phap nhim kilra chl sang kiln nay, tmdc lilt d Biln Ddng. Dd la: Thu nhat. ngan chan cac boat ddng cfta Trung Qudc teong
vanh dai chiln luge An Do Duong - Thai Bmh Duong, dgc biet chft y ngan chgn hogt dpng quan sy hda phi phap cua Trung Qudc d Bien Dong; thu hai, md rgng chftc nang cua Sang kiln an nmh hang hai Ddng Nam A hudng tdi kha nang bao quat khu vyc An Do Duong - Thai Binh Duong; thu ba. tang cudng cac hogt dgng dien tap phdng ttiu ten Ifta tgi khu vyc An Do Duong - Thai Bmh Duong, trong dd cd khu vyc tmyin thdng d Ddng Bac A; thu tu, tang cudng hgp tac qudc phdng va an ninh frong khudn khd "Tu giac kim cuang", nhu gia tang cac cudc tap fran hen quan, tang cudng quydn hgn cho Bp Chi huy An Dp Duong - Thai Bmh Duong, bgn chl cat giam lyc lugng cua My hidn didn tai Han Qudc; thie ndm, lap bao cao tiiudng nien gui Qudc hOi MJ vl cac hogt ddng qu&i sy, hang hai va hang khdng cua Trung Qudc d khu vyc An Do Duong - Thai Bmh Duong, frong dd cd Bien Ddng; thu stm. giao Bd Qudc phdng My bao cao ve yiec Trung Qudc bd tri vu khi va cac frang thiet bj radi d Idiu vyc Biin Ddng; thu bdy, cam Trung Qudc tham gia cac cudc tap trgn hai quan Idn nhat the gidi mang ten "Vanh dai Thai Bmh Ducmg"
(RIMPAC - Rim of the Pacific Exercise) tdi khi nao Tmng Qudc cham ditt cac hogt ddng quan sy hda phi phap d Bidn Ddng''''.
Tmdc sftc ep cgnh tranh tir phia My, Tnmg Quoc van ludn kien djnh chien luge da dugc hoa:h djnh la hudng tdi myc tieu frd thanh cudng qudc the gidi va khdng chip nhgn bat ky
(14) China's Debt-Trap Diplomacy, https://www.
nationalreview.com/2018/07/china-belt-and-road- initiative-debt-trap-diplomacy/
(15) 5 Countries That Have Fallen into China's Debt Trap, https://www.youtube.com/ watch"^ v=Uh9xSA2gOZQ;
Are more nations falling into China's debt trap?, https://
www. khaleejtimes.com/editorials-columns/are-more- nations-falling'into-chinas-debt-trap
(16) Christopher Balding. Why Democracies Are Turning Against Belt and Road, https://www foreignaffairs-com/articles/china/2018-10-24/why-
democracies-are-tuming-against-beU-and-road (17) National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal VQ3I2Q\9,https://www.congress.gov/ll 5/ crpt/hrpt676/
CRPT-115hrpt676.pdf
110 So 939 (thang 4 nam 2020)
Qua sach bao mrdc ngoai Tpp <hC C d n g s d n
sue ep nao tft phia My budc Trung Quite phai thay ddi md hinh kmh t l va chinh tii^'''). Tham chi, Trung Qudc ggi day la "cudc van ly tmdng chinh Ian thft hai".
Cd the thdy, sy canh teanh chiln luge giua My va Tmng Qudc se cd tac ddng, anh hudng d i n t h i gidi. Trong bai phat bieu tgi Dien d£ui Dai hdi ddng Lidn hop qudc nam 2019, Tdng Thu ky Lien hpp qudc An-td-ni-d Gu-te-ret canh bao nguy co hien hftu v l mdt t h i gidi hi chia re do sy canh teanh giua My va Trung (^udc('^>. Ching lign nhu, sy chia re dd bat ngudn tix sy lya chgn nen hay khdng nen thara gia BRI, hogc nen hay khdng ndn sft dung cdng nghe ragng 5G cua Tmng Qudc.
Theo nhan dinh cfta Tien sT khoa hpc lich sft P. I-xcan-da, chuydn gia nghien cftu cua Vien Nghien cftu Slave thudc Vien Han lam khoa hgc Nga, khdng logi tru kha nang cgnh teanh My - Tmng Qudc se lan tda sang nhilu ITnh vyc khac. Trong do, dang chft y la boat ddng quan sy d eo bien Dai Loan (Trung Qudc) va Bign Ddng. Dieu nay khdng chi gay bat dn an ninh teong khu vyc Vien Ddng va Ddng Nam A ma cdn Idi keo cac nudc khac va cac td chuc qudc te vao quy dgo anh hudng cua My hoac Trung Qudc*^"'.
Tdm lgi, cue dien kinh te, chinh trj va an ninh the gidi nam 2019 cd radt sd net tuang ddng vdi cue dien the gidi trong nhirng nam dau thS ky XX, teong do bdi canh chung la the gidi teai qua giai doan giao thdi giua hai cudc each raang cdng nghiep. Trong giai dogn giao thdi tft cudc Cach mgng cdng nghiep 2.0 tdi cudc each mang cdng nghiep 3.0 dau the ky XX, sy canh teanh gifta cac cudng qudc da timg din tdi Chiln teanh thd gidi thu nhat (1914 - 1918), Chiln teanh thd gidi thft hai (1939 - 1945) va Chiln teanh lanh, Trong giai doan giao tbdi cua cugc Cach ragng cdng nghiep 4.0 hien nay, ciing dang didn ra sy canh teanh giua cac cudng qudc, tiirdc het la My va Trung Qudc. Tuy cudc cgnh teanh hien nay it cd kha nang dan tdi chidn teanh the gidi radi do cac nudc ldn deu sd huu via khi hat nhan cd kha nang buy diet toan bd sy sdng teen frai dat, nhung theo cac tac gia Xcdt Te-it va
E-h-no Xlo-an, canh tranh chien luge toan dien My - Tnmg Qudc la logi binh "xung dot vftng xara" va la "bien the" cfta rapt loai hinh chien tranh the gidi mdi, dugc gpi la "chien franh the gidi phuc h ^ " (^orld Hybrid War), dugc tien hanh chft yeu bang cac bien phap phi quan sy, nhu kinh te, cbinh trj, ngogi giao, van hda, thdng tin, tinh bao, khoa hpc - cdng nghe ngay frong didu kien thdi binh'^'*. Trong bdi canh dai djch COVID-19 dang^ Ian tda khap toan chu tft cudi nam 2019 tdi dau nam 2020, ca MJ va Trung Qudc deu cao budc lan nhau ve nguyen nhan gay ra dich benh, hai chuyen gia phan tich chirih tii qudc t l Le-d-nhit Xa-vm^(Nga)<^^*
va Giu-xtin Bau-man (My)'"' cho rang, cho du chua the khang dinh dugc ngudn gdc, dgi dich nay la bien thi cua cugc chiln tranh thd gidi phftc hgp, se day sy cgnh teanh gifta My va Tmng Qudc chuyen sang mdt giai doan mdi, CO tac ddng manh me tdi toan bg cue dien kmh te - xa hgi, chinh trj va an ninh qudc te. Do dd, tat ca cac qudc gia deu dang quan tam theo ddi dien bien cugc cgnh teanh nay de kip thdi hgn chd tac dgng tieu cyc ya ddi phd vdi cac nguy CO, ddng thdi nam bat co hdi de dieu cbinh chinh sach ddi ngoai phu hgp. •
(18) Kpyrjibiii CTOJI "nepcneKTHBti KHraficKHX pe(j)opM B M3MeHHBUieMCfl MHpe», http://sg-sofia.com.
ua/perspektivi-kitakih-reform-v-izmen -mire"
(19) UN Secretary-General Guterres's full speech to the United Nations General Assembly. https://www.
youtube. com/watch ?v—7DKo OwPk- Cw
(20) ToproBa« Boijua CILIA M Kiiraa nepeMHpHe HJIH aaTHuiBe nepeji 5ypeii? http-//rodon.org/
polit-190}!41120!5
(21) Hybnd warfare: the new face of global competition, https://www.ft.com/content/ffe7771e- e5bb-lle9-9743'db5a370481bc; Hegemony, power, and hybrid war, https://doc-research.Org/2018/U/
hegemony-power-hybrid-war/
(22) BHpyc, rH6pHflHaa BOHHa H aMcpHKaHCKHc BOCHraiie, https://wwwfondsk.ru/news/2020/03/19/virus- gibridnaja-vojna-i-amerikanskie-voennye-50398.html
(23) Using Hybrid-Warfare Defeat Mechanisms to Fight the Coronavirus and Counter Future Bioweapons.
A Novel Approach, https://smallwarsJournal.com/jrnl/
art/us ing-hybrid-warfare-defeat-mechanisms -fight- coronavirus-and-counter-future-bioweapons
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